Opening Game Favorite Chase 246-7 for 2009

I understand how we bet and chase the series between-150 and greater spliting ML and RL for 170-190 and using RL for everything greater but i dont really get the labby system say im trying to make 15 on each series what would my labby look like and what do youd o when you start getting hot and crossing them off

Thanks Best

PS im gonna make millions of your system thanks rizz

I would really recommend following the money management I have illustrated in the thread which people call a 3 line aggressive labouchere system.  If we are making a game one play at -150 I would wager enough to win the outside 2 numbers in our first line (5+5), so we would play 15 to win 10.  Play the game 2 wagers on the outside two numbers on the second line, etc.  I update the lines after each day of plays.  If you want to play a smaller or larger amount multiply your wager appropriately.

Plays are generated by a line that opens at -145 or higher, or closes above -150.  We have found a subset of plays (those that open with a over/under of 9 or higher) that win the series at a little higher percentage, especially when the team is at home.

I would recommend not playing any more than 1% of your bankroll for the game 1 bets and you may want to consider 0.5%.  The system generates a lot of plays and should we go on a skid you need to have enough left in your roll to recoup your losses from the labby lines.

Discussed bankrolls in the previous post and agree with your idea to be conservative.  As far as the labby, lines I think I will leave them as they are if for nothing else to keep a good tally for this system for the year.  That being said, I don't think it would be a bad idea to play it the way you mentioned but obviously a loss would sting more that way.  If you notice I have been fairly conservative with the lines.  Generally what I do is increase my play by 10% as my bankroll goes up 10% but have not been doing so to keep a consistent tally for the year.  If we were actually doing this our units would be higher and I will likely play it this way next year if we end this season with a good result.

That makes one of us!  I definitely don't have that kind of roll .  Remember these numbers are based on ML plays only which is what I have been doing for the vast majority of the plays since I see the lines pay us back that way.  If you are not familiar with labouchere money management, I would just follow my lines and multiply the play you want to make by whatever factor your play is compared to $10 which is what are used for the lines I am using.  If you have specific question about the money management and setting up your lines feel free to send me a PM and I can explain it in more detail.

Jake, I honestly don't think I am going to have time to do this as my work schedule is pretty crazy again.  I have a spreadsheet with all the plays and lines on it, if you want to run this PM me with your email and I can send it to you

Other IL Series (monitoring only)

pit @ DET -242           8

fla @ TB -167            8.5

tor @ COL -214          7

laa @ LAD -156         8.5

oak @ SF -187           6.5

It is still early so watch the lines.  These all qualify by opening above -145, but have to have a closing o/u of 9 or higher.  If any of these end 9 or higher they become system plays. 

I have a database that includes the opening ML odds for 2003-9.  I will email it to you if you PM me your regular email address.  The database does not have RL odds however.

So there are those three plays for tonight? Also do we play the RL on the NYY game right?

Best

HB, all the records are kept based off of ML plays.  Obviously playing RL increases a risk of losing the series but also decreases your odds.  You may want to consider playing -1 which will limit your odds and give you a push if they win by one.

teamrankings                                                        Series Prices

hou (19, 99.7) @ NYY (4, 101.8) = +15, +2.1          NYY -500

kc (17, 100.1) @ CIN (9, 100.8) = +8, +0.7             CIN -190

phi (6, 101.3) @ BOS (3, 102.0) = +3, +0.7            BOS -180

Okay screwed that up:

hou (19, 99.7) @ NYY (3, 102.8) = +16, +3.1       NYY -500

kc (17, 100.1) @ CIN (11, 100.8) = +6, +0.7         CIN -190

phi (6, 101.3) @ BOS (13, 100.5) = -7, -0.8         BOS -180

Quote Originally Posted by therizz:

Reds really played like idiots in losing that game tonight.  Hopefully they make it up to us tomorrow

You got that right!  Let's meet at the window after this one cashes.  BOL

Rizz,

looks like you've got a solid system going here. I may have to jump on this train. Thanks for all the hard work.

A lot of season left, hopefully we keep on rolling!  Reds cruise tonight.  The line movement I saw earlier in the day closed higher... whatever that means....

Damn it feels good to be a gangster, if only i played the yankees tonight after I lost on the RL in game one oh well.... happy to be even with the way the reds played so erratic..... CANT wait for to keep playing this system  becasue i think it has great value if you stay away from the risky series on baseball knowledge

Best

Reds. Nice. Cleared the board. Sweet.