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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL Post All-Star game system

    «First Previous 141516 ... 262728 Next Last»
    oilcountry99
    Danrules24
    jenjay23
    d_opie
    dawgtennis07
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 75533
    Posts: 685
    «First Previous 141516 ... 262728 Next Last»
     
    oilcountry99
    oilcountry99
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    Posts: 1304
    Posted: Jan. 31, 2016 - 8:44 AM ET #326

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    We have 36 plays this year. I took out all series where a team would play two or more other qualifying teams. Some teams came close to qualifying but adding in the overtime losses made them less than 10 games over 500 (Det, Pitt, Wash, WPG, Van)

    Bet on Home teams (homestand start dates listed):

    • TB - Mar 3, Mar 14, Apr 9
    • Montreal - Jan 31, Feb 10, Mar 28
    • NYI - Feb 10, Feb 22, Mar 24
    • NYR - Jan 29, Feb 22
    • Nash - Feb 10, Feb 24, Mar 17, Mar 29
    • STL - Feb 17, Mar 10, Mar 28, Apr 7
    • Chicago - Feb 9, Mar 2
    • Anaheim - Feb 23, Mar 15, Apr 1

    Bet against Road teams

    • Buffalo - Jan 27, Feb 28
    • Philly - Feb 8, Mar 15
    • NJ - Mar 10
    • Car - Jan 31
    • AZ - Jan 27, Feb 23, Mar 24
    • Edm - Feb 7, Mar 6, Mar 30

    We start on Tuesday Jan 27, fading Buffalo and AZ.


    2015 Backtest, FADE Home teams, PLAY ON Road teams

    Note L = series Loss, otherwise noted which game won

    This is a quick test as I do not show series length or odds, however odds are favorable in our direction.

    This is just food for thought, nothing to discredit what Dan is doing.

    FADE HOME TEAMS:
    TB - L,A,L
    MON - B,B,B
    NYI - D,A,A
    NYR - A,L
    NAS - L,B,A,A
    STL - A,C
    CHI - A,C
    ANA - B,L

    PLAY ON HOME TEAMS:
    BUF - Jan 30 Loss on C, Feb 3 last game of trip won against MTL [+310] reason I noted this is because I wasn't sure if the final game would be played due to the 4 day gap.......BUF LOST the next series

    PHI - A,L
    NJ - C
    CAR - C
    AZ - B,L,A
    EDM - B,L,A

    MM thought:
    Create a labby line for each team to win X unit.  Odds will be favourable in most cases.

    Do what you want with this, I was interested so here it is.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    We have 36 plays this year. I took out all series where a team would play two or more other qualifying teams. Some teams came close to qualifying but adding in the overtime losses made them less than 10 games over 500 (Det, Pitt, Wash, WPG, Van)

    Bet on Home teams (homestand start dates listed):

    • TB - Mar 3, Mar 14, Apr 9
    • Montreal - Jan 31, Feb 10, Mar 28
    • NYI - Feb 10, Feb 22, Mar 24
    • NYR - Jan 29, Feb 22
    • Nash - Feb 10, Feb 24, Mar 17, Mar 29
    • STL - Feb 17, Mar 10, Mar 28, Apr 7
    • Chicago - Feb 9, Mar 2
    • Anaheim - Feb 23, Mar 15, Apr 1

    Bet against Road teams

    • Buffalo - Jan 27, Feb 28
    • Philly - Feb 8, Mar 15
    • NJ - Mar 10
    • Car - Jan 31
    • AZ - Jan 27, Feb 23, Mar 24
    • Edm - Feb 7, Mar 6, Mar 30

    We start on Tuesday Jan 27, fading Buffalo and AZ.


    2015 Backtest, FADE Home teams, PLAY ON Road teams

    Note L = series Loss, otherwise noted which game won

    This is a quick test as I do not show series length or odds, however odds are favorable in our direction.

    This is just food for thought, nothing to discredit what Dan is doing.

    FADE HOME TEAMS:
    TB - L,A,L
    MON - B,B,B
    NYI - D,A,A
    NYR - A,L
    NAS - L,B,A,A
    STL - A,C
    CHI - A,C
    ANA - B,L

    PLAY ON HOME TEAMS:
    BUF - Jan 30 Loss on C, Feb 3 last game of trip won against MTL [+310] reason I noted this is because I wasn't sure if the final game would be played due to the 4 day gap.......BUF LOST the next series

    PHI - A,L
    NJ - C
    CAR - C
    AZ - B,L,A
    EDM - B,L,A

    MM thought:
    Create a labby line for each team to win X unit.  Odds will be favourable in most cases.

    Do what you want with this, I was interested so here it is.

     
    oilcountry99
    oilcountry99
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    Posts: 1304
    Posted: Jan. 31, 2016 - 8:46 AM ET #327

    GRRR, should be an edit feature

    PLAY ON HOME TEAMS should read PLAY ON ROAD TEAMS

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    GRRR, should be an edit feature

    PLAY ON HOME TEAMS should read PLAY ON ROAD TEAMS

     
    oilcountry99
    oilcountry99
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    Joined: Jan, 2010
    Posts: 1304
    Posted: Jan. 31, 2016 - 8:48 AM ET #328

    2015 Backtest, FADE Home teams, PLAY ON Road teams

    Note L = series Loss, otherwise noted which game won

    This is a quick test as I do not show series length or odds, however odds are favorable in our direction.

    This is just food for thought, nothing to discredit what Dan is doing.

    FADE HOME TEAMS:
    TB - L,A,L
    MON - B,B,B
    NYI - D,A,A
    NYR - A,L
    NAS - L,B,A,A
    STL - A,C
    CHI - A,C
    ANA - B,L

    PLAY ON ROAD TEAMS:
    BUF - Jan 30 Loss on C, Feb 3 last game of trip won against MTL [+310] reason I noted this is because I wasn't sure if the final game would be played due to the 4 day gap.......BUF LOST the next series

    PHI - A,L
    NJ - C
    CAR - C
    AZ - B,L,A
    EDM - B,L,A

    MM thought:
    Create a labby line for each team to win X unit.  Odds will be favourable in most cases.

    Do what you want with this, I was interested so here it is.


    **Corrected the error**
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    2015 Backtest, FADE Home teams, PLAY ON Road teams

    Note L = series Loss, otherwise noted which game won

    This is a quick test as I do not show series length or odds, however odds are favorable in our direction.

    This is just food for thought, nothing to discredit what Dan is doing.

    FADE HOME TEAMS:
    TB - L,A,L
    MON - B,B,B
    NYI - D,A,A
    NYR - A,L
    NAS - L,B,A,A
    STL - A,C
    CHI - A,C
    ANA - B,L

    PLAY ON ROAD TEAMS:
    BUF - Jan 30 Loss on C, Feb 3 last game of trip won against MTL [+310] reason I noted this is because I wasn't sure if the final game would be played due to the 4 day gap.......BUF LOST the next series

    PHI - A,L
    NJ - C
    CAR - C
    AZ - B,L,A
    EDM - B,L,A

    MM thought:
    Create a labby line for each team to win X unit.  Odds will be favourable in most cases.

    Do what you want with this, I was interested so here it is.


    **Corrected the error**
     
    oilcountry99
    oilcountry99
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    Posts: 1304
    Posted: Jan. 31, 2016 - 9:07 AM ET #329

    Disregard the MM advice as it makes zero sense LOL.
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    Disregard the MM advice as it makes zero sense LOL.
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posts: 5921
    Posted: Feb. 2, 2016 - 3:03 PM ET #330

    Let's get this started.

    Tuesday - Edmonton (fade Columbus).

    • Current season: 0-0
    • Overall tracking: 51-1

    • A:
    • B: 
    • C:
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Let's get this started.

    Tuesday - Edmonton (fade Columbus).

    • Current season: 0-0
    • Overall tracking: 51-1

    • A:
    • B: 
    • C:
     
    jenjay23
    jenjay23
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    Posts: 343
    Posted: Feb. 2, 2016 - 5:12 PM ET #331

    BOL .  I have always found this one to be a nice BR builder for going into MLB.  I am confidant this year will be no exception
    GL
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    BOL .  I have always found this one to be a nice BR builder for going into MLB.  I am confidant this year will be no exception
    GL
     
    oilcountry99
    oilcountry99
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    Posts: 1304
    Posted: Feb. 2, 2016 - 7:00 PM ET #332

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Let's get this started.

    Tuesday - Edmonton (fade Columbus).

    • Current season: 0-0
    • Overall tracking: 51-1

    • A:
    • B: 
    • C:

    Good luck Dan, I'm going to run the opposite direction this season with some labby lines for fun and see what happens.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Let's get this started.

    Tuesday - Edmonton (fade Columbus).

    • Current season: 0-0
    • Overall tracking: 51-1

    • A:
    • B: 
    • C:

    Good luck Dan, I'm going to run the opposite direction this season with some labby lines for fun and see what happens.
     
    d_opie
    d_opie
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2016 - 8:39 PM ET #333

    Good Luck followers!
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    Good Luck followers!
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2016 - 9:13 PM ET #334

    Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:


    Good luck Dan, I'm going to run the opposite direction this season with some labby lines for fun and see what happens.

    Good luck, I hope you win every B game. lol

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by oilcountry99:


    Good luck Dan, I'm going to run the opposite direction this season with some labby lines for fun and see what happens.

    Good luck, I hope you win every B game. lol

     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Feb. 2, 2016 - 11:46 PM ET #335

    Tuesday results - Edmonton (fade Columbus) - WIN

    • Current season: 1-0
    • Overall tracking: 52-1

    • A: 1-0
    • B: 
    • C:

    Next play is Thursday, fade Edmonton.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Tuesday results - Edmonton (fade Columbus) - WIN

    • Current season: 1-0
    • Overall tracking: 52-1

    • A: 1-0
    • B: 
    • C:

    Next play is Thursday, fade Edmonton.

     
    oilcountry99
    oilcountry99
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2016 - 11:08 AM ET #336

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Good luck, I hope you win every B game. lol


    LOL, me too! 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Good luck, I hope you win every B game. lol


    LOL, me too! 
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2016 - 12:21 PM ET #337

    Thursday - Ottawa (fade Edmonton) - A game
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Thursday - Ottawa (fade Edmonton) - A game
     
    dawgtennis07
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2016 - 4:50 PM ET #338

    Dan I'm following along this year. I'm not sure if I'm correct but you're using a pure martingale mm for this? That's what seems to make the most sense to me but I just wanted to be sure.  Thanks for the work and GL tonight!
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    Dan I'm following along this year. I'm not sure if I'm correct but you're using a pure martingale mm for this? That's what seems to make the most sense to me but I just wanted to be sure.  Thanks for the work and GL tonight!
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2016 - 4:56 PM ET #339

    Quote Originally Posted by dawgtennis07:

    Dan I'm following along this year. I'm not sure if I'm correct but you're using a pure martingale mm for this? That's what seems to make the most sense to me but I just wanted to be sure.  Thanks for the work and GL tonight!

    I am doing pure Martingale. Since there are only 16 plays, I'll do Martingale to start, with full betting unit size. May adjust depending results.

    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by dawgtennis07:

    Dan I'm following along this year. I'm not sure if I'm correct but you're using a pure martingale mm for this? That's what seems to make the most sense to me but I just wanted to be sure.  Thanks for the work and GL tonight!

    I am doing pure Martingale. Since there are only 16 plays, I'll do Martingale to start, with full betting unit size. May adjust depending results.

     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2016 - 5:06 PM ET #340

    I'm doing Martingale and sprinkling a bit on the puck line as well.....worked well Tuesday in play one. Good luck guys, thanks again for the effort Dan.
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    I'm doing Martingale and sprinkling a bit on the puck line as well.....worked well Tuesday in play one. Good luck guys, thanks again for the effort Dan.
     
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2016 - 10:18 PM ET #341

    Thursday results - Ottawa (fade Edmonton) - A game - LOSS

    Next game is Saturday. Mon (fade Edm) B game and Ott (fade Tor) A game.

    • Current season: 1-0
    • Overall tracking: 52-1

    • A: 1-1
    • B: 0-0 (fade Edm pending)  
    • C:
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Thursday results - Ottawa (fade Edmonton) - A game - LOSS

    Next game is Saturday. Mon (fade Edm) B game and Ott (fade Tor) A game.

    • Current season: 1-0
    • Overall tracking: 52-1

    • A: 1-1
    • B: 0-0 (fade Edm pending)  
    • C:
     
    cougarpines
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    Posted: Feb. 4, 2016 - 11:29 PM ET #342

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Thursday results - Ottawa (fade Edmonton) - A game - LOSS

    Next game is Saturday. Mon (fade Edm) B game and Ott (fade Tor) A game.

    • Current season: 1-0
    • Overall tracking: 52-1

    • A: 1-1
    • B: 0-0 (fade Edm pending)  
    • C:
    Hopefully Montreal's slide in production will bring friendly juice on the ML 
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Thursday results - Ottawa (fade Edmonton) - A game - LOSS

    Next game is Saturday. Mon (fade Edm) B game and Ott (fade Tor) A game.

    • Current season: 1-0
    • Overall tracking: 52-1

    • A: 1-1
    • B: 0-0 (fade Edm pending)  
    • C:
    Hopefully Montreal's slide in production will bring friendly juice on the ML 
     
    kenkean89
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Feb. 6, 2016 - 9:54 PM ET #343

    Well done Dan!!  Nice start.
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    Well done Dan!!  Nice start.
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posts: 5921
    Posted: Feb. 6, 2016 - 10:23 PM ET #344

    Saturday results - Mon (fade Edm) B game and Ott (fade Tor) A game - Winner, Winner

    Next game is Tuesday on Chicago

    • Current season: 3-0
    • Overall tracking: 54-1

    • A: 2-1
    • B: 1-0  
    • C:
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Saturday results - Mon (fade Edm) B game and Ott (fade Tor) A game - Winner, Winner

    Next game is Tuesday on Chicago

    • Current season: 3-0
    • Overall tracking: 54-1

    • A: 2-1
    • B: 1-0  
    • C:
     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 6:35 AM ET #345

    solid start

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    solid start

     
    Dixienormas2
    Dixienormas2
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 8:58 AM ET #346

    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Saturday results - Mon (fade Edm) B game and Ott (fade Tor) A game - Winner, Winner
    Next game is Tuesday on Chicago

    Current season: 3-0
    Overall tracking: 54-1


    A: 2-1

    B: 1-0  

    C:

    On Chicago fade San Jose?
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

    Saturday results - Mon (fade Edm) B game and Ott (fade Tor) A game - Winner, Winner
    Next game is Tuesday on Chicago

    Current season: 3-0
    Overall tracking: 54-1


    A: 2-1

    B: 1-0  

    C:

    On Chicago fade San Jose?
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posts: 5921
    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 11:00 AM ET #347

    Quote Originally Posted by Dixienormas2:


    On Chicago fade San Jose?

    The play today is on Chicago, not fade SJ. If Chicago loses we bet on them the next game and we don't follow SJ.  SJ is not a target team to fade. See post 320. 
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dixienormas2:


    On Chicago fade San Jose?

    The play today is on Chicago, not fade SJ. If Chicago loses we bet on them the next game and we don't follow SJ.  SJ is not a target team to fade. See post 320. 
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2016 - 11:08 PM ET #348

    Tuesday results - Chicago A game - Loss

    Next game is Thursday on Chicago. I was going to skip this game against Dallas but will play it and extend this to a 4 game chase if need be. Line against Dallas shouldn't be too bad.

    • Current season: 3-0
    • Overall tracking: 54-1

    • A: 2-2
    • B: 1-0  (Chi pending)
    • C:
    • D:
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Tuesday results - Chicago A game - Loss

    Next game is Thursday on Chicago. I was going to skip this game against Dallas but will play it and extend this to a 4 game chase if need be. Line against Dallas shouldn't be too bad.

    • Current season: 3-0
    • Overall tracking: 54-1

    • A: 2-2
    • B: 1-0  (Chi pending)
    • C:
    • D:
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Feb. 11, 2016 - 11:58 AM ET #349

    Thursday - Blackhawks B game
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Thursday - Blackhawks B game
     
     
    Danrules24
    Danrules24
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2016 - 12:54 PM ET #350

    Saturday - Hawks C game
    Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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    Saturday - Hawks C game
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