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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    New Strategy

    «First Previous 234 ... 101102103 Next Last»
    dj_destroyer
    nolemonasses
    smitler
    GMSI
    neilsy25
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    «First Previous 234 ... 101102103 Next Last»
     
    dj_destroyer
    dj_destroyer
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2010 - 11:45 AM ET #26

    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    Its so stupid and simple...I absolutely love it.


    It's funny that you say this because I whole-heartedly agree in almost every case that the simple/stupid methods work better. Hell, if reason and logic ruled all then we would have A LOT more successful cappers. The thing is that there are way more losers than winners... so take a couple 'losing' plays and see how you do.
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    Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

    Its so stupid and simple...I absolutely love it.


    It's funny that you say this because I whole-heartedly agree in almost every case that the simple/stupid methods work better. Hell, if reason and logic ruled all then we would have A LOT more successful cappers. The thing is that there are way more losers than winners... so take a couple 'losing' plays and see how you do.
     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2010 - 1:06 PM ET #27

    So, at my book I got:

    705: Toronto game +125

    710: Mets game +120

    805: SF game +135

    810: Atl game +105

    1005: Cinci game +110

    1010: Cubs game: +130

    I locked in the first 4 start times and will see how they go. I will then move on to the 1005 and 1010 accordingly.

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    So, at my book I got:

    705: Toronto game +125

    710: Mets game +120

    805: SF game +135

    810: Atl game +105

    1005: Cinci game +110

    1010: Cubs game: +130

    I locked in the first 4 start times and will see how they go. I will then move on to the 1005 and 1010 accordingly.

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2010 - 1:11 PM ET #28

    Not looked at any games yet but Nole you can't chase both Toronto and Mets.  Start times are too close so Toronto 1st inning probably won't be over by the time the Mets game starts.
    Same with SFG and Atl and Cinci and Cubs.

    I will take a look at my betus lines.
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    Not looked at any games yet but Nole you can't chase both Toronto and Mets.  Start times are too close so Toronto 1st inning probably won't be over by the time the Mets game starts.
    Same with SFG and Atl and Cinci and Cubs.

    I will take a look at my betus lines.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2010 - 1:49 PM ET #29

    Game 1 DET/NYM Yes +135 Betus
    Game 2 SFG/HOU Yes +160
    No Play BOS/COL. Both are at "-" money
    Game 3 CUB/SEA Yes +145

    3 game chase tonight.
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    Game 1 DET/NYM Yes +135 Betus
    Game 2 SFG/HOU Yes +160
    No Play BOS/COL. Both are at "-" money
    Game 3 CUB/SEA Yes +145

    3 game chase tonight.
     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2010 - 7:06 PM ET #30

    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    Not looked at any games yet but Nole you can't chase both Toronto and Mets.  Start times are too close so Toronto 1st inning probably won't be over by the time the Mets game starts.
    Same with SFG and Atl and Cinci and Cubs.

    I will take a look at my betus lines.

    I am doing both. I am hoping for a wash or winning both. If both lose, I will step up the bet for the next start time accordingly. I'm doing it with peanuts anyway. No, really, my book accepts planters money...

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    Quote Originally Posted by smitler:

    Not looked at any games yet but Nole you can't chase both Toronto and Mets.  Start times are too close so Toronto 1st inning probably won't be over by the time the Mets game starts.
    Same with SFG and Atl and Cinci and Cubs.

    I will take a look at my betus lines.

    I am doing both. I am hoping for a wash or winning both. If both lose, I will step up the bet for the next start time accordingly. I'm doing it with peanuts anyway. No, really, my book accepts planters money...

     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2010 - 7:08 PM ET #31

    And, like Austin Powers, I too, like to live dangerously. I see Toronto hitting a HR on the first pitch. Done deal before the Mets game even starts...

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    And, like Austin Powers, I too, like to live dangerously. I see Toronto hitting a HR on the first pitch. Done deal before the Mets game even starts...

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 22, 2010 - 7:27 PM ET #32

    Ho Hum looks like another Game 1 winner.
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    Ho Hum looks like another Game 1 winner.
     
    GMSI
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2010 - 9:33 AM ET #33

    Quote Originally Posted by LasVegasSystems:



    I have a question. What is the record this season chase and without chase? Also, I assume you do not know how this has performed in past years- is that correct?

    As to the books adjusting, they can to some extent, but there also can be arbitrage opportunities for professionals if the line gets too skewed by the books. That should limit the extent to which they can adjust.

     

    FYI, this guy is a tout who sells public system picks with a modified money management system. He takes alot of info from the free boards and sells it. Deals stale lines to his clients and his plays are very rarely at current lines.

    Also his win/loss record unit wise is very subjective to his huge plays up to 8* sometimes. He touts his yearly unit records of +20-30units all the time with 8* plays at lines -250 and higher lines.

    Prior to MLB season he was forecasting 400units of profit, LOL. Uses very deceptive tactics like replying to emails pretending to have PHD's in math on staff.

    Just so everyone knows...

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by LasVegasSystems:



    I have a question. What is the record this season chase and without chase? Also, I assume you do not know how this has performed in past years- is that correct?

    As to the books adjusting, they can to some extent, but there also can be arbitrage opportunities for professionals if the line gets too skewed by the books. That should limit the extent to which they can adjust.

     

    FYI, this guy is a tout who sells public system picks with a modified money management system. He takes alot of info from the free boards and sells it. Deals stale lines to his clients and his plays are very rarely at current lines.

    Also his win/loss record unit wise is very subjective to his huge plays up to 8* sometimes. He touts his yearly unit records of +20-30units all the time with 8* plays at lines -250 and higher lines.

    Prior to MLB season he was forecasting 400units of profit, LOL. Uses very deceptive tactics like replying to emails pretending to have PHD's in math on staff.

    Just so everyone knows...

     

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2010 - 12:19 PM ET #34

    Quote Originally Posted by GMSI:

     

    FYI, this guy is a tout who sells public system picks with a modified money management system. He takes alot of info from the free boards and sells it. Deals stale lines to his clients and his plays are very rarely at current lines.

    Also his win/loss record unit wise is very subjective to his huge plays up to 8* sometimes. He touts his yearly unit records of +20-30units all the time with 8* plays at lines -250 and higher lines.

    Prior to MLB season he was forecasting 400units of profit, LOL. Uses very deceptive tactics like replying to emails pretending to have PHD's in math on staff.

    Just so everyone knows...

     



    That guy is a real dick then.

    We should get some people together and sell our own great systems.
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    Quote Originally Posted by GMSI:

     

    FYI, this guy is a tout who sells public system picks with a modified money management system. He takes alot of info from the free boards and sells it. Deals stale lines to his clients and his plays are very rarely at current lines.

    Also his win/loss record unit wise is very subjective to his huge plays up to 8* sometimes. He touts his yearly unit records of +20-30units all the time with 8* plays at lines -250 and higher lines.

    Prior to MLB season he was forecasting 400units of profit, LOL. Uses very deceptive tactics like replying to emails pretending to have PHD's in math on staff.

    Just so everyone knows...

     



    That guy is a real dick then.

    We should get some people together and sell our own great systems.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2010 - 2:09 PM ET #35

    WTF Betus is usually the first book with yes/no lines and they are still not posted and other books are. Hmm. Interesting.
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    WTF Betus is usually the first book with yes/no lines and they are still not posted and other books are. Hmm. Interesting.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2010 - 2:12 PM ET #36

    Game_1_Cin/Oak_Yes_+100_
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    Game_1_Cin/Oak_Yes_+100_
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2010 - 3:32 PM ET #37

    Big chase card today.

    Game_1_CIN/OAK_Yes_+100_
    Game_2_KAN/WAS_Yes_+135_
    Game_3_STL/TOR_Yes_+135_
    Game_4_SFO/HOU_Yes_+130_
    Game_5_BOS/COL_Yes_+110_
    Game_6_NYY/ARZ_No_+120_
    Game_7_CUB/SEA_Yes+160_
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    Big chase card today.

    Game_1_CIN/OAK_Yes_+100_
    Game_2_KAN/WAS_Yes_+135_
    Game_3_STL/TOR_Yes_+135_
    Game_4_SFO/HOU_Yes_+130_
    Game_5_BOS/COL_Yes_+110_
    Game_6_NYY/ARZ_No_+120_
    Game_7_CUB/SEA_Yes+160_
     
    neilsy25
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2010 - 3:36 PM ET #38

    I don't see these yes/no lines on Pinnacle..do they not offer them or am I just missing it ?

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    I don't see these yes/no lines on Pinnacle..do they not offer them or am I just missing it ?

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2010 - 3:53 PM ET #39

    Hey guys guess what.  GAME ONE WINNER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Gonna play again for 1/2 unit.
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    Hey guys guess what.  GAME ONE WINNER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
    Gonna play again for 1/2 unit.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2010 - 4:03 PM ET #40

    Big variance in lines. Bookmaker has KAN/WAS -105.
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    Big variance in lines. Bookmaker has KAN/WAS -105.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2010 - 5:45 PM ET #41

    On to game 3
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    On to game 3
     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2010 - 6:36 PM ET #42

    I see u have the NYY game for a no. I did not realize you did no runs also if it was + money...
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    I see u have the NYY game for a no. I did not realize you did no runs also if it was + money...
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2010 - 7:29 PM ET #43

    Uh oh, that one lost too. Might have pushed over done it.

    On to game 4.
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    Uh oh, that one lost too. Might have pushed over done it.

    On to game 4.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2010 - 7:30 PM ET #44

    I mean might have over done it.
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    I mean might have over done it.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 23, 2010 - 8:22 PM ET #45

    Winner!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! That will do pig.
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    Winner!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! That will do pig.
     
    sabia
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2010 - 1:27 AM ET #46

    this system depends the day that the teams send his best pitchers today 10 games not runs only 5 games with runs in 1 .......
    the best days to this sistem are friday to sunday there are more games with runs in 1......

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    this system depends the day that the teams send his best pitchers today 10 games not runs only 5 games with runs in 1 .......
    the best days to this sistem are friday to sunday there are more games with runs in 1......

     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2010 - 1:36 AM ET #47

    Only 2-5 straight up today but the 2 chases were winners.
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    Only 2-5 straight up today but the 2 chases were winners.
     
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2010 - 9:48 AM ET #48

    Another 7 game chase today.  Possible guy in the armor exposed yesterday with 6 of 7 "Yes" plays.  SDG and SFO need to keep scoring in the first.

    Game_1_SDG/TAM_Yes_+105
    Game_2_CLE/PHI__No_+100
    Game_3_SFO/HOU_Yes_+135
    Game_4_CUB/SEA_Yes_+160
    Game_5_STL/TOR_Yes_+130
    Game_6_PIT/TEX__No_+125
    Game_7_LAD/LAA__No_+100
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    Another 7 game chase today.  Possible guy in the armor exposed yesterday with 6 of 7 "Yes" plays.  SDG and SFO need to keep scoring in the first.

    Game_1_SDG/TAM_Yes_+105
    Game_2_CLE/PHI__No_+100
    Game_3_SFO/HOU_Yes_+135
    Game_4_CUB/SEA_Yes_+160
    Game_5_STL/TOR_Yes_+130
    Game_6_PIT/TEX__No_+125
    Game_7_LAD/LAA__No_+100
     
    nolemonasses
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2010 - 10:45 AM ET #49

    Damn, my odds are different. i got phi as -105 and LAA -110.

    That, and my cubs/sea is only +130.

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    Damn, my odds are different. i got phi as -105 and LAA -110.

    That, and my cubs/sea is only +130.

     
     
    smitler
    smitler
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    Posted: Jun. 24, 2010 - 11:16 AM ET #50

    Betus lines.
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    Betus lines.
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