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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NCAAF Bowl Strategy

    12 Next Last»
    auburntigers83
    cartra
    buntyketti
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    12 Next Last»
     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 5, 2011 - 7:02 PM ET #1

    Going to be posting my strategy picks in here for the Bowls.  Will be heavily favoring the dogs (non public) teams.

    I will begin betting at 1 unit for first three games.

    * If i win 2 or 3 i will keep the next set of bets (3 teams) to 1 unit / game.

    * If i lose 2 of 3 i will increase the next set of bets (3 teams) to 3 units or triple the previous set of bets.

    * If I lose 3 of 3 of the previous set then I will increase to 5 units or quintuple the previous set of bets.

    Hoping to max my top unit wager out at no more than 25....  hopefully   But would be willing to go up to 125 if required.

    Disclaimer ... not trying to win a ton of money just to be profitable and have fun.  I have a lot of confidence that this strategy will be profitable.  Stay tuned I will firm up my bets in the coming days. 

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Going to be posting my strategy picks in here for the Bowls.  Will be heavily favoring the dogs (non public) teams.

    I will begin betting at 1 unit for first three games.

    * If i win 2 or 3 i will keep the next set of bets (3 teams) to 1 unit / game.

    * If i lose 2 of 3 i will increase the next set of bets (3 teams) to 3 units or triple the previous set of bets.

    * If I lose 3 of 3 of the previous set then I will increase to 5 units or quintuple the previous set of bets.

    Hoping to max my top unit wager out at no more than 25....  hopefully   But would be willing to go up to 125 if required.

    Disclaimer ... not trying to win a ton of money just to be profitable and have fun.  I have a lot of confidence that this strategy will be profitable.  Stay tuned I will firm up my bets in the coming days. 

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2011 - 5:58 PM ET #2

    Gonna do a little pretesting but with NCAAB lets see how it goes

    All 1 Unit Each

    Butler +5.5 (-105)

    Loyola Chicago +5.5 (-105)

    Davidson +2 (-115)

    Colorado State +22.5 (-110)

    Dayton +5.5 (-115)

    BOL 

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    Gonna do a little pretesting but with NCAAB lets see how it goes

    All 1 Unit Each

    Butler +5.5 (-105)

    Loyola Chicago +5.5 (-105)

    Davidson +2 (-115)

    Colorado State +22.5 (-110)

    Dayton +5.5 (-115)

    BOL 

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 7, 2011 - 10:20 PM ET #3

    Butler +5.5 (-105)    -1  Unit

    Loyola Chicago +5.5 (-105)    -1 Unit

    Davidson +2 (-115)    -1 Unit

    Colorado State +22.5 (-110)    -1 Unit

    Dayton +5.5 (-115)    + 0.87 Unit

     

    Not a good night at least it was small unit wagers ... Butler game still not over but not looking good .  Assuming a loss on that one the night is (1-4) ATS for -3.13 Units... sucks. 

    Going to keep betting 1 Unit for the next two days then bump it up if the record is still negative.  Going to try to hit 5 games that I feel are the biggest underdog plays.  Oh well lets see if this works.

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    Butler +5.5 (-105)    -1  Unit

    Loyola Chicago +5.5 (-105)    -1 Unit

    Davidson +2 (-115)    -1 Unit

    Colorado State +22.5 (-110)    -1 Unit

    Dayton +5.5 (-115)    + 0.87 Unit

     

    Not a good night at least it was small unit wagers ... Butler game still not over but not looking good .  Assuming a loss on that one the night is (1-4) ATS for -3.13 Units... sucks. 

    Going to keep betting 1 Unit for the next two days then bump it up if the record is still negative.  Going to try to hit 5 games that I feel are the biggest underdog plays.  Oh well lets see if this works.

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 8, 2011 - 5:37 PM ET #4

    Cant for the life of me find a good 5th bet... oh well just going to go with 4 bets

    tonight I got

    Harvard +6.5 (-110)

    Boston College +14 (-110)

    Western Michigan +5 (-110)

    West Virginia +5 (-115)

    All 1 Unit lets see what happens

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    Cant for the life of me find a good 5th bet... oh well just going to go with 4 bets

    tonight I got

    Harvard +6.5 (-110)

    Boston College +14 (-110)

    Western Michigan +5 (-110)

    West Virginia +5 (-115)

    All 1 Unit lets see what happens

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 8, 2011 - 11:49 PM ET #5

    Well not the best not the worst (2-2) ATS looks like with WV pending looks like a win hopefully

    Harvard +6.5 (-110)    -1 Unit

    Boston College +14 (-110)    + 0.91 Unit

    Western Michigan +5 (-110)    -1 Unit

    West Virginia +5 (-115)    + 0.87 Unit

     

    So for the night we have a loss of juice of -0.22 Units for a cumulative total of  - 3.35 Units  still sucks huh.... still gonna keep it at 1 unit for tomorrow... not many games maybe pick 3 or 4 to play tops  still betting small but so far

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    Well not the best not the worst (2-2) ATS looks like with WV pending looks like a win hopefully

    Harvard +6.5 (-110)    -1 Unit

    Boston College +14 (-110)    + 0.91 Unit

    Western Michigan +5 (-110)    -1 Unit

    West Virginia +5 (-115)    + 0.87 Unit

     

    So for the night we have a loss of juice of -0.22 Units for a cumulative total of  - 3.35 Units  still sucks huh.... still gonna keep it at 1 unit for tomorrow... not many games maybe pick 3 or 4 to play tops  still betting small but so far

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2011 - 4:52 PM ET #6

    Got 3 bets for Friday

    Siena +13 (-105)

    Rider +27 (-110)

    Idaho +13 (-105)

    Parlay 1 Unit to win 6.278 Units!

    Due to the bad record ATS, Im going to go with a parlay on these three for 1 unit... I figure the ATS in the end should approach around 50% .   So I figure in this case REWARD > RISK .  The only scenario where I would come out behind is a 2-1 ATS evening.  Any other scenario I would be better off doing the parlay.  Anyways as always lets hope for the best 

     

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    Got 3 bets for Friday

    Siena +13 (-105)

    Rider +27 (-110)

    Idaho +13 (-105)

    Parlay 1 Unit to win 6.278 Units!

    Due to the bad record ATS, Im going to go with a parlay on these three for 1 unit... I figure the ATS in the end should approach around 50% .   So I figure in this case REWARD > RISK .  The only scenario where I would come out behind is a 2-1 ATS evening.  Any other scenario I would be better off doing the parlay.  Anyways as always lets hope for the best 

     

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2011 - 11:40 PM ET #7

    Siena +13 (-105) 

    Rider +27 (-110) 

    Idaho +13 (-105) 

    Parlay 1 Unit to win 6.278 Units! 

    Cha Ching!!!!  The dogs were HOWLING tonight!  Almost all across the board.  A great night and a great haul.  Updated ATS record *** Counting these games as INDIVIDUAL wins instead of one play ***   ATS (6-6)  and for Units finally into the positive with + 2.928 Units.  Nothing to brag about but can't complain about winning. 

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    Siena +13 (-105) 

    Rider +27 (-110) 

    Idaho +13 (-105) 

    Parlay 1 Unit to win 6.278 Units! 

    Cha Ching!!!!  The dogs were HOWLING tonight!  Almost all across the board.  A great night and a great haul.  Updated ATS record *** Counting these games as INDIVIDUAL wins instead of one play ***   ATS (6-6)  and for Units finally into the positive with + 2.928 Units.  Nothing to brag about but can't complain about winning. 

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 9, 2011 - 11:44 PM ET #8

    Tomorrow due to the multitude of games I will try to break it up into 2 segments and hit 5 plays with tipoffs before 7pm e.t.  and 5 plays that tip at 7pm e.t. or later. Still betting small (1 Unit). As always lets hope for the best 
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    Tomorrow due to the multitude of games I will try to break it up into 2 segments and hit 5 plays with tipoffs before 7pm e.t.  and 5 plays that tip at 7pm e.t. or later. Still betting small (1 Unit). As always lets hope for the best 
     
    cartra
    cartra
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2011 - 12:41 AM ET #9

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    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2011 - 9:42 AM ET #10

    These are the plays ATS i cant fill out anymore right now because my POS book isnt even letting me login ..... what pieces of S**t . These will all be 1 unit bets and will fill in my exact spread and vig whenever these mf'rs let me log in.

    Washington

    Kansas

    St. Joseph's

    Boston University

    Indiana

    Austin Peay

    USC

    Charlotte

    Green Bay

    Oklahoma St.

     

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    These are the plays ATS i cant fill out anymore right now because my POS book isnt even letting me login ..... what pieces of S**t . These will all be 1 unit bets and will fill in my exact spread and vig whenever these mf'rs let me log in.

    Washington

    Kansas

    St. Joseph's

    Boston University

    Indiana

    Austin Peay

    USC

    Charlotte

    Green Bay

    Oklahoma St.

     

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2011 - 11:40 AM ET #11

    Alright due to the weakness of the late night lineup I'm just going to post the top ten dog plays overall. These will all be 1 unit each. I think we should look at this basketball on a week to week basis being as how there are so many games to bet before we decide to bump up the units. Ok so here are the plays.

    Washington +8 (-110)

    Kansas +3 (-110)

    St. Joseph's +3 (-110)

    Boston University +7 (-115)

    Indiana +5.5 (-110)

    Austin Peay +13 (-115)

    USC +3 (-110)

    Charlotte +2.5 (-110)

    Green Bay +21.5 (-110)

    Oklahoma St. +7.5 (-110)

    Whew finally my sportsbook came through... lets hope for the best

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    Alright due to the weakness of the late night lineup I'm just going to post the top ten dog plays overall. These will all be 1 unit each. I think we should look at this basketball on a week to week basis being as how there are so many games to bet before we decide to bump up the units. Ok so here are the plays.

    Washington +8 (-110)

    Kansas +3 (-110)

    St. Joseph's +3 (-110)

    Boston University +7 (-115)

    Indiana +5.5 (-110)

    Austin Peay +13 (-115)

    USC +3 (-110)

    Charlotte +2.5 (-110)

    Green Bay +21.5 (-110)

    Oklahoma St. +7.5 (-110)

    Whew finally my sportsbook came through... lets hope for the best

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 10, 2011 - 11:17 PM ET #12

    Wow wow wow.... the last couple of days have been amazing system wise.   Just unbelievable the run the past two days.  Here are the results!

    Washington +8 (-110)    + 0.91 Unit

    Kansas +3 (-110)    + 0.91 Unit

    St. Joseph's +3 (-110)   + 0.91 Unit

    Boston University +7 (-115)   - 1 Unit

    Indiana +5.5 (-110)   + 0.91 Unit

    Austin Peay +13 (-115)   + 0.87 Unit

    USC +3 (-110)  Push + 0.0 Unit

    Charlotte +2.5 (-110)   + 0.91 Unit

    Green Bay +21.5 (-110)   + 0.91 Unit

    Oklahoma St. +7.5 (-110)   + 0.91 Unit

    ATS for the night is (8-1-1) and a result of + 6.24 Units!!

    Updated ATS (14-7-1)  and updated cumulative Unit count is +9.168!!!  A great couple of days and tomorrow being a slower day will try to fit in about 5 games.  I've been contemplating making this a separate thread if it has any chance of being succesful and so far so good.  So maybe tomorrow we may break this off to an OFFICIAL College BBall thread.  As always lets keep going and hope for the best

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    Wow wow wow.... the last couple of days have been amazing system wise.   Just unbelievable the run the past two days.  Here are the results!

    Washington +8 (-110)    + 0.91 Unit

    Kansas +3 (-110)    + 0.91 Unit

    St. Joseph's +3 (-110)   + 0.91 Unit

    Boston University +7 (-115)   - 1 Unit

    Indiana +5.5 (-110)   + 0.91 Unit

    Austin Peay +13 (-115)   + 0.87 Unit

    USC +3 (-110)  Push + 0.0 Unit

    Charlotte +2.5 (-110)   + 0.91 Unit

    Green Bay +21.5 (-110)   + 0.91 Unit

    Oklahoma St. +7.5 (-110)   + 0.91 Unit

    ATS for the night is (8-1-1) and a result of + 6.24 Units!!

    Updated ATS (14-7-1)  and updated cumulative Unit count is +9.168!!!  A great couple of days and tomorrow being a slower day will try to fit in about 5 games.  I've been contemplating making this a separate thread if it has any chance of being succesful and so far so good.  So maybe tomorrow we may break this off to an OFFICIAL College BBall thread.  As always lets keep going and hope for the best

     
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 11, 2011 - 8:33 AM ET #13

    No Bball picks today due to lack of good games, no info, and nfl being today. 
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    No Bball picks today due to lack of good games, no info, and nfl being today. 
     
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 12, 2011 - 6:23 PM ET #14

    MOVING the BBALL part of the thread to the basketball Forums.... one last one FORDHAM +8 (-115) 1 Unit... lets hope for the best!
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    MOVING the BBALL part of the thread to the basketball Forums.... one last one FORDHAM +8 (-115) 1 Unit... lets hope for the best!
     
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2011 - 5:22 PM ET #15

    Alright Lets get down to Business!!! Why we're all here.. FIRST BOWL PICK, lets make it interesting

    Louisiana Lafayette + 5 (-110) 4 Units

    Lets hope for the best

     

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    Alright Lets get down to Business!!! Why we're all here.. FIRST BOWL PICK, lets make it interesting

    Louisiana Lafayette + 5 (-110) 4 Units

    Lets hope for the best

     

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 16, 2011 - 5:42 PM ET #16

    Adding

    Marshall + 4 (-110) 4 Units

    Louisiana Tech +10.5 (-110) 4 Units

    Lets hope for the best

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    Adding

    Marshall + 4 (-110) 4 Units

    Louisiana Tech +10.5 (-110) 4 Units

    Lets hope for the best

     
    buntyketti
    buntyketti
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    Posted: Dec. 18, 2011 - 9:47 AM ET #17

    nice start bro 

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    nice start bro 

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2011 - 8:00 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by buntyketti:

    nice start bro 

    Thanks Bro 

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    Quote Originally Posted by buntyketti:

    nice start bro 

    Thanks Bro 

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2011 - 11:41 PM ET #19

    Since we have a 2-0 start locked up (winning 3 pack) I'm going to drop the bets down to 1 Unit.  I initially began with 4 Units due to how crazy the last week of the season was.

    Adding

    Arizona State +14.5 for 1 Unit

    Lets hope for the best 

     

     

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    Since we have a 2-0 start locked up (winning 3 pack) I'm going to drop the bets down to 1 Unit.  I initially began with 4 Units due to how crazy the last week of the season was.

    Adding

    Arizona State +14.5 for 1 Unit

    Lets hope for the best 

     

     

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 21, 2011 - 11:48 PM ET #20

    Louisiana Lafayette + 5 (-110) 4 Units  + 3.64 Units

    Marshall + 4 (-110) 4 Units  + 3.64 Units

    Louisiana Tech +10.5 (-110) 4 Units  + 3.64 Units

    So far so good Bowl Season ATS (3-0) for + 10.92 Units

    Lets keep this momentum going. 

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    Louisiana Lafayette + 5 (-110) 4 Units  + 3.64 Units

    Marshall + 4 (-110) 4 Units  + 3.64 Units

    Louisiana Tech +10.5 (-110) 4 Units  + 3.64 Units

    So far so good Bowl Season ATS (3-0) for + 10.92 Units

    Lets keep this momentum going. 

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2011 - 12:13 AM ET #21

    Adding

    Nevada +7 (-115) 1 Unit

    Lets hope for the best

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    Adding

    Nevada +7 (-115) 1 Unit

    Lets hope for the best

     
    buntyketti
    buntyketti
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2011 - 9:24 AM ET #22

    nice going bro, any chance u will playing the ncaa B ?
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    nice going bro, any chance u will playing the ncaa B ?
     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 22, 2011 - 4:02 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by buntyketti:

    nice going bro, any chance u will playing the ncaa B ?

    Yeah I will try to start posting NCAAB plays again.. .I came down with food poisoning Sunday night and had to miss work Monday... so been catching up ever since and was trying to keep the capping to a minimum .  Will probably post one continuous thread in systems instead of separate daily ones.  Those are just too hard to keep up with.   Hope you've been making some

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    Quote Originally Posted by buntyketti:

    nice going bro, any chance u will playing the ncaa B ?

    Yeah I will try to start posting NCAAB plays again.. .I came down with food poisoning Sunday night and had to miss work Monday... so been catching up ever since and was trying to keep the capping to a minimum .  Will probably post one continuous thread in systems instead of separate daily ones.  Those are just too hard to keep up with.   Hope you've been making some

     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 26, 2011 - 9:42 AM ET #24

    Adding

    University of North Carolina +6 (-110)

    Lets hope for the best

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    Adding

    University of North Carolina +6 (-110)

    Lets hope for the best

     
     
    auburntigers83
    auburntigers83
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    Posted: Dec. 27, 2011 - 8:34 AM ET #25

    Arizona State +14.5 1 Unit  - 1 Unit

    Nevada +7 (-115) 1 Unit PUSH

    University of North Carolina +6 (-110) 1 Unit  - 1 Unit

    Oh well that three pack went down in flames mostly so we will Have to increase the next set of bets to 3 Units.  Im looking to add CAL for Wednesday night but hoping to get +3.5.

    ATS for previous 3-pack (0-2-1) for - 2 Units.

    ATS Cumulative Updated (3-2-1) for + 8.92 Units.

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    Arizona State +14.5 1 Unit  - 1 Unit

    Nevada +7 (-115) 1 Unit PUSH

    University of North Carolina +6 (-110) 1 Unit  - 1 Unit

    Oh well that three pack went down in flames mostly so we will Have to increase the next set of bets to 3 Units.  Im looking to add CAL for Wednesday night but hoping to get +3.5.

    ATS for previous 3-pack (0-2-1) for - 2 Units.

    ATS Cumulative Updated (3-2-1) for + 8.92 Units.

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