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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL Home Chase 3 Games Variation Plus

    «First Previous 8910 ... 91011 Next Last»
    elithepunk
    Tomspeople
    boberts427
    expertcapper
    Vegassportsgirl
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 8955
    Posts: 254
    «First Previous 8910 ... 91011 Next Last»
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2008 - 9:26 PM ET #176

    Quote Originally Posted by PrimerWalking:

     but i was wondering what would be the best wagering site for canadians or does it not matter? good luck on tonight's games!
     
    cheers!


    Ohh yes! Pinnacle is the way to go. I have nothing to do with the site but they have amazingly fast payments and basically no hassle all the way through. Another alternative is 5dimes. BOL with whatever you choose and welcome aboard.
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    Quote Originally Posted by PrimerWalking:

     but i was wondering what would be the best wagering site for canadians or does it not matter? good luck on tonight's games!
     
    cheers!


    Ohh yes! Pinnacle is the way to go. I have nothing to do with the site but they have amazingly fast payments and basically no hassle all the way through. Another alternative is 5dimes. BOL with whatever you choose and welcome aboard.
     
    Tomspeople
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2008 - 3:22 AM ET #177

    Glad my systems still hanging around and people are still doing variations on it, keep it up :)
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    Glad my systems still hanging around and people are still doing variations on it, keep it up :)
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2008 - 10:16 AM ET #178

    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:



    Chicago
    Calgary -112                

    Ottawa
    New Jersey -145             

    Lets get  em
    Good luck!!!!




    WTF is wrong with Calgary. Thought for sure they were gonna pull off the win in OT. Oh well, still a winner yesterday night.

    Makes the record 57 - 1 with Calgary on to game 2 of the chase.
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    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:



    Chicago
    Calgary -112                

    Ottawa
    New Jersey -145             

    Lets get  em
    Good luck!!!!




    WTF is wrong with Calgary. Thought for sure they were gonna pull off the win in OT. Oh well, still a winner yesterday night.

    Makes the record 57 - 1 with Calgary on to game 2 of the chase.
     
    boberts427
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2008 - 6:23 PM ET #179

    im stupid....
     
    just post the plays
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    im stupid....
     
    just post the plays
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2008 - 6:38 PM ET #180

    NO PLAYS TODAY


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    NO PLAYS TODAY


     
    Vegassportsgirl
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2008 - 11:09 PM ET #181

    Any females following the thread were asked to stand.....  Quite the awesome systems you all are collaborating on......IMPRESSIVE!!!
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    Any females following the thread were asked to stand.....  Quite the awesome systems you all are collaborating on......IMPRESSIVE!!!
     
    ketut
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 8:55 AM ET #182

    Quote Originally Posted by Champs580307:

    I've been using this man's 3-game chase system for a couple of weeks now and have had great success with it. I don't have my numbers in front of me at the moment but it's running at or just above 70% so far.

    I did, however, make a few tweaks to the system as he described it... not very much. I use the top 8 home records and the bottom 4 just to tilt the odds in my favor slightly.

    As for "best record"? Simple...I do the math and calculate a winning percentage to determine the top and bottom teams.

    Math's simple:

    WinPct=(100/TotalHomeGames)*(Wins+(Ties*0.5))

    This perhaps the best winning yet sinfully simple systems I've dabbled with.
    Champs580307, just curious  Who do you have for the top 8 and bottom 4 teams today, thanks
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    Quote Originally Posted by Champs580307:

    I've been using this man's 3-game chase system for a couple of weeks now and have had great success with it. I don't have my numbers in front of me at the moment but it's running at or just above 70% so far.

    I did, however, make a few tweaks to the system as he described it... not very much. I use the top 8 home records and the bottom 4 just to tilt the odds in my favor slightly.

    As for "best record"? Simple...I do the math and calculate a winning percentage to determine the top and bottom teams.

    Math's simple:

    WinPct=(100/TotalHomeGames)*(Wins+(Ties*0.5))

    This perhaps the best winning yet sinfully simple systems I've dabbled with.
    Champs580307, just curious  Who do you have for the top 8 and bottom 4 teams today, thanks
     
    ketut
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 9:04 AM ET #183

    Quote Originally Posted by ketut:

    Champs580307, just curious  Who do you have for the top 8 and bottom 4 teams today, thanks

    Champs, another thing, when you are using your formula, in the 2nd part of your formula.  Are you using "home" wins or all wins. Can you show how you calculate Florida today. Thanks.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ketut:

    Champs580307, just curious  Who do you have for the top 8 and bottom 4 teams today, thanks

    Champs, another thing, when you are using your formula, in the 2nd part of your formula.  Are you using "home" wins or all wins. Can you show how you calculate Florida today. Thanks.

     
    jetmech
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 10:42 AM ET #184

    Home adv is a powerful thing
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    Home adv is a powerful thing
     
    DIMECLUB
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 12:19 PM ET #185

     Just checking < i have florida in game-1 today .  Is this correct?
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     Just checking < i have florida in game-1 today .  Is this correct?
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 12:32 PM ET #186

    Today December 21,2008

    Colorado +120
    Florida  has won only 1game out of their last 4 at home> Plus Colorado has won the last 4 meetings at Florida. Another reason is the line was -140 went down to -120. I think I am on the right side here, thanks. Even though they are 6-4 at home I think i will close the chase right here.I am going to make my final decision at one hour before the puck is launched.
    Good luck as always
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    Today December 21,2008

    Colorado +120
    Florida  has won only 1game out of their last 4 at home> Plus Colorado has won the last 4 meetings at Florida. Another reason is the line was -140 went down to -120. I think I am on the right side here, thanks. Even though they are 6-4 at home I think i will close the chase right here.I am going to make my final decision at one hour before the puck is launched.
    Good luck as always
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 12:44 PM ET #187

    Damn, I should have checked here BEFORE I placed my bet.  I was thinking we were chasing Florida to win one starting today.
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    Damn, I should have checked here BEFORE I placed my bet.  I was thinking we were chasing Florida to win one starting today.
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 12:56 PM ET #188

    Seahawk your fine , you are following the chase system, I am just handicapping it also. So this game could go either way I just think Colorado wins this one. I am going against the system what I shouldn't but I have a gut feeling. Hope this helps you understand.
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    Seahawk your fine , you are following the chase system, I am just handicapping it also. So this game could go either way I just think Colorado wins this one. I am going against the system what I shouldn't but I have a gut feeling. Hope this helps you understand.
     
    ketut
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 1:06 PM ET #189

    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

    Seahawk your fine , you are following the chase system, I am just handicapping it also. So this game could go either way I just think Colorado wins this one. I am going against the system what I shouldn't but I have a gut feeling. Hope this helps you understand.
    Help? Im kind of lost here.  Florida is listed as one of the bottom/worst home teams, so should'nt we playing this series betting AGAINST Florida?
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    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

    Seahawk your fine , you are following the chase system, I am just handicapping it also. So this game could go either way I just think Colorado wins this one. I am going against the system what I shouldn't but I have a gut feeling. Hope this helps you understand.
    Help? Im kind of lost here.  Florida is listed as one of the bottom/worst home teams, so should'nt we playing this series betting AGAINST Florida?
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 1:32 PM ET #190

    Quote Originally Posted by ketut:

    Help? Im kind of lost here.  Florida is listed as one of the bottom/worst home teams, so should'nt we playing this series betting AGAINST Florida?


    Exactly, notice how expert wrote  <<Colorado +120>>. This means take Colorado. I think this is the right play. Good value in fading the home team. Hopefully, it will hit.
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    Quote Originally Posted by ketut:

    Help? Im kind of lost here.  Florida is listed as one of the bottom/worst home teams, so should'nt we playing this series betting AGAINST Florida?


    Exactly, notice how expert wrote  <<Colorado +120>>. This means take Colorado. I think this is the right play. Good value in fading the home team. Hopefully, it will hit.
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 1:39 PM ET #191

    Thanks expert.  I screwed up and may hedge this or just stay on it and hope Florida can grab a win at home. 
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    Thanks expert.  I screwed up and may hedge this or just stay on it and hope Florida can grab a win at home. 
     
    jetmech
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 2:20 PM ET #192

    FLA should win today...
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    FLA should win today...
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 4:59 PM ET #193

    MY FINAL THOUGHTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


    Colorado +120   



    Take it to the bank
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    MY FINAL THOUGHTS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


    Colorado +120   



    Take it to the bank
     
    PrimerWalking
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 8:22 PM ET #194

    not sure what went on....but i hope that i am not posting this twice....i was going to start an account with Pinnacle however has anybody noticed this message

    Please note:

    Effective immediately, hockey games will be graded on the results of regulation time only, unless explicitly stated otherwise in the line offering.

     

    does it mean that OT is no longer considered in the result of the game? this would make it harder to win if this is the case.

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    not sure what went on....but i hope that i am not posting this twice....i was going to start an account with Pinnacle however has anybody noticed this message

    Please note:

    Effective immediately, hockey games will be graded on the results of regulation time only, unless explicitly stated otherwise in the line offering.

     

    does it mean that OT is no longer considered in the result of the game? this would make it harder to win if this is the case.

     
    Lippsman
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 8:46 PM ET #195

    Don't pay attention to that.  Something confusing they never changed from a couple of years ago when the rule changes went into effect
     
    If you play with OT included, then OT is included
     
     
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    Don't pay attention to that.  Something confusing they never changed from a couple of years ago when the rule changes went into effect
     
    If you play with OT included, then OT is included
     
     
     
    PrimerWalking
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 10:02 PM ET #196

    thanks lippsman!
     
    just a thought.....i am not sure it pinnacle offers the option but depending on what the decimal odds and the money line odds are for a game it would cost less to make the 1 unit. for example if we look at the phx vs edm (nhl) the money line odds is -130 on pinnacle but the decimal odds is 1.77 on bwin. it would therefore only cost you 113 to win the 1 unit not 130 as with the money line. it does require you to have two accounts which sucks but over time and many wagers it may be best to flip between the two. any thoughts?  
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    thanks lippsman!
     
    just a thought.....i am not sure it pinnacle offers the option but depending on what the decimal odds and the money line odds are for a game it would cost less to make the 1 unit. for example if we look at the phx vs edm (nhl) the money line odds is -130 on pinnacle but the decimal odds is 1.77 on bwin. it would therefore only cost you 113 to win the 1 unit not 130 as with the money line. it does require you to have two accounts which sucks but over time and many wagers it may be best to flip between the two. any thoughts?  
     
    Lippsman
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 10:31 PM ET #197

    You should have as many books that you can stand.  Personally I use 5 and a local.  Line shopping is the only way to go.
     
    You need to add 5Dimes as another book.  They have more options for puck wagering than any other book
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    You should have as many books that you can stand.  Personally I use 5 and a local.  Line shopping is the only way to go.
     
    You need to add 5Dimes as another book.  They have more options for puck wagering than any other book
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 10:56 PM ET #198

    Quote Originally Posted by jetmech:

    FLA should win today...


    Nice call! Unfortunately, the system play was the team that got shut out by Vokoun who only had to stop 23 shots so we'll have to add Florida to the home (fade) chase.
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    Quote Originally Posted by jetmech:

    FLA should win today...


    Nice call! Unfortunately, the system play was the team that got shut out by Vokoun who only had to stop 23 shots so we'll have to add Florida to the home (fade) chase.
     
    24themoney13
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 11:21 PM ET #199

    I laid off this bet tonite, I wasn't sure if I should fade or not. Just a suggestion wondering if we should test this......Chase the top teams at home and chase the bottom 8 to loose in a series on the road. It would seem more probable that the weaker teams would be more apt to loose on a road series than to have the home advantage. If you chase top teams at home they would be more likely to win at home and bet against bottom teams on the road series. Thoughts on this.......

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    I laid off this bet tonite, I wasn't sure if I should fade or not. Just a suggestion wondering if we should test this......Chase the top teams at home and chase the bottom 8 to loose in a series on the road. It would seem more probable that the weaker teams would be more apt to loose on a road series than to have the home advantage. If you chase top teams at home they would be more likely to win at home and bet against bottom teams on the road series. Thoughts on this.......

     
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2008 - 11:45 PM ET #200

    24-  Good call on laying off. This is why I say a mix of handicapping and system strategy is necessary to do well.

    As for your suggestion, funny that you mention it. I was gonna bring it up. The results are OUTSTANDING for home chasing when teams that are visiting are on a 3 game or more road trip. Check this out.

    I've tracked ALL teams whether it be Detroit or San Jose or the worst teams, and I am  64 - 3  ( only Chicago, Anaheim, and Minnesota have sweeped a 3 or more road trip ). Only problem here is the high juice encountered because bets are always on the home team.  Keep in mind I have Anaheim and Boston that won both their first road games so I am currently chasing with them. But, otherwise, 64 wins with 3 series loss ( only one was 4 games with Anaheim in the start of the season) .

    This means your idea should perhaps be taken very seriously.
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    24-  Good call on laying off. This is why I say a mix of handicapping and system strategy is necessary to do well.

    As for your suggestion, funny that you mention it. I was gonna bring it up. The results are OUTSTANDING for home chasing when teams that are visiting are on a 3 game or more road trip. Check this out.

    I've tracked ALL teams whether it be Detroit or San Jose or the worst teams, and I am  64 - 3  ( only Chicago, Anaheim, and Minnesota have sweeped a 3 or more road trip ). Only problem here is the high juice encountered because bets are always on the home team.  Keep in mind I have Anaheim and Boston that won both their first road games so I am currently chasing with them. But, otherwise, 64 wins with 3 series loss ( only one was 4 games with Anaheim in the start of the season) .

    This means your idea should perhaps be taken very seriously.
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