Posted:
#26
great info hibore
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NFL Point Differential System
Posted:
#27
Why am I getting
Green Bay: 22
Washington: 19
Green Bay
Offense: 26.5
Defense: 18.25
Washington
Offense: 18.25
Defense: 19.75
Green Bay's opponents
Offense: 19.19
Defense: 23.63
Washington's opponents
Offense: 22.00
Defense: 18.98
Green Bay efficiency
Offense: 1.12 (26.5/23.63)
Defense: 0.95 (18.25/19.19)
Washington efficiency
Offense: 0.96 (18.25/18.98)
Defense: 0.90 (19.75/19.00)
Green Bay overall efficiency: 1.01 ((1.12+0.90)/2)
Washington overall efficiency: 0.96 ((0.96+0.95)/2)
Green Bay projected score: 22 ((1.01*23.13)-1.5)
Washington projected score: 19 ((0.96*18.25)+1.5)
Please respond where our difference is or just post all the stats you got like I did so I know if my system is incorrect
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Posted:
#28
To add to my previous post, this is the opponents of both Green Bay and Washington in depth:
Green Bay opponents (Offense/Defense)
Philadelphia: 23.75 (20/35/28/12)/19.75 (27/32/3/17)
Buffalo: 15.25 (10/10/24/17)/31.25 (15/34/38/38)
Chicago: 17.25 (19/27/20/3)/17.00 (14/20/17/17)
Detroit: 20.50 (14/32/10/26)/26.50 (19/35/24/28)
Washington opponents (Offense/Defense)
Dallas: 18.00 (7/20/27)/17.67 (13/27/13)
Houston: 27.00 (34/30/13/31)/25.50 (24/27/27/24)
St. Louis: 19.25 (13/14/30/20)/13.00 (17/16/16/3)
Philadelphia: 23.75 (20/35/28/12)/19.75 (27/32/3/17)
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Posted:
#29
You nailed it. I reran the numbers today and found the mistake in my formula for the WAS/GB game.
I've literally spent 15 hours working on this file so far. Realistically, it'll still take another 10-15 hours of work to finished.
https://www.fileswap.com/dl/pBMtDruz6K/pds.xlsx.html
There's the Excel file that needs to be completed. Let me know if you have any Qs.
I've literally spent 15 hours working on this file so far. Realistically, it'll still take another 10-15 hours of work to finished.
https://www.fileswap.com/dl/pBMtDruz6K/pds.xlsx.html
There's the Excel file that needs to be completed. Let me know if you have any Qs.
0
Posted:
#33
I have run this system for college and the NFL. However, I do not use overall stats. I limit it to road/home stats. Also, I limit it to ATS or sides. Last saturday, it was 7-3 ATS (70%) in the college game. Last sunday and monday, it was 7-13 ATS (54%) in the pros. Essentially, I use it as an adustment to Ion Soliu's system.
Today, the system is picking Toledo -8.50. Northern Illinois 41 Toledo 56 Toledo by 15.
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