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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL System - 25 game look back

    12 Next Last»
    confucius1
    PuckHog
    smurph_daddy
    jersey_dude
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    12 Next Last»
     
    confucius1
    confucius1
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2016 - 3:23 PM ET #1

    Going to tracking a new system I developed.

    It is a chase/fade system. Looking back at last 10 and 25 games. There's no way to back test but I will track accordingly

    Take last 10 and 25 games GF and GA. 

    We then run a Relative strength index on these two criteria for the last 10 and 25 games.

    We then do a win% of the last 25 games. (wins/total games played)

    *quick note for RSI. RSI levels can only be between 0-100


    For the chase aspect:
    We take teams with a win% over .500 in the last 25 games
    10 Game RSI Under 40
    25 game RSI Over 50
    We chase for 1 win.

    For the Fade aspect:
    We take teams with a win% under .500 in the last 25 games
    10 Game RSI Over 60
    25 game RSI Under 50
    We fade the team for 1 win

    Going to be using Labby line.

    Can't know for sure when there are going to be plays but will post to the best of my ability

    I recently built this system and only started tracking Tuesday.

    So the last two plays were:
    12/14/16 Chasing Tampa bay +110
    12/15/16 Fading Dallas...Played the Rags -120

    For tracking, 1 unit is $15

    Current Record 2-0 +$31.50

    No New plays as of this post








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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Going to tracking a new system I developed.

    It is a chase/fade system. Looking back at last 10 and 25 games. There's no way to back test but I will track accordingly

    Take last 10 and 25 games GF and GA. 

    We then run a Relative strength index on these two criteria for the last 10 and 25 games.

    We then do a win% of the last 25 games. (wins/total games played)

    *quick note for RSI. RSI levels can only be between 0-100


    For the chase aspect:
    We take teams with a win% over .500 in the last 25 games
    10 Game RSI Under 40
    25 game RSI Over 50
    We chase for 1 win.

    For the Fade aspect:
    We take teams with a win% under .500 in the last 25 games
    10 Game RSI Over 60
    25 game RSI Under 50
    We fade the team for 1 win

    Going to be using Labby line.

    Can't know for sure when there are going to be plays but will post to the best of my ability

    I recently built this system and only started tracking Tuesday.

    So the last two plays were:
    12/14/16 Chasing Tampa bay +110
    12/15/16 Fading Dallas...Played the Rags -120

    For tracking, 1 unit is $15

    Current Record 2-0 +$31.50

    No New plays as of this post








     
    confucius1
    confucius1
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2016 - 3:35 PM ET #2

    Two quick edits.

    Relative Strength Indicator not index and the win% is for the season not the last 25 games
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    Two quick edits.

    Relative Strength Indicator not index and the win% is for the season not the last 25 games
     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2016 - 9:25 AM ET #3

    just a quick update.. No new plays but the Caps are close to becoming a chase. Good Luck in the meantime
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    just a quick update.. No new plays but the Caps are close to becoming a chase. Good Luck in the meantime
     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2016 - 9:35 AM ET #4

    Dallas Stars have re-entered as a fade. So Friday we will be playing the LA Kings
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    Dallas Stars have re-entered as a fade. So Friday we will be playing the LA Kings
     
    PuckHog
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2016 - 11:15 PM ET #5

    Hi

    How do I calculate for Montreal based on these numbers?

    Last 10 games  Wins 5 Loss 5    .500        GF 33  GA  22

    Last 25 games  Wins 15  Loss 10   .600    GF 41   GA  39

    Would they be a play in your system?

    Thanks

    Puckhog

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    Hi

    How do I calculate for Montreal based on these numbers?

    Last 10 games  Wins 5 Loss 5    .500        GF 33  GA  22

    Last 25 games  Wins 15  Loss 10   .600    GF 41   GA  39

    Would they be a play in your system?

    Thanks

    Puckhog

     
    smurph_daddy
    smurph_daddy
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2016 - 1:12 AM ET #6

    i don't think i understand how the RSI is created as a number between 1-100
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    i don't think i understand how the RSI is created as a number between 1-100
     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2016 - 11:25 AM ET #7

    The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator, that compares the magnitude of recent gains and losses over a specified time period to measure speed and change of price movements of a security. It is primarily used to attempt to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the trading of an asset.


    I've simply applied this to NHL betting by using Goals for and goals against.


    For Montreal 

    the last 10 game RSI level is 68.42
    the last 25 game RSI level is 59.09

    so currently they are not a play 

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    The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator, that compares the magnitude of recent gains and losses over a specified time period to measure speed and change of price movements of a security. It is primarily used to attempt to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the trading of an asset.


    I've simply applied this to NHL betting by using Goals for and goals against.


    For Montreal 

    the last 10 game RSI level is 68.42
    the last 25 game RSI level is 59.09

    so currently they are not a play 

     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2016 - 11:28 AM ET #8


    The relative strength indicator is a momentum indicator that compares the magnitude of recent gains and losses over a specified time period to measure speed and change of price movements of a security. It is primarily used to attempt to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the trading of an asset.

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    The relative strength indicator is a momentum indicator that compares the magnitude of recent gains and losses over a specified time period to measure speed and change of price movements of a security. It is primarily used to attempt to identify overbought or oversold conditions in the trading of an asset.

     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Dec. 23, 2016 - 9:12 AM ET #9

    Fading Dallas today!  


    Game 1
    The play is the Kings @ +110
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    Fading Dallas today!  


    Game 1
    The play is the Kings @ +110
     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Dec. 27, 2016 - 9:24 AM ET #10

    Game 1 Loss

    Game 2 tonight

    Fading Dallas

    Taking Arizona +120 ($20)
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    Game 1 Loss

    Game 2 tonight

    Fading Dallas

    Taking Arizona +120 ($20)
     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Dec. 28, 2016 - 1:49 PM ET #11

    Game 2 is a loser

    Game 3 Friday Fading Dallas, Playing Colorado


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    Game 2 is a loser

    Game 3 Friday Fading Dallas, Playing Colorado


     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 10:27 AM ET #12

    Game 3 Today Sorry...

    Fading Dallas,Playing Colorado +170 @ $30
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    Game 3 Today Sorry...

    Fading Dallas,Playing Colorado +170 @ $30
     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2016 - 4:47 PM ET #13

    Accounting Update (thanks to DanRulez24)


    Since Tracking 12/16/16

    Overall 2-0 (+$20)

    • Game 1  2-1
    • Game 2  0-1
    • Game 3  0-0 (Pending)
    • Game 4  0-0
    • Game 5   0-0
    • Game 6   0-0
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    Accounting Update (thanks to DanRulez24)


    Since Tracking 12/16/16

    Overall 2-0 (+$20)

    • Game 1  2-1
    • Game 2  0-1
    • Game 3  0-0 (Pending)
    • Game 4  0-0
    • Game 5   0-0
    • Game 6   0-0
     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2016 - 12:15 PM ET #14

    Game 3 loser onto Game 4 tmrw

    Fading Dallas, playing Florida

    No other plays in the system

    Since Tracking 12/16/16

    Overall 2-0 (+$20)

    • (1x)   Game 1  2-1
    • (2x)   Game 2  0-1
    • (3x)   Game 3  0-1
    • (5x)   Game 4  0-0 (pending)
    • (8x)   Game 5   0-0
    • (12x) Game 6   0-0
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    Game 3 loser onto Game 4 tmrw

    Fading Dallas, playing Florida

    No other plays in the system

    Since Tracking 12/16/16

    Overall 2-0 (+$20)

    • (1x)   Game 1  2-1
    • (2x)   Game 2  0-1
    • (3x)   Game 3  0-1
    • (5x)   Game 4  0-0 (pending)
    • (8x)   Game 5   0-0
    • (12x) Game 6   0-0
     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Dec. 31, 2016 - 1:19 PM ET #15

    Game 4, Florida +125, $50 to win $62.50
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    Game 4, Florida +125, $50 to win $62.50
     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2017 - 5:37 PM ET #16

    QUOTE#14
    Posted: 12/30/2016 12:15:12 PM

    Game 4 winner!!!!

    Since Tracking 12/16/16

    Overall 3-0 (+$82.50)

    • (1x)   Game 1  2-1
    • (2x)   Game 2  0-1
    • (3x)   Game 3  0-1
    • (5x)   Game 4  1-0 
    • (8x)   Game 5   0-0
    • (12x) Game 6   0-0
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    QUOTE#14
    Posted: 12/30/2016 12:15:12 PM

    Game 4 winner!!!!

    Since Tracking 12/16/16

    Overall 3-0 (+$82.50)

    • (1x)   Game 1  2-1
    • (2x)   Game 2  0-1
    • (3x)   Game 3  0-1
    • (5x)   Game 4  1-0 
    • (8x)   Game 5   0-0
    • (12x) Game 6   0-0
     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Jan. 3, 2017 - 3:28 PM ET #17

    Just a quick update on some possible plays on the horizon...of course it all depends on the teams performance in the coming games.

    Anaheim - Chase
    Edmonton - Chase
    Toronto - Fade
    Washington- Fade


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    Just a quick update on some possible plays on the horizon...of course it all depends on the teams performance in the coming games.

    Anaheim - Chase
    Edmonton - Chase
    Toronto - Fade
    Washington- Fade


     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2017 - 9:43 AM ET #18

    Vancouver has entered the system as a fade

    Fading Vancouver, playing Calgary on Friday
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    Vancouver has entered the system as a fade

    Fading Vancouver, playing Calgary on Friday
     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Jan. 6, 2017 - 11:01 AM ET #19

    Fading Vancouver

    Friday, Game 1, Calgary, $12 to win $10
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    Fading Vancouver

    Friday, Game 1, Calgary, $12 to win $10
     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2017 - 9:36 AM ET #20

    Didn't get a chance to post

    Fading Vancouver 

    Saturday, Game 2, Calgary -180, 30 to win 20 winner!
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    Didn't get a chance to post

    Fading Vancouver 

    Saturday, Game 2, Calgary -180, 30 to win 20 winner!
     
    jersey_dude
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2017 - 11:56 AM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by confucius1:

    Going to tracking a new system I developed.

    It is a chase/fade system. Looking back at last 10 and 25 games. There's no way to back test but I will track accordingly

    I have a big question (sorry if this was already answered, but I haven't see it):

    The last 10 and 25 games are condidered just from the actually running season, or can go over the last closed season too, if not enough games to consider in the actually running season?

    Because IMO in all sports basing statistics on previous seasons too is to much irrelevant for the present seasons... because in all teams to many players and coaches are changed.
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    Quote Originally Posted by confucius1:

    Going to tracking a new system I developed.

    It is a chase/fade system. Looking back at last 10 and 25 games. There's no way to back test but I will track accordingly

    I have a big question (sorry if this was already answered, but I haven't see it):

    The last 10 and 25 games are condidered just from the actually running season, or can go over the last closed season too, if not enough games to consider in the actually running season?

    Because IMO in all sports basing statistics on previous seasons too is to much irrelevant for the present seasons... because in all teams to many players and coaches are changed.
     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2017 - 12:20 PM ET #22

    Only this season. So in order to run it you have to wait for 25 games in the season for a majority of the teams. 
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    Only this season. So in order to run it you have to wait for 25 games in the season for a majority of the teams. 
     
    confucius1
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2017 - 10:08 AM ET #23

    Since Tracking 12/16/16

    Overall 4-0 

    • (1x)   Game 1  2-1
    • (2x)   Game 2  1-1
    • (3x)   Game 3  0-1
    • (5x)   Game 4  1-0 
    • (8x)   Game 5  0-0
    • (12x) Game 6  0-0
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    Since Tracking 12/16/16

    Overall 4-0 

    • (1x)   Game 1  2-1
    • (2x)   Game 2  1-1
    • (3x)   Game 3  0-1
    • (5x)   Game 4  1-0 
    • (8x)   Game 5  0-0
    • (12x) Game 6  0-0
     
    smurph_daddy
    smurph_daddy
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2015
    Posts: 432
    Posted: Jan. 15, 2017 - 2:01 PM ET #24

    is RSI a stat that is posted on regular sports websites or is it something you calculate on your own? what goes into calculating it?
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    is RSI a stat that is posted on regular sports websites or is it something you calculate on your own? what goes into calculating it?
     
     
    confucius1
    confucius1
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2015
    Posts: 102
    Posted: Feb. 17, 2017 - 1:38 PM ET #25

    Ottawa on the chase!

    For awhile we have not gotten any plays out of this system. Finally get another one. Chase Ottawa for a win!

    I'll post on game day


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    Ottawa on the chase!

    For awhile we have not gotten any plays out of this system. Finally get another one. Chase Ottawa for a win!

    I'll post on game day


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