NFL Point Differential Betting System & The Total Dudley YPP Method

the four plays you posted won SU and the underdog covered of course

lets keep it going!

Week 9

Best Picks

BAL-3
CHI+-3
MIA-2.5
DEN-3

10 pt Margin plays

CHI-3
TB+3
ATL-3

RPI and NFL Pt system agree (RPI diff of 50 and RPI over .500)

BAL-3
CHI+-3
MIA-2.5
DEN-3
HOU-10

Yeah Burly - your suggestion to look at where the NFL point system and RPI agrees and has an RPI diff of 50 or more and over.500 looked good this week. 

Hopufully it produces more of the same this week.  I will post the plays and we shall see how it goes.

Week 9 - RESULTS

Best Picks

BAL-3 (WON)
CHI+-3 (WON)
MIA-2.5 (LOSS)
DEN-3 (WON)

10 pt Margin plays

CHI-3 (WON)
TB+3 (WON)
ATL-3 (WON)

RPI and NFL Pt system agree (RPI diff of 50 and RPI over .500)

BAL-3 (WON)
CHI+-3 (WON)
MIA-2.5 (LOSS)
DEN-3 (WON)
HOU-10 (WON)

Overall Results:

WEEK 4,5,6,7,8,9

Best Plays: 12-13-1 (unofficial 1-0)
10 pt Margin Plays: 7-7-1 (unofficial 0-2)

WEEK 8,9

RPI and NFL Pt System Agree: 4-4
RPI and NFL Pt System Agree AND RPI over .500 with difference of 50 or more: 4-1

Nice week DG!

Week 10

Best Picks

DEN-3
DAL-2
NYG-3
SF-11

10 pt Margin plays

NE-11

RPI and NFL Pt system agree (RPI diff of 50 and RPI over .500)

DEN-3
NE-11
BAL-7
ATL-2.5
NYG-3
SF-11
DAL-2
PIT-11

lots of picks, this will be a real test!

jealous of some of those lines, balt and denver wish i could get those

Week 11

Best Picks

TB-1
DAL-7

10 pt Margin plays

HOU-14.5 (I would by the hook if I bet this)

RPI and NFL Pt system agree (RPI diff of 50 and RPI over .500)

DEN-7
DAL-7
GB-3
ATL-9.5
NE-9.5
HOU-14.5

Just keep in mind i'm just tracking the 10 pt margin and RPI/NFL pt system plays - if I play anything it's best picks and most likely in some type of teaser

CORRECTION

Week 11

Best Picks

TB-1
DAL-7
CIN-3

10 pt Margin plays

HOU-14.5 (I would by the hook if I bet this)

RPI and NFL Pt system agree (RPI diff of 50 and RPI over .500)

DEN-7
DAL-7
GB-3
ATL-9.5
NE-9.5
HOU-14.5

Just keep in mind i'm just tracking the 10 pt margin and RPI/NFL pt system plays - if I play anything it's best picks and most likely in some type of teaser

Week 11 - Results

Best Picks

TB-1 (WIN)
DAL-7 (LOSS)
CIN-3 (WIN)

10 pt Margin plays

HOU-14.5 (LOSS)

RPI and NFL Pt system agree (RPI diff of 50 and RPI over .500)

DEN-7 (PUSH)
DAL-7 (LOSS)
GB-3 (WIN)
ATL-9.5 (LOSS)
NE-9.5 (WIN)
HOU-14.5 (LOSS)

Overall Results:

WEEK 4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11

Best Plays: 16-16-1 (unofficial 1-0)
10 pt Margin Plays: 7-9-1 (unofficial 0-2)

WEEK 8,9,10,11

RPI and NFL Pt System Agree AND RPI over .500 with difference of 50 or more: 9-9-1

Week 12

Best Picks

TEN-3
BUF+3
SEA-3
ARI-1.5
CAR-3

10 pt Margin plays

No Plays

RPI and NFL Pt system agree (RPI diff of 50 and RPI over .500)

HOU-3
NE-7
DEN-10
PIT-1
SEA-3
SF-1.5

Week 13

Best Picks

CAR-3
SF-7
MIN+9
HOU-6
NE-7

10 pt Margin plays

HOU-6

RPI and NFL Pt system agree (RPI diff of 50 and RPI over .500)

ATL-3
CAR-3
SF-7
HOU-6
NE-7

Week 14

Best Picks

NYJ-3

10 pt Margin plays

No Plays

RPI and NFL Pt system agree (RPI diff of 50 and RPI over .500)

DEN-10
ATL-3
NYJ-3
SF-9

BAL+3 (very close - but did not qualify by 1 pt)

So this week there were really no games that I liked ATS - but a bunch I like with teasers.

DegenGamble hello could you tell me if the "NFL Pt Diff System V6" file has been updated for the new season

thanks

@DegenGamble

@DegenGamble

 Dusting off this old thread.  Been using the Dudley method for years for fun in my Yahoo Pro Pickem Pool, going back to the late 80s & 90s.  Discovered it in a Library Book, "The Winner's Guide to Pro Football Betting, by Art Glantz with Leigh Cohn. The book is very rare, but I recently managed to find a copy to brush up. I read it in the 80s, just as interesting today.

Also, Found this site, that, via a simple search, easily calcualates YARDS PER POINT over 4 games and YARDS ALLOWED over 4 games.  That has simplified the final Dudley Spread input / calculation / line.  It's Stat Muse, in case you aren't familiar. https://www.statmuse.com/ (best accessed with a mobile device to display all 32 teams via one search)    I have requested access to your spreadsheet via Google Drive. Thank you.