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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    New Strategy

    «First Previous 909192 ... 101102103 Next Last»
    smitler
    Plisskin76
    Budman717
    bettor2win
    ChicagoCover
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    «First Previous 909192 ... 101102103 Next Last»
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Apr. 25, 2011 - 11:44 PM ET #2226

    Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

    only once did i lose on this system last yr.  labby is way to go imo.  who the hell is hector? screw him.  .Maybe start a new thread?  hey hector, i get drunk too. lets rock punk. havnt bn here in a while. been to the penalty box once. lets go hector the pecker collector.

    hey smitty, @ betus can u bet if 1or2 runs scored in 1st inn???  or 3+??? I bet 1/2 runs scored against stud aces & @ petco park (SD). heyward hit a hr for me to put me plus again. was a +200 juice.


    Congrats.  Why you not surface till now?

    We lost nole. Said he quit gambling.

    How have you been playing this strategy?

    Have you looked at the spreadsheet to see how the money management strategies are performing?

    Ask to share the doc when you click on the link.

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdC1zZlNDNnZVTV9qM2xsc2hwbHA4WXc&hl=en&authkey=COyzl8YJ
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    Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

    only once did i lose on this system last yr.  labby is way to go imo.  who the hell is hector? screw him.  .Maybe start a new thread?  hey hector, i get drunk too. lets rock punk. havnt bn here in a while. been to the penalty box once. lets go hector the pecker collector.

    hey smitty, @ betus can u bet if 1or2 runs scored in 1st inn???  or 3+??? I bet 1/2 runs scored against stud aces & @ petco park (SD). heyward hit a hr for me to put me plus again. was a +200 juice.


    Congrats.  Why you not surface till now?

    We lost nole. Said he quit gambling.

    How have you been playing this strategy?

    Have you looked at the spreadsheet to see how the money management strategies are performing?

    Ask to share the doc when you click on the link.

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdC1zZlNDNnZVTV9qM2xsc2hwbHA4WXc&hl=en&authkey=COyzl8YJ
     
    Plisskin76
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2011 - 7:33 AM ET #2227

    Smitler, I sent you a request to access the spreadsheet. I've never done a chase system, how does the betting work if say you hit one first time? do you double it or what?

    I was reading your other thread on the other dite and had trouble seeing how the profit works. Enlighten me.

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    Smitler, I sent you a request to access the spreadsheet. I've never done a chase system, how does the betting work if say you hit one first time? do you double it or what?

    I was reading your other thread on the other dite and had trouble seeing how the profit works. Enlighten me.

     
    Budman717
    Budman717
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2011 - 4:04 PM ET #2228

    Thanks for the work, Smitler.
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    Thanks for the work, Smitler.
     
    bettor2win
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2011 - 9:54 PM ET #2229

    long story short.. every year i start w/a few hundred bucks for baseball betting. last year only started w/ $100 and made $1100.  I luv football but lose bigtime. quit betting in Nov. i follwed hockey & did ok but football, cant pick a winner. mainly do chase in baseball and 1st inn chase.

    ok, my 1st inn chase goes something like this. basically same rules as urs. on days, mainly mon-fri, when a chase can only commence a max of 4 games I pick a 7pm est game that I believe has a "decent chance" of scoring.  if that loses i pick the next hour. and so on.  I look for the best lines for minimizing juice as well. if juice stinks i take a bet that offers "1or2" first inning runs.  pitchers parks like sd I ONLY take the 1or2 first inn run bet. oakland too.  great +200 or better on those parks.  bad hitting teams against a good pitcher i also only take the 1or2 runs scored. det, chw gd examples rite now. then again if juice gd like +130 for a 1st inn run, I take it. but SD, man nobody scores ther. so i take the +200 or better with 1or2. 
    so how exactly do I choose a game mon-fri?? thats tuff sometimes. knowing i have a 35-40% chance of a run, i simply take a look @  what the best odds are. hasnt let me down except once last year. 

    Saturday and sundays I do a 4 team 1st inn run chase. theres usually 3 to 4 early games and others follow immediatly 1/2hr behind. i essentially just put the games in order for each chase. the late game is my final game incase all my games havnt won by then . doesnt sound logical but usually a game or two scores w/in first couple games on sat/sun eliminating 2 chases. Once 2 or more are out the way I pick and choose a the better games remaining (hopefully).  I dont have a "concrete" system but it wins because i dont lock myself into "I gotta play this bcuz system says".  i look @ the numbers and make a bettors bet. 

    lastly, i tend to take 1or2 first inn runs when ive lost  2 or more in  a row. then again, i take chances too. a great example i have is tonites phi/az game...i took 1or2 runs in 1st inn bcuz its a hitters park and oswalt on fire and other pitcher sucks. lets see how they do (the 1st inn scoring was -130 so I took the 1or2 @ +200).
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    long story short.. every year i start w/a few hundred bucks for baseball betting. last year only started w/ $100 and made $1100.  I luv football but lose bigtime. quit betting in Nov. i follwed hockey & did ok but football, cant pick a winner. mainly do chase in baseball and 1st inn chase.

    ok, my 1st inn chase goes something like this. basically same rules as urs. on days, mainly mon-fri, when a chase can only commence a max of 4 games I pick a 7pm est game that I believe has a "decent chance" of scoring.  if that loses i pick the next hour. and so on.  I look for the best lines for minimizing juice as well. if juice stinks i take a bet that offers "1or2" first inning runs.  pitchers parks like sd I ONLY take the 1or2 first inn run bet. oakland too.  great +200 or better on those parks.  bad hitting teams against a good pitcher i also only take the 1or2 runs scored. det, chw gd examples rite now. then again if juice gd like +130 for a 1st inn run, I take it. but SD, man nobody scores ther. so i take the +200 or better with 1or2. 
    so how exactly do I choose a game mon-fri?? thats tuff sometimes. knowing i have a 35-40% chance of a run, i simply take a look @  what the best odds are. hasnt let me down except once last year. 

    Saturday and sundays I do a 4 team 1st inn run chase. theres usually 3 to 4 early games and others follow immediatly 1/2hr behind. i essentially just put the games in order for each chase. the late game is my final game incase all my games havnt won by then . doesnt sound logical but usually a game or two scores w/in first couple games on sat/sun eliminating 2 chases. Once 2 or more are out the way I pick and choose a the better games remaining (hopefully).  I dont have a "concrete" system but it wins because i dont lock myself into "I gotta play this bcuz system says".  i look @ the numbers and make a bettors bet. 

    lastly, i tend to take 1or2 first inn runs when ive lost  2 or more in  a row. then again, i take chances too. a great example i have is tonites phi/az game...i took 1or2 runs in 1st inn bcuz its a hitters park and oswalt on fire and other pitcher sucks. lets see how they do (the 1st inn scoring was -130 so I took the 1or2 @ +200).
     
    bettor2win
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2011 - 10:01 PM ET #2230

    i won phi/az. i won my 1st game, lost chi bcuz odds were so good 4a 1or2 inn bet i took it and they scored more. oh well, won w/philly. done for the nite. gotta doubletap if 1st on a winner. zombieland
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    i won phi/az. i won my 1st game, lost chi bcuz odds were so good 4a 1or2 inn bet i took it and they scored more. oh well, won w/philly. done for the nite. gotta doubletap if 1st on a winner. zombieland
     
    bettor2win
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2011 - 10:14 PM ET #2231

    thanks for spreadsheet smitty. wish i could do that. gotta hang w/wife and watch bs but always on comp during baseball season. one more thing, sundays seemed to b great day last yr and so far this yr. idk if its bcuz teams have nothing to lose, go all out and play hard bcuz they know theyre goin somewhere else tomorrow. fyi, my lone loss was on a sunday.  and the least amt of games ive ever researchd on a full mlb game day w/1st inn runs was 3games that scored outa 15games. norm is 6./low 7. highest i saw was a day with a dojubleheader that had 14games score in the 1st outa 16games.
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    thanks for spreadsheet smitty. wish i could do that. gotta hang w/wife and watch bs but always on comp during baseball season. one more thing, sundays seemed to b great day last yr and so far this yr. idk if its bcuz teams have nothing to lose, go all out and play hard bcuz they know theyre goin somewhere else tomorrow. fyi, my lone loss was on a sunday.  and the least amt of games ive ever researchd on a full mlb game day w/1st inn runs was 3games that scored outa 15games. norm is 6./low 7. highest i saw was a day with a dojubleheader that had 14games score in the 1st outa 16games.
     
    bettor2win
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2011 - 10:16 PM ET #2232

    Nole.... we will see u on the other side  buddy.
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    Nole.... we will see u on the other side  buddy.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Apr. 26, 2011 - 11:15 PM ET #2233

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdC1zZlNDNnZVTV9qM2xsc2hwbHA4WXc&hl=en&authkey=COyzl8YJ

    +90.03 units in less than 30 days.
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    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdC1zZlNDNnZVTV9qM2xsc2hwbHA4WXc&hl=en&authkey=COyzl8YJ

    +90.03 units in less than 30 days.
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Apr. 27, 2011 - 8:52 PM ET #2234

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdC1zZlNDNnZVTV9qM2xsc2hwbHA4WXc&hl=en&authkey=COyzl8YJ

    +90.03 units in less than 30 days.


    +3.4 units today. +93.43 units on the season.
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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdC1zZlNDNnZVTV9qM2xsc2hwbHA4WXc&hl=en&authkey=COyzl8YJ

    +90.03 units in less than 30 days.


    +3.4 units today. +93.43 units on the season.
     
    bettor2win
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    Posted: Apr. 27, 2011 - 8:54 PM ET #2235

    amen brother.
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    amen brother.
     
    ChicagoCover
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    Posted: Apr. 27, 2011 - 11:43 PM ET #2236

    I sent a request for the good spreadsheet, would love to start tailing! 
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    I sent a request for the good spreadsheet, would love to start tailing! 
     
    fitguy67
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    Posted: Apr. 28, 2011 - 10:26 AM ET #2237

    ditto for me, i'm keen to hop aboard...especially to follow along and see how your lab-lines get tweaked as we go thru the long season...i love what BOTH you and DJ are doing...best stuff on the net
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    ditto for me, i'm keen to hop aboard...especially to follow along and see how your lab-lines get tweaked as we go thru the long season...i love what BOTH you and DJ are doing...best stuff on the net
     
    topcat69
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    Posted: Apr. 28, 2011 - 11:49 AM ET #2238

    stay thirsty my friend ...awesome...
    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



    +3.4 units today. +93.43 units on the season.
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    stay thirsty my friend ...awesome...
    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:



    +3.4 units today. +93.43 units on the season.
     
    Prime1
    Prime1
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2011 - 12:23 PM ET #2239

    Smitty,
    I just sent a request for access to your google spreadsheet.

    the request should be from TestDrive...... 

    thanks,

    Prime1


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    Smitty,
    I just sent a request for access to your google spreadsheet.

    the request should be from TestDrive...... 

    thanks,

    Prime1


     
    smitler
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    Posted: Apr. 30, 2011 - 11:32 PM ET #2240

    Not a good day for the dogs, however the martingale picked up 3.8 units today for a season total of +82.15. I'm surprised that mm strat hasn't lost yet.
    The labby lost just over 7 units. The goal of +100 units in a month won't be reached but still at +90.78 on the season.

    Today was all about the favs. The fav martingale picked up 4.0 units today for +39.39 on the season.

    The big winner was the fav labby clearing a big line for +72.67 units in one day for a season total of +77.87.


    It wouldn't surprise me to see the same results for a few more days. Its almost like somebody flips a switch and the streaks reverse.

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?...thkey=COyzl8YJ

    If you stuck to the system you shouldn't have got hurt too bad.

    Have a good night. We battle again tomorrow.
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    Not a good day for the dogs, however the martingale picked up 3.8 units today for a season total of +82.15. I'm surprised that mm strat hasn't lost yet.
    The labby lost just over 7 units. The goal of +100 units in a month won't be reached but still at +90.78 on the season.

    Today was all about the favs. The fav martingale picked up 4.0 units today for +39.39 on the season.

    The big winner was the fav labby clearing a big line for +72.67 units in one day for a season total of +77.87.


    It wouldn't surprise me to see the same results for a few more days. Its almost like somebody flips a switch and the streaks reverse.

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?...thkey=COyzl8YJ

    If you stuck to the system you shouldn't have got hurt too bad.

    Have a good night. We battle again tomorrow.
     
    Durantula
    Durantula
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    Joined: Apr, 2011
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    Posted: May. 1, 2011 - 12:21 PM ET #2241

    Just recently started capping 1st Inning, with early success. Love betting these props as they are over so fast and to me relatively predictable. 

    Interested in your system, and would love to start tailing. Signed up for the doc!
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    Just recently started capping 1st Inning, with early success. Love betting these props as they are over so fast and to me relatively predictable. 

    Interested in your system, and would love to start tailing. Signed up for the doc!
     
    donk
    donk
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    Posts: 1222
    Posted: May. 2, 2011 - 1:45 AM ET #2242

    okay .....will you try it tomorrow?
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    okay .....will you try it tomorrow?
     
    erikhaovo
    erikhaovo
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    Posts: 425
    Posted: May. 2, 2011 - 8:44 AM ET #2243

    Could i have the access to your spreadsheet? Thanks.
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    Could i have the access to your spreadsheet? Thanks.
     
    viktory
    viktory
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    Posts: 3
    Posted: May. 2, 2011 - 9:53 AM ET #2244

    Hi smitler!
    I sent a request for the spreadsheet. Just I'd like to know how to works this system.
    Thx for your help.
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    Hi smitler!
    I sent a request for the spreadsheet. Just I'd like to know how to works this system.
    Thx for your help.
     
    kinggeorge27
    kinggeorge27
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    Posts: 3541
    Posted: May. 2, 2011 - 1:37 PM ET #2245

    I have screwed this up for the first day...read this wrong.

    Took Tex / Oak 1st inn YES +110

    AND 

    Mil / Atl 1st inn YES +120

    But the spreadsheet has NO highlighted for the first game, soooooooo...I'm guessing that's what I should have went with first, and then quit if I win. 

    Some of the best lessons in life are learned the hard way.
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    I have screwed this up for the first day...read this wrong.

    Took Tex / Oak 1st inn YES +110

    AND 

    Mil / Atl 1st inn YES +120

    But the spreadsheet has NO highlighted for the first game, soooooooo...I'm guessing that's what I should have went with first, and then quit if I win. 

    Some of the best lessons in life are learned the hard way.
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 2, 2011 - 11:07 PM ET #2246

    Small recovery today on the dog labby picking up close to 3 units (+78.26). Martingale keeps going like the Energizer Bunny and has taken the lead in the unit total (+87.55).

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?...thkey=COyzl8YJ

    Got a lot of share requests to go through.  For you guys who requested in here pm me your email or email me your user name(s).
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    Small recovery today on the dog labby picking up close to 3 units (+78.26). Martingale keeps going like the Energizer Bunny and has taken the lead in the unit total (+87.55).

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?...thkey=COyzl8YJ

    Got a lot of share requests to go through.  For you guys who requested in here pm me your email or email me your user name(s).
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 2, 2011 - 11:37 PM ET #2247

    I'm somebody now! This is my first stupid ad that I can ever remember being placed in a smitler thread.

    Lower your prices for that knock-off shit.
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    I'm somebody now! This is my first stupid ad that I can ever remember being placed in a smitler thread.

    Lower your prices for that knock-off shit.
     
    dj_destroyer
    dj_destroyer
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    Joined: Mar, 2009
    Posts: 3144
    Posted: May. 3, 2011 - 12:20 AM ET #2248

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    I'm somebody now! This is my first stupid ad that I can ever remember being placed in a smitler thread.

    Lower your prices for that knock-off shit.


    Pure gold.
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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    I'm somebody now! This is my first stupid ad that I can ever remember being placed in a smitler thread.

    Lower your prices for that knock-off shit.


    Pure gold.
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: May. 3, 2011 - 6:52 PM ET #2249

    I think we will start working our way out of this Dog between its tail shit.

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdC1zZlNDNnZVTV9qM2xsc2hwbHA4WXc&hl=en&authkey=COyzl8YJ

    And as I type I see we got a winner.
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    I think we will start working our way out of this Dog between its tail shit.

    https://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=0AhVKY8GzoikLdC1zZlNDNnZVTV9qM2xsc2hwbHA4WXc&hl=en&authkey=COyzl8YJ

    And as I type I see we got a winner.
     
     
    DA_BOYS
    DA_BOYS
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    Posts: 5673
    Posted: May. 3, 2011 - 7:44 PM ET #2250

    I sent a request to be able to see the google spreadsheet.

    The only early game that pinnacle had as a positive was the boston game.  I played it and it lost.


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    I sent a request to be able to see the google spreadsheet.

    The only early game that pinnacle had as a positive was the boston game.  I played it and it lost.


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