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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    new to covers... multi sport o/u & totals strategy

    «First Previous 1234
    RearNaked
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    Posts: 94
    «First Previous 1234
     
    RearNaked
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    Posts: 117
    Posted: Jan. 7, 2011 - 6:57 PM ET #76

    NBA

    tor @ bos
    bos ats -9.5 10 to win 9.09

    ut @ mem
    ut +1.5 10 to win 9.09

    nj @ was
    over 190 10 to win 9.09

    no @ lal
    over 189 10 to win 9.09

    NHL

    nyr @ dal
    over 5.5 10 to win 12.50

    ott @ chi
    under 5.5 10 to win 8.69

    edm @ van
    edm 10 to win 25

    SYSTEM

    sa @ ind
    sa -5.5 10 to win 9.09

    mia @ mil
    mia -7.5 10 to win 9.09

    cle @ gs
    gs -10.5 10 to win 9.09
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    NBA

    tor @ bos
    bos ats -9.5 10 to win 9.09

    ut @ mem
    ut +1.5 10 to win 9.09

    nj @ was
    over 190 10 to win 9.09

    no @ lal
    over 189 10 to win 9.09

    NHL

    nyr @ dal
    over 5.5 10 to win 12.50

    ott @ chi
    under 5.5 10 to win 8.69

    edm @ van
    edm 10 to win 25

    SYSTEM

    sa @ ind
    sa -5.5 10 to win 9.09

    mia @ mil
    mia -7.5 10 to win 9.09

    cle @ gs
    gs -10.5 10 to win 9.09
     
    RearNaked
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2011 - 7:11 PM ET #77

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    RearNaked
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    Posted: Jan. 7, 2011 - 7:49 PM ET #78

    texas a&m vs lsu
    under 49.5 10 to win 9.09

    $ play

    texas a&m vs lsu
    lsu -2.5 20 to win 17.39

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    texas a&m vs lsu
    under 49.5 10 to win 9.09

    $ play

    texas a&m vs lsu
    lsu -2.5 20 to win 17.39

     
    RearNaked
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2011 - 1:09 AM ET #79

    RECORD: 50-48-2
    $ PLAY: 4-1-0
    SYSTEM: 1-2-0
    BANKROLL: 321.77
    PROFIT: 10.30
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    RECORD: 50-48-2
    $ PLAY: 4-1-0
    SYSTEM: 1-2-0
    BANKROLL: 321.77
    PROFIT: 10.30
     
    RearNaked
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2011 - 2:15 AM ET #80

    hmmm..... just got done backtesting the new system from 2008... 51.6%
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    hmmm..... just got done backtesting the new system from 2008... 51.6%
     
    RearNaked
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2011 - 2:25 AM ET #81

    system record through three years backtesting:
    2008 51.6% 147 wins 138 losses
    2009 57.5% 171 wins 126 losses
    2010 55.3%  36 wins  29 losses

    NO WAY am i back testing another year!!! I am just going to run it for now..... i'll give it a month or so(provided i dont go broke) and i will reevaluate then...definitely not a fan of the variance... 5.9% difference between 08 & 09
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    system record through three years backtesting:
    2008 51.6% 147 wins 138 losses
    2009 57.5% 171 wins 126 losses
    2010 55.3%  36 wins  29 losses

    NO WAY am i back testing another year!!! I am just going to run it for now..... i'll give it a month or so(provided i dont go broke) and i will reevaluate then...definitely not a fan of the variance... 5.9% difference between 08 & 09
     
    RearNaked
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2011 - 4:12 PM ET #82

    NFC WILD CARD

    no @ sea
    no -10 20 to win 17.39 $ play
    (my bucs beat both of these teams.... just sayin.)

    AFC WILD CARD

    nyj @ ind
    over 44.5 20 to win 18.18 $ play
    ind -2 10 to win 8.69


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    NFC WILD CARD

    no @ sea
    no -10 20 to win 17.39 $ play
    (my bucs beat both of these teams.... just sayin.)

    AFC WILD CARD

    nyj @ ind
    over 44.5 20 to win 18.18 $ play
    ind -2 10 to win 8.69


     
    RearNaked
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2011 - 5:53 PM ET #83

    NBA

    ind @ atl
    over 191 10 to win 9.09

    orl @ dal
    over 189 10 to win 9.09

    ut @ hou
    ut +1 10 to win 9.09
    under 208 10 to win 9.09

    bos @ chi
    under 188
    bos + 110 10 to win 11.50

    NHL

    fl @ was
    over 5.5 10 to win 9.09

    col @ la
    under 5.5 10 to win 7.40

    SYSTEM

    was @ cha
    was +4 10 to win 9.09

    ind @ atl
    ind +7 10 to win 9.09

    mem @ okc
    mem +7 10 to win 9.09


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    NBA

    ind @ atl
    over 191 10 to win 9.09

    orl @ dal
    over 189 10 to win 9.09

    ut @ hou
    ut +1 10 to win 9.09
    under 208 10 to win 9.09

    bos @ chi
    under 188
    bos + 110 10 to win 11.50

    NHL

    fl @ was
    over 5.5 10 to win 9.09

    col @ la
    under 5.5 10 to win 7.40

    SYSTEM

    was @ cha
    was +4 10 to win 9.09

    ind @ atl
    ind +7 10 to win 9.09

    mem @ okc
    mem +7 10 to win 9.09


     
    RearNaked
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    Posted: Jan. 8, 2011 - 5:54 PM ET #84

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    RearNaked
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    Posts: 117
    Posted: Jan. 9, 2011 - 10:58 AM ET #85

    RECORD: 55-52-2
    $ PLAY: 4-3-0
    SYSTEM: 1-5-0
    BANKROLL: 257.22
    PROFIT: -54.27

    5-4 yesterday with regular plays, 0-3 system plays, $ plays 0-2. At first I thought it was just a bad day. Now i'm thinking maybe i have just been trying to do this the easy way. Well that's done. The "system is in the trash after two days. From now on, I will use the original strategy, but only as a sort of guide. I will no longer make picks based solely on what the strategy says. Only my very best plays will be made, and it will be quality not quantity. Picks  will now be place based on units. One unit for me will be $10 two units $20 and so on.  In summary from now on no more modifications will be made and these plays will be strategy and/or handicap based. I am declaring war on vegas,

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    RECORD: 55-52-2
    $ PLAY: 4-3-0
    SYSTEM: 1-5-0
    BANKROLL: 257.22
    PROFIT: -54.27

    5-4 yesterday with regular plays, 0-3 system plays, $ plays 0-2. At first I thought it was just a bad day. Now i'm thinking maybe i have just been trying to do this the easy way. Well that's done. The "system is in the trash after two days. From now on, I will use the original strategy, but only as a sort of guide. I will no longer make picks based solely on what the strategy says. Only my very best plays will be made, and it will be quality not quantity. Picks  will now be place based on units. One unit for me will be $10 two units $20 and so on.  In summary from now on no more modifications will be made and these plays will be strategy and/or handicap based. I am declaring war on vegas,

     
    RearNaked
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    Posts: 117
    Posted: Jan. 9, 2011 - 12:17 PM ET #86

    RECORD: 0-0-0
    BANKROLL: 257.22
    PROFIT: -54.27

    NFL

    bal @ kc
    kc +155 1u to win 15.50
    over 40.5 2u to win 18.18

    gb @ phi
    phi -2 1u to win 9.09
    under 46.5 1u to win 9.09

    NBA

    sac @ tor
    under 205 1u to win 9.09

    no @ den
    over 201.5 1u to win 9.09

    min @ sa
    under 210.5 2u to win 18.18

    mia @ por
    over 184.5 2u to win 18.18
    nyk @ lal
    nyk +6.5 1u to win 9.09

    parlay: sa-tor-pho 1u to win 6.79
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    RECORD: 0-0-0
    BANKROLL: 257.22
    PROFIT: -54.27

    NFL

    bal @ kc
    kc +155 1u to win 15.50
    over 40.5 2u to win 18.18

    gb @ phi
    phi -2 1u to win 9.09
    under 46.5 1u to win 9.09

    NBA

    sac @ tor
    under 205 1u to win 9.09

    no @ den
    over 201.5 1u to win 9.09

    min @ sa
    under 210.5 2u to win 18.18

    mia @ por
    over 184.5 2u to win 18.18
    nyk @ lal
    nyk +6.5 1u to win 9.09

    parlay: sa-tor-pho 1u to win 6.79
     
    RearNaked
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    Posts: 117
    Posted: Jan. 9, 2011 - 9:00 PM ET #87

    CFB

    nev vs bc
    nev -8 4u to win 34.78
    under 54.5 2u to win 18.18
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    CFB

    nev vs bc
    nev -8 4u to win 34.78
    under 54.5 2u to win 18.18
     
    RearNaked
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    Posts: 117
    Posted: Jan. 10, 2011 - 7:31 AM ET #88

    5-7overall yesterday. bad.... back with numbers after work. I will say that I did some math last night before the overnight lines came out for the nba. My numbers for the mem @ cha game were mem -1.9 and the total was 192.7, coincidentally two of my books had the line at mem -2 and total 193..... cool.....
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    5-7overall yesterday. bad.... back with numbers after work. I will say that I did some math last night before the overnight lines came out for the nba. My numbers for the mem @ cha game were mem -1.9 and the total was 192.7, coincidentally two of my books had the line at mem -2 and total 193..... cool.....
     
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2011 - 6:57 PM ET #89

    RECORD: 5-7
    BANKROLL: 217.64
    PROFIT: -93.83
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    RECORD: 5-7
    BANKROLL: 217.64
    PROFIT: -93.83
     
    RearNaked
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2011 - 6:59 PM ET #90

    NBA

    mem @ cha
    cha +3.5 2u

    hou @ bos
    over 198.5 2u

    CFB

    oregon vs auburn
    aub +1.5  2u
    under 72.5 2u
    oregon ml even 1u
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    NBA

    mem @ cha
    cha +3.5 2u

    hou @ bos
    over 198.5 2u

    CFB

    oregon vs auburn
    aub +1.5  2u
    under 72.5 2u
    oregon ml even 1u
     
    RearNaked
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    Posted: Jan. 10, 2011 - 7:00 PM ET #91

    trying to right the ship....

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    trying to right the ship....

     
    RearNaked
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2011 - 12:26 AM ET #92

    RECORD: 8-9
    BANKROLL: 242.18
    PROFIT: -69.29
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    RECORD: 8-9
    BANKROLL: 242.18
    PROFIT: -69.29
     
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2011 - 6:28 PM ET #93

    NBA

    ind @ phi
    under 196.5 1u

    sac @ was
    under 197.5 1u

    sa @ min
    min +6.5 1u
    under 197.5 1u

    pho @ den
    under 218.5 2u
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    NBA

    ind @ phi
    under 196.5 1u

    sac @ was
    under 197.5 1u

    sa @ min
    min +6.5 1u
    under 197.5 1u

    pho @ den
    under 218.5 2u
     
     
    RearNaked
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2011 - 6:28 PM ET #94

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