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NHL 2 Team road parlay system

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Captain
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Posts: 5921
Posted: #2426
Quote Originally Posted by toft33:

I kinda did the same.  If I had just kept to the system as I posted it instead of messing around and/or forgetting to play, I would be fine.  I was up 5x my original BR before losing to just over double of what I started with.

It is comforting to know I am in good company. I can't complain too much, because I took payouts from my book and those covered much of the expense of a trip to Disneyworld with wife/kids - and a trip up to N. coast of Michigan, also with wife/kids. That's how Dan helps a brother out !!


I use separate bankrolls for each sport I bet. No sense in making money in hockey and giving it away in another sport. If I ever lose my bank in a sport, I'm done with it. So, I do not bet NFL. Lol. 
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Rookie
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Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 947
Posted: #2427
Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:


Good question. What I usually do is compare the lines on multiple books. Quite often one of the two is a larger fave a majority of the time. In a case where it is too close to call, I hunker down and do some old fashion handicapping and go with it. 


Appreciate the quick answer, Dan. 
 
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Posted: #2428
Note the Edmonton / New Jersey game is being played in Sweden.
Its not a normal home game for the Devils
 
Captain
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Posted: #2429

Saturday, game 1, Nash -150 and Anaheim -115, $15 to win $31.74

I removed the early game in Sweden. 

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Captain
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Posted: #2430
Winner on Saturday! No play Sunday. 

Will update numbers later.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Captain
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Posted: #2431

2018/2019 won/loss: $60.97

Current Betting Bankroll: $2,48.66 (adjust when $4,440)

Original Bankroll (2016-2017) : $740

Pocket Bank: $740

Total Bank: $3,158.66 (326.8% total gain)

Since posting in 2014-2015 season

Overall 168-2 (+$4,845.46)

  • Game 1  54-116
  • Game 2  40-76
  • Game 3  29-47
  • Game 4  16-31
  • Game 5   7-24
  • Game 6  13-11
  • Game 7   4-7
  • Game 8   5-2
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #2432

Great work. Sam Jose and Vegas tommorow?

 
Captain
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Posted: #2433
Monday we have SJ -160 and Vegas -140, $15 to win $26.79

Note the early game times. 
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Captain
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Posted: #2434
Well that didn't work out. Hoping we can get a game 2 on Tuesday.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posted: #2435

These could be SJS and TOR, other seem to be massive underdogs on the road!

 

 
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Posted: #2436

The dogs were biting today.  We'll get'ed next time an_slap

 
Captain
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Posted: #2437
As of this morning, no play today. We do not have two road favorites. 
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posts: 443
Posted: #2438

Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

Well that didn't work out. Hoping we can get a game 2 on Tuesday.
 

No sweat...this is when it starts to get fun.

 
Prospect
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Posts: 18
Posted: #2439

Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

As of this morning, no play today. We do not have two road favorites.

 

In the previous seasons it already happened that you chose two away teams when the odds were similar for the home and away team. So why wouldn't we play SJ and TOR today for example?

 
Captain
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Posted: #2440
Quote Originally Posted by castorjouflu:

 

In the previous seasons it already happened that you chose two away teams when the odds were similar for the home and away team. So why wouldn't we play SJ and TOR today for example?

The strongest odds for Toronto is +105/-125. I don't really consider that as close. If it was something like -110/-110 it would be a consideration.

No need to force a play, it is a long season. We may have to wait until Thursday but I'm good with that.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posted: #2441

All right. Another question, you've been doing this for 4 seasons now, on average, what are the odds that you get on each bet? I'm asking because I'm curious to see what the returns would look like if we used a martingale strategy instead.

 
Captain
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Posted: #2442
No play Wednesday 
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posts: 2838
Posted: #2443
Quote Originally Posted by castorjouflu:

All right. Another question, you've been doing this for 4 seasons now, on average, what are the odds that you get on each bet? I'm asking because I'm curious to see what the returns would look like if we used a martingale strategy instead.


Because we're doing parlays, a winner will generally pay from 1.8 up to 3 x the wager.  If you haven't already, go back to post  #1 and you'll see the number of units bet in this system as it progresses in a series.  Obviously, a Marty would entail more risk and the 2 losses would have been MUCH larger - along with causing much more stress when you get into 4th, 5th etc games.

BOL
 
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Posted: #2444

Quote Originally Posted by Irish7878:

Quote Originally Posted by castorjouflu:

All right. Another question, you've been doing this for 4 seasons now, on average, what are the odds that you get on each bet? I'm asking because I'm curious to see what the returns would look like if we used a martingale strategy instead.
Because we're doing parlays, a winner will generally pay from 1.8 up to 3 x the wager.  If you haven't already, go back to post  #1 and you'll see the number of units bet in this system as it progresses in a series.  Obviously, a Marty would entail more risk and the 2 losses would have been MUCH larger - along with causing much more stress when you get into 4th, 5th etc games.BOL

I agree with Irish, here. Something you might want to do, Castor, as Irish pointed out, is go through the picks from page one. You could apply your Martingale hypothesis to the past picks. See how it performed. Or just apply the marty to Dan's future picks, strictly by tracking and not wagering on them. Dan seems to have fine-tuned this NHL road fav parlay system to the point where many of us feel very fortunate to tail it.

 
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Posted: #2445

Quote Originally Posted by castorjouflu:

All right. Another question, you've been doing this for 4 seasons now, on average, what are the odds that you get on each bet? I'm asking because I'm curious to see what the returns would look like if we used a martingale strategy instead.

google “Vegas insider parlay calculator” 

 

 
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Posted: #2446

Quote Originally Posted by castorjouflu:

All right. Another question, you've been doing this for 4 seasons now, on average, what are the odds that you get on each bet? I'm asking because I'm curious to see what the returns would look like if we used a martingale strategy instead.

If it "ain't" broke, don't fix it.  Throughout the thread many of posters have looked into alternate forms of playing these selections myself and Dan included.  Just follow along and hopefully at the end of the season we'll be successful once again.

 
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Posted: #2447

All right thank you for all of your replies, this system is indeed very much on point. I am actually following a martingale based system for soccer. I just found out about the tony stoffo money management technique and the results for my system are better with it than the martingale strategy, so yeah I will just follow along! I am just starting on NHL betting. Did you all start with a 740$ bankroll too?

 
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Posted: #2448
Thursday, game 2, SJ -150 and Tor -170, $30 to win $49.41. 
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posted: #2449

Quote Originally Posted by castorjouflu:

All right thank you for all of your replies, this system is indeed very much on point. I am actually following a martingale based system for soccer. I just found out about the tony stoffo money management technique and the results for my system are better with it than the martingale strategy, so yeah I will just follow along! I am just starting on NHL betting. Did you all start with a 740$ bankroll too?

starting bankroll should be 74x whatever your base unit is, and that might be different for everyone based on their overall bankroll available "to lose"

to answer your question though, yes, last year started w/ $740

 
 
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Posted: #2450
No games on Friday, we pick up with game 3 on Saturday 
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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