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NHL +money O/U Picks

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Posted: #1
I did this last season and it worked pretty well. O/U usually hits about 50%. If enough people are on the under, the over will offer +money. (or vice versa)
 
It usually doesn't yeild huge profits, but still, profit is profit.
 
Saturday Oct. 4th
Pit/Ott Over 6 (+107)
 
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Posted: #2
Pittsburgh won 4-3, therefore I won :)
 
YTD = 1-0 +1.07u
 
Good Start :)
 
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Posted: #3
Record: 1-0 +1.07u
 
Oct. 5th, 2008
TB/NYR Over 5.5 (+112)
Ott/Pit Over 6 (+115)
 
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Posted: #4

Record: 1-2 -0.93u

Oct. 9th, 2008
Tor/Det Over 5.5 (+111)
Bos/Col Over 5.5 (+109)
Cal/Van Under 5 (+116)

 
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Posted: #5
Record: 2-4 -1.84u
 
Oct. 10th, 2008
Fla/Car Over 6 (+135)
Chi/NYR Over 5.5 (+126)
Mon/Buf Over 6 (+121)
Was/Atl Over 6 (+128)
Nsh/Stl Under 5 (+117)
 
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Posted: #6
 
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Posted: #7
Record 5-6 +0.05u

Oct. 11th, 2008
Det/Ott Over 5.5 (+113)
NYR/Phi Over 5.5 (+109)
NJ/Pit Under 5 (+105)
Dal/Nsh Under 5 (+113)
Clb/Pho Over 5.5 (+126)
Van/Cal Under 5 (+117)
LA/SJ Over 5.5 (+113)
 
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Posted: #8
Record 8-10 -0.68u

Oct. 12th, 2008
Col/Edm Under 5.5 (+114)
SJ/LA Over 5.5 (+121)
 
Covers Rehab
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Joined: Dec, 2007
Posts: 146
Posted: #9
Is this still going???
 
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Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by STEVEPERRY:

Is this still going???

Yeah I've been busy, I'll post tomorrow games in the morning.

Last day I posted was 1-1 +0.14u putting the posted record at
9-11 -0.54u
 
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Posted: #11
Oct 25th, 2008
Ana/Mon Over 5.5 (+114)
Atl/Bos Over 5.5 (+107)
NJ/Phi Over 5.5 (+114)
Pit/NYR Over 5.5 (+130)
Ott/Tor Under 5.5 (+102)
SJ/TB Over 5.5 (+108)
Clb/Min Under 5 (+110)
LA/Nsh Under 5.5 (+108)
Det/Chi Over 5.5 (+103)
Buf/Col Under 5.5 (+103)
 
Prospect
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Joined: Apr, 2007
Posts: 346
Posted: #12
6-4 Saturday nice........up over 2 units on the day sweet!
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by Stake24:

6-4 Saturday nice........up over 2 units on the day sweet!


Indeed!

Saturday = 6-4 +2.39u

Overall
15-15 +1.85u

October 27th, 2008
Ott/Buf Over 6 (+122)
NYR/NYI Over 5.5 (+130)
Ana/Clb Under 5 (+120)
Chi/Min Under 5 (+110)
Det/LA Over 6 (+120)
 
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Posted: #14
Monday = 3-0-2 +3.72u

Overall
18-15-2 +5.57u

October 28th, 2008
Phi/Atl Under 5.5 (+116)
Car/Mon Under 5.5 (+117)
TB/Tor Over 5.5 (+114)
Col/Cal Under 5.5 (+114)
Pit/SJ Over 5.5 (+131)
 
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Posted: #15
I am impressed with this. I too am working on systems constantly. I believe their are angles that work espeacially when they are based on fundamentals that take advantage of value. The beauty of your system is it is easy to check. Many of my ideas are based on year end stats that vary throughout the year. I have an NBA system  I am testing now and a MLB that I am finished with. If you are interested I can email too you. Thanks   
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by Diamondjake:

I am impressed with this. I too am working on systems constantly. I believe their are angles that work espeacially when they are based on fundamentals that take advantage of value. The beauty of your system is it is easy to check. Many of my ideas are based on year end stats that vary throughout the year. I have an NBA system  I am testing now and a MLB that I am finished with. If you are interested I can email too you. Thanks   


I'm always interested in hearing about new systems. Shoot me an email, my emails on my space
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by Tomspeople:

Monday = 3-0-2 +3.72u

Overall
18-15-2 +5.57u

October 28th, 2008
Phi/Atl Under 5.5 (+116)
Car/Mon Under 5.5 (+117)
TB/Tor Over 5.5 (+114)
Col/Cal Under 5.5 (+114)
Pit/SJ Over 5.5 (+131)

I'm gonna call Pit/SJ Over a loss since its 1-0 in the 3rd. If it does go over I'll come back and change the record. I just wanted to post before I hit the hay

Oct 28th = 3-2 +1.45u

Overall
21-16-2 +7.02u
 
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Posted: #18
October 29th
Tor/NJ Under 5 (+117)
Min/Dal Under 5 (+133)
Det/Ana Over 5.5 (+126)
 
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Posted: #19
Oct. 29th = 1-2 -0.74u

Overall
22-18 +6.28u

October 30th
Atl/NYR Over 5.5 (+120)
NYI/Phi Under 5.5 (+110)
TB/Buf Over 5.5 (+111)
Mon/Min Over 5.5 (+114)
Bos/Cal Over 5.5 (+125)
Clb/Col Under 5.5 (+101)
Pit/Pho Over 5.5 (+126)
Det/Sj Over 5.5 (+116)
 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2008
Posts: 96
Posted: #20
Tomspeople,
Seems like there has been alot of high scoring games the season so far. Any idea which one is hitting more, the over or under?
 
Captain
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Posts: 7166
Posted: #21

Over vs. Under Trends

Percent
Overtime Games 21 55.26% 17 44.74%
Non-Overtime Games 50 54.95% 41 45.05%
All Games 71 55.04% 58 44.96%
 
Prospect
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Posts: 96
Posted: #22
What about the just the games that Tomspeople plays with the +money odds?
 
Prospect
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Posts: 106
Posted: #23
Can you give out your web page address?  thanks
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by rome1:

Can you give out your web page address?  thanks

It's on my space, we're not allowed to post it on the forum I don't believe.

and tb, I'll look into it. Since it's just based on getting good odds on 50/50 plays, it should still be about the same as the overall % chevy posted. I'll check though
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by Tomspeople:

Oct. 29th = 1-2 -0.74u

Overall
22-18 +6.28u

October 30th
Atl/NYR Over 5.5 (+120) L
NYI/Phi Under 5.5 (+110) W
TB/Buf Over 5.5 (+111) W
Mon/Min Over 5.5 (+114) L
Bos/Cal Over 5.5 (+125) L
Clb/Col Under 5.5 (+101) L
Pit/Pho Over 5.5 (+126) L
Det/Sj Over 5.5 (+116) W


Bad day yesterday..

Oct30 = 3-5 -1.53u

Overall
25-23 = +4.75u

October 31st, 2008
Dal/Chi Under 5.5 (+102)
Van/Ana Over 5.5 (+122)
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