NHL System

This system was posted by someone else (can't remember who) but he deserves all the credit. He did all the work on finding the data. I just want to track it. Since I will be playing it.

Play the road team on the ML (if favorites) or the PL (if dogs) for ONLY a 2 game series. IF the road team won their last home game.

Historical Data:
2008-2009  55 A bets  23 B bets  7  losses
2007-2008  43 A bets  18 B  bets  4 losses
2006-2007  50 A  bets  9 B bets  7 losses
2005-2006   57 A bets 10 B  bets  4  losses

Tonight Edmonton fell in to the system and won the A bet.

Thursday, October 15:
Lightning @ Senators @ Penguins 

Will post it again on the 15th, but wanted it out there so I don't forget it.

so far so good for you but ........................................

Not sure where you got those stats from because they are not accurate.

Went thru the whole 08 - 09 schedule/results for all teams and found 20 losses for this "system" last year alone.

20 times a team won their home game then immediately went on the road for 2 games plus  and lost both by 2 or more goals. 

It happened to Calgary 3 times and Buff twice.

Just throwing this out there for everyone that this system is not automatic.

Best of Luck.

I am going to double check this myself when i get some time. Thanks to Puppet. I didn't have time to do it before... and probably won't until the end of the week. But i will be sure to get it done.

Puppet - Just want to check something...when you say the system actually had 20 losses last year were you counting the dogs as +1.5 plays or all plays on the moneyline?

only two game road trips, not two plus

Yes, this is only for 2 games on the road after a win at home....

Thanks for clarifying that Spreader. I am going to run the numbers myself though just to make sure.

Play the road team on the ML (if favorites) or the PL (if dogs) for ONLY a 2 game series. IF the road team won their last home game.

This was interpretted as play only 2 games on road. If this was in error I apologize as the findings have to be recalculated. 

my findings included schedules  Home (win)   Away Away  Home and                                          Home (win)   Away Away  Away

What you are saying it means you need to find a team playing the following format only

Home   Away   Away   Home

Once again if that is the case then I apologize and had no intention of misleading anyone.

Best of Luck

For what its worth It was posted lost both by 2 or more goals thus dogs +1.5.

Obviously its back to the drawing board to recheck actual stats.

Best of Luck

 

 

No problem Puppet it happens!

How would a "C" bet factor in?

 

The system supposedly is  Home  Away Away  Home

When a team wins at home, they will win 1 of next 2 away games.

I already went thru the games and in a Home (win) Away Away Away format there would be 20 losses last year.

There is no 'C" wager

Best of Luck

There is NO C bet - this is only for 2 game away series. Meaning:
 Home - Away - Away - Home

Puppet - This definitely comes down to proper money management.

This will work using the labby MM process.

How I plan on using it (MontanaMax does it this way), is like this:

FROM MONTANAMAX:
My own personal MM angle:

split the -2.55 units  (lost on Min in gm1)   by 2 giving us 1.28 units to round up

apply that 1.28 to the original profit goal of 1 unit

gm2 for me is to win 2.28 units at (+1.5 / -175) being at San Jose

risking 3.99 units to win 2.28 units

If it wins I am half way home
Still need to recoup the other 1.28 units too

So I wait for the next series and add that 1.28 units to the original profit goal in gm1 of the new series and follow to gm2 if necessary until the line is cleared



If gm2 loses here how it looks
gm2 = loses = -3.99 units



Ok its a loss on the record
No problem.......
Here's how we get that back

This series lost 6.54 units

I split that up by 4 (only because of the juice involved it could get very dicey) and repeat the whole process until that line is cleared
Just my opinion. Others are free to do whatever

 6.54 / 4 = 1.63 units

giving us 1.63 units + plus the original profit goal of the next series

gm1 of that would be to win we'll say to keep it easy 2.63 units

And repeat until we get the lost units back plus the profit of others in the meantime

If you happen to still be confused.......
Its ok -  it took me time to get this method down too in the past
Follow along on the bench and observe how we are doing it and then you may understand through that
I also suggest for you to read through the thread and study some more so you have a grasp

Puppet the A wins should be 55 and the B wins should be 23. You used 32 for A and 16 for B, Why?

Using your example it should be $5500 in winnings from A and $2300 in winnings from B. Using your calculated 7 losses your profit would be.
$7800 (winnings) - $5600 (7 losses) = +$2200 Making the system profitable.

This does not take in to account the MM system I will be using. Which should increase profits dramatically.

Okay on to the pick!

October 15 (Thursday)
Game 1: Lightning (-230) @ Senators

GL Everyone!