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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NHL Home Chase 3 Games Variation Plus

    «First Previous 567 ... 91011 Next Last»
    seahawksanders
    expertcapper
    hookemdustin
    elithepunk
    bradschmit
    ...
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    «First Previous 567 ... 91011 Next Last»
     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2008 - 6:21 PM ET #101

    Wow, this is AMAZING. Great run guy!  I know I'm incredibly late to the game, but I'm in NOW and all over Edmonton & the Kings tonight! 
     
    I realize it's almost certainly going to suffer some losses, but I have to ride this train while it's still moving so fast!  Thank you all for this (anyone ever tested this back to previous seasons?).
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    Wow, this is AMAZING. Great run guy!  I know I'm incredibly late to the game, but I'm in NOW and all over Edmonton & the Kings tonight! 
     
    I realize it's almost certainly going to suffer some losses, but I have to ride this train while it's still moving so fast!  Thank you all for this (anyone ever tested this back to previous seasons?).
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2008 - 10:30 PM ET #102

    Quote Originally Posted by elithepunk:



    What are you referring to expert? 5 total series losses per season? I think it is extremely hard to predict how many losses we will have to go through because this is a mix between handicapping and strategy plays. We are not blindly fading bad home teams nor are we blindly betting all home teams so that's what makes it interesting. However, it is still a chase system so the losses will be substantial if it is someone's first play.

    What I am saying Eli if you played all the home teams in each case for 3 games only it would average 5 losses. I apologize if I did not clarify that.
    BTW, are you a NHL (caps) fan ?
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    Quote Originally Posted by elithepunk:



    What are you referring to expert? 5 total series losses per season? I think it is extremely hard to predict how many losses we will have to go through because this is a mix between handicapping and strategy plays. We are not blindly fading bad home teams nor are we blindly betting all home teams so that's what makes it interesting. However, it is still a chase system so the losses will be substantial if it is someone's first play.

    What I am saying Eli if you played all the home teams in each case for 3 games only it would average 5 losses. I apologize if I did not clarify that.
    BTW, are you a NHL (caps) fan ?
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2008 - 10:31 PM ET #103

    yes big time fan of Washington
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    yes big time fan of Washington
     
    hookemdustin
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2008 - 1:35 AM ET #104

    Thanks for the answers guys, hmmmmm I don't know jack about the NHL so I'd be blindly tailing (which looks like a great plan so far) maybe I'll get in and if it loses I'll just have to anne up the next chase to try and covers if the first one loses?  I just got home and saw on sports center that philly/carolina and nashville/columbus went to OT so does that mean play under on these starting new chases for all 4 teams or have yall abandoned the under plays and just going with good teams and going against awful teams?
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    Thanks for the answers guys, hmmmmm I don't know jack about the NHL so I'd be blindly tailing (which looks like a great plan so far) maybe I'll get in and if it loses I'll just have to anne up the next chase to try and covers if the first one loses?  I just got home and saw on sports center that philly/carolina and nashville/columbus went to OT so does that mean play under on these starting new chases for all 4 teams or have yall abandoned the under plays and just going with good teams and going against awful teams?
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2008 - 9:09 AM ET #105

    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:


    RESULTS
    December 11,  2 games on tap for the chase

    Florida
    Edmonton -150            

    St.Louis
    LA Kings  -150           



    Now  51 - 0   (but need to chase with Edmonton) . Anyone else needing to be chased Expert? Lost track of the lost games.
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    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:


    RESULTS
    December 11,  2 games on tap for the chase

    Florida
    Edmonton -150            

    St.Louis
    LA Kings  -150           



    Now  51 - 0   (but need to chase with Edmonton) . Anyone else needing to be chased Expert? Lost track of the lost games.
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2008 - 9:12 AM ET #106

    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

    yes big time fan of Washington


    Oh oh , I think we'll be playing against each other Saturday night .


    Hookemdustin - You are referring to both systems in your last question. If you ar einterested in the over/unders, check out the NHL overtime spoiler thread, you'll find out what the plays are. In here, we have won with the Kings beating the Blues but will need to chase with the Oilers since they lost a home game when they were a favorite.
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    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

    yes big time fan of Washington


    Oh oh , I think we'll be playing against each other Saturday night .


    Hookemdustin - You are referring to both systems in your last question. If you ar einterested in the over/unders, check out the NHL overtime spoiler thread, you'll find out what the plays are. In here, we have won with the Kings beating the Blues but will need to chase with the Oilers since they lost a home game when they were a favorite.
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2008 - 9:21 AM ET #107

    yes Eli we are 51-0 and chasing Edmonton, I watched that game was a very intriguing game where Edmonton out shot Floria by 20 shots but could not get the puck in the net.It happens in hockey.
    No games today that I can see in the chase so kick back and relax
    Cheers!!!!!!
    Oh, Eli I guess I figured out who your team is Montreal well Good luck
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    yes Eli we are 51-0 and chasing Edmonton, I watched that game was a very intriguing game where Edmonton out shot Floria by 20 shots but could not get the puck in the net.It happens in hockey.
    No games today that I can see in the chase so kick back and relax
    Cheers!!!!!!
    Oh, Eli I guess I figured out who your team is Montreal well Good luck
     
    hookemdustin
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2008 - 11:22 AM ET #108

    Eli haha just figured this out, thanks for the help...was part of why I was confused seeing all the over/under plays then all the side plays whew ok maybe that will help me understand what yall are doing now
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    Eli haha just figured this out, thanks for the help...was part of why I was confused seeing all the over/under plays then all the side plays whew ok maybe that will help me understand what yall are doing now
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2008 - 11:55 AM ET #109

    Quote Originally Posted by hookemdustin:

    Eli haha just figured this out, thanks for the help...was part of why I was confused seeing all the over/under plays then all the side plays whew ok maybe that will help me understand what yall are doing now


    No problem. If you see the plays and still don't see how expertcapper came up with them, just ask.

    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:


    Oh, Eli I guess I figured out who your team is Montreal well Good luck


    Yeah, right on. I still prefer Ovechkin over any of our lazy ass players that lost to Tampa last night. He has passion for the game. BOL to you too  .

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    Quote Originally Posted by hookemdustin:

    Eli haha just figured this out, thanks for the help...was part of why I was confused seeing all the over/under plays then all the side plays whew ok maybe that will help me understand what yall are doing now


    No problem. If you see the plays and still don't see how expertcapper came up with them, just ask.

    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:


    Oh, Eli I guess I figured out who your team is Montreal well Good luck


    Yeah, right on. I still prefer Ovechkin over any of our lazy ass players that lost to Tampa last night. He has passion for the game. BOL to you too  .

     
    bradschmit
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2008 - 1:58 PM ET #110

    Do you ever update your list of bottom 8 home teams?
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    Do you ever update your list of bottom 8 home teams?
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2008 - 2:13 PM ET #111

    Here are the bottom 8 (home records)
     
    LA, PHO, STL, TB, ATL, FLO, TOR, NYI
    This is the record from last year but go into the covers home pagewand look at standings. Hope this helps bradschmidt
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    Here are the bottom 8 (home records)
     
    LA, PHO, STL, TB, ATL, FLO, TOR, NYI
    This is the record from last year but go into the covers home pagewand look at standings. Hope this helps bradschmidt
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2008 - 2:36 PM ET #112

    But, as of right now, you would have CAR, FLO, TOR, ATL, NYI, DAL, TB, EDM so gotta be careful when deciding who to fade.
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    But, as of right now, you would have CAR, FLO, TOR, ATL, NYI, DAL, TB, EDM so gotta be careful when deciding who to fade.
     
    bradschmit
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2008 - 8:05 PM ET #113

    exactly eli, Edm. would now be in the bottom 8, and that would make them a winner playing them to lose as per the system, right?  I just wanted to make sure the bottom 8 do consistantly update.  That is a BIG variable.  I just wanted to ask.     Expert, I appricate you sharing this system with everyone. There are alot of chase systems out there in alot of sports, all having huge profitability, all we have to do is figure them out,LOL. I am glad to have found another, and appreciate the time I know you have spent on this and I wish you the best in the future.    
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    exactly eli, Edm. would now be in the bottom 8, and that would make them a winner playing them to lose as per the system, right?  I just wanted to make sure the bottom 8 do consistantly update.  That is a BIG variable.  I just wanted to ask.     Expert, I appricate you sharing this system with everyone. There are alot of chase systems out there in alot of sports, all having huge profitability, all we have to do is figure them out,LOL. I am glad to have found another, and appreciate the time I know you have spent on this and I wish you the best in the future.    
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2008 - 11:18 PM ET #114

    Brad -

    This is indeed an important variable. Keep in mind the updated list I referred to in my last post but always make sure to come check out the plays here cause I got a feeling expertcapper has a good idea of what to play and when to play.

     In other words, a team might still be in the bottom 8 but say they have won their last 3-4 games at home and are going to be playing against a horrible road team, there might be a special play involved.


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    Brad -

    This is indeed an important variable. Keep in mind the updated list I referred to in my last post but always make sure to come check out the plays here cause I got a feeling expertcapper has a good idea of what to play and when to play.

     In other words, a team might still be in the bottom 8 but say they have won their last 3-4 games at home and are going to be playing against a horrible road team, there might be a special play involved.


     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Dec. 13, 2008 - 1:04 AM ET #115

    Well guys games for December 13,2008

    Atlanta
    Boston play the -.0.5 puck line in regulation
    rule here is when the odds or over -200 play the -.0.5 puck line
    Boston will win this one, its over before it started, Atlanta can't keep up
    Vancouver take this team +107
    Edmonton
    Reason  hasn't scored more than 2 goals in their last 5 games. Vancouver is 5-0-2 in regulation plus I watched Edmonton the other night they look way out of sink
    Vancouver is 9-1-3 overall against the Oilers since the start of 2007
    Good luck as always
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    Well guys games for December 13,2008

    Atlanta
    Boston play the -.0.5 puck line in regulation
    rule here is when the odds or over -200 play the -.0.5 puck line
    Boston will win this one, its over before it started, Atlanta can't keep up
    Vancouver take this team +107
    Edmonton
    Reason  hasn't scored more than 2 goals in their last 5 games. Vancouver is 5-0-2 in regulation plus I watched Edmonton the other night they look way out of sink
    Vancouver is 9-1-3 overall against the Oilers since the start of 2007
    Good luck as always
     
    bl0wnaway
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2008 - 12:04 AM ET #116

    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

    Well guys games for December 13,2008

    Atlanta
    Boston play the -.0.5 puck line in regulation
    rule here is when the odds or over -200 play the -.0.5 puck line
    Boston will win this one, its over before it started, Atlanta can't keep up
    Vancouver take this team +107
    Edmonton
    Reason  hasn't scored more than 2 goals in their last 5 games. Vancouver is 5-0-2 in regulation plus I watched Edmonton the other night they look way out of sink
    Vancouver is 9-1-3 overall against the Oilers since the start of 2007
    Good luck as always


    Gotta have faith in the system and take Edmonton on this one.  They have been hot recently until the recent loss at home following a long layoff period.

    BOL

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    Quote Originally Posted by expertcapper:

    Well guys games for December 13,2008

    Atlanta
    Boston play the -.0.5 puck line in regulation
    rule here is when the odds or over -200 play the -.0.5 puck line
    Boston will win this one, its over before it started, Atlanta can't keep up
    Vancouver take this team +107
    Edmonton
    Reason  hasn't scored more than 2 goals in their last 5 games. Vancouver is 5-0-2 in regulation plus I watched Edmonton the other night they look way out of sink
    Vancouver is 9-1-3 overall against the Oilers since the start of 2007
    Good luck as always


    Gotta have faith in the system and take Edmonton on this one.  They have been hot recently until the recent loss at home following a long layoff period.

    BOL

     
    seahawksanders
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2008 - 3:00 AM ET #117

    Thanks again for this.  I cashed in on Edmonton tonight and will start chasing the Canucks tomorrow!  
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    Thanks again for this.  I cashed in on Edmonton tonight and will start chasing the Canucks tomorrow!  
     
    expertcapper
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2008 - 7:27 AM ET #118

    My opinion on Edmonton went the opposite direction and I apologize but Edmonton makes the system 53-0 with Boston cashing in on the -.0.5 puck line
    Today we have one more chase

    Fla
    Vancouver -166

    Good luck
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    My opinion on Edmonton went the opposite direction and I apologize but Edmonton makes the system 53-0 with Boston cashing in on the -.0.5 puck line
    Today we have one more chase

    Fla
    Vancouver -166

    Good luck
     
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2008 - 9:36 AM ET #119

    Actually, Expert, I think it would not be fair to count Edmonton as a win. Not only did you pick Vancouver to win on the road, Edmonton is almost dead last at home (although they have not played that many games at home).

    So, basically everything was pointing in Vancouver's direction unless anyone was basing their decisions on the initial list you give at the top of the thread.

    Perhaps, we should put the record at 52-0 and chase Edmonton to keep some integrity and being transparent.

    BOL with the play today , I like the pick .
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    Actually, Expert, I think it would not be fair to count Edmonton as a win. Not only did you pick Vancouver to win on the road, Edmonton is almost dead last at home (although they have not played that many games at home).

    So, basically everything was pointing in Vancouver's direction unless anyone was basing their decisions on the initial list you give at the top of the thread.

    Perhaps, we should put the record at 52-0 and chase Edmonton to keep some integrity and being transparent.

    BOL with the play today , I like the pick .
     
    krispy76
    krispy76
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2008 - 12:49 PM ET #120

    Big thanks to SRTZTEE, expertcapper and elithepunk for starting and keeping this thread and the overtime spoiler thread going.... I can tell any newbies that both systems have been quite successful so far, especially when tempered with some personal filters...

    For instance, I try to only play 4g or longer home stands unless it's a top team (SJ, Det, Bos... etc.) and I typically raise my initial bets for those top teams as I don't expect the chase to reach the third game... where I keep it low for say a CBJ or TB home stand anticipating I will have to double up a couple times to hit that win later....

    THis isn't a criticism, just where I feel comfortable, I encourage others to find their twists to maximize this strat... Thanks guys!


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    Big thanks to SRTZTEE, expertcapper and elithepunk for starting and keeping this thread and the overtime spoiler thread going.... I can tell any newbies that both systems have been quite successful so far, especially when tempered with some personal filters...

    For instance, I try to only play 4g or longer home stands unless it's a top team (SJ, Det, Bos... etc.) and I typically raise my initial bets for those top teams as I don't expect the chase to reach the third game... where I keep it low for say a CBJ or TB home stand anticipating I will have to double up a couple times to hit that win later....

    THis isn't a criticism, just where I feel comfortable, I encourage others to find their twists to maximize this strat... Thanks guys!


     
    kingofny
    kingofny
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2008 - 2:46 PM ET #121

    i chased Edmonton and won on the second game ,, i just play it like you guys say .. i dont try to fade if a team is better on the road then at home ,, i dont know much about hockey but the system right now works ,, I am going with Van tonight - 175 .. the only thing is the money line is a killer .. Now i have a question where are you guys getting puck lines at 0.5 ???  i use sportsbook.com and they have puck lines at -1.5  or + 1.5  can  i buy that down ...??
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    i chased Edmonton and won on the second game ,, i just play it like you guys say .. i dont try to fade if a team is better on the road then at home ,, i dont know much about hockey but the system right now works ,, I am going with Van tonight - 175 .. the only thing is the money line is a killer .. Now i have a question where are you guys getting puck lines at 0.5 ???  i use sportsbook.com and they have puck lines at -1.5  or + 1.5  can  i buy that down ...??
     
    kingofny
    kingofny
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2008 - 2:50 PM ET #122

    i have never seen a puck line at 0.5 on either side .. let me know what book offers this .. and once again thats to all that put the time an effort into this thread and system . All of you guys are true to the game and those are the people who matter the most to me .. you guys are solid ...  
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    i have never seen a puck line at 0.5 on either side .. let me know what book offers this .. and once again thats to all that put the time an effort into this thread and system . All of you guys are true to the game and those are the people who matter the most to me .. you guys are solid ...  
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2008 - 3:02 PM ET #123

    king -  you can get regulation odds by signing up at 5dimes

    Don't know who else offers them but everyone says 5dimes is solid.
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    king -  you can get regulation odds by signing up at 5dimes

    Don't know who else offers them but everyone says 5dimes is solid.
     
    kingofny
    kingofny
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2008 - 3:08 PM ET #124

    thanks Eli  i will look now ... thanks again .. .
     
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    thanks Eli  i will look now ... thanks again .. .
     
     
     
    kingofny
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    Posted: Dec. 14, 2008 - 3:15 PM ET #125

    ok Eli i see it on 5Dimes  so if the game goes into OT  its the same as pooping my pants on the golf course ,,,, lol  i am done for ... lmao  am i right ,,?
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    ok Eli i see it on 5Dimes  so if the game goes into OT  its the same as pooping my pants on the golf course ,,,, lol  i am done for ... lmao  am i right ,,?
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