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NCAA CBB ML Dogs - Tracking System

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Posted: #1
Just going to track this.  Looking at Dogs that I feel have at least a 60% chance of winning SU using W-L probabilities.  I am going to track ML and ATS records.
 
home wins+away losses/total away games+total home games > 60% Last 4 Years
 
home wins+away losses/total away games+total home games > 60% for 2007-08 Season.
 
Home team must have a home winning percentage over 60% last 4 years.
 
1/3/08
 
La Tech +7  +265
Troy +1.5  +115
 
Good luck to all.
 
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Posted: #2

YTD:

ML 1-1  +.15

ATS 1-1 -.10

1/4/08

Arky St +2  +118

Kentucky +2 +118

BC +10.5  +470

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Posted: #3

YTD:

ML 2-3  -.67

ATS 2-3 -1.30

1/8/08

Wake +2  +115

Fresno St +4 +155

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Posted: #4
YTD:
 
ML 3-4 -.52
ATS 3-4  -1.40
 
1/9/08
 
LSU +3 +137
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Posted: #5
YTD:
 
ML 3-5 -1.52
ATS 3-5  -2.50
 
1/10/08
 
This has the makings of a good fade system, sometimes just as good.  Lots of plays today.
 
Sacramento St +8 +320
Arky St +1 +105
Weber St +1 +102
Auburn +6.5 +243
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Posted: #6
YTD:
 
ML 5-7 +.70
ATS 6-6  -.60
 
1/12/08
 
Furman +2 +120
St Louis +4.5 +180
Air Force +6 +228
Houston +1 +105
Buffalo +7  +250
Missouri +2 +109
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Posted: #7
YTD:
 
ML 7-11 +.07
ATS 8-10  -3.00
 
1/13/08
 
Denver +1 +105
N Illinois +1.5 +109
Idaho St +5 +189
 
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Posted: #8
YTD:
 
ML 9-12 +1.21
ATS 10-11  -2.10
 
1/1408
 
Pittsburgh +2.5 +120
 
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Posted: #9
YTD:
 
ML 10-12 +2.41
ATS 11-11  -1.10
 
1/15/08
 
TCU +4 +158
Penn +4 +163
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Posted: #10
I really taking those small dogs on the ML.  Say 6 pts.or less
 
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Posted: #11
YTD:
 
ML 11-13 +2.99
ATS 12-11-1  -.10
 
1/16/08
 
Iowa +1 +104
Iowa St +5 +201
Texas Tech +4.5 +192
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Posted: #12
YTD:
 
ML 13-14 +5.92
ATS 14-12-1  +.80
 
1/17/08
 
Minnesota +1.5 +120
Cal Davis +7 +250
Hofstra +6.5 +220
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by allbees:

YTD:
 
ML 11-13 +2.99
ATS 12-11-1  -.10
 
1/16/08
 
Iowa +1 +104
Iowa St +5 +201
Texas Tech +4.5 +192

Good night

 
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Posted: #14
Very interesting system, especially the ML results.
Keep it up allbees.
Are the picks you post on the CBB forum in line with this system?
 
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Posted: #15
sdt74, thanks.  I am not playing these just tracking.  They are independent of the ones in the cbb forum.
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Posted: #16
Allbees, I don't know about NCAAF but in the NFL if I'm playing a dog of +6.5 or less I always wager the same amount on the spread and ML, over the course of the season you bag a lot more units because most small dogs like that that cover win SU as well. I assume the same works for NCAAF, give it a try your bankroll will go up
 
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Posted: #17
my bad I thought this was for NCAAF lol
 
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Posted: #18
YTD:
 
ML 14-16 +6.42
ATS 15-14-1 -.40
 
1/19/08
 
GW +12 +620
Kansas St +1.5 +121
Georgia +1 +102
Ark-LR +2.5 +130
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Posted: #19
YTD:
 
ML 16-18 +6.65
ATS 18-15-1 +1.50
 
1/20/08
 
Minnesota +1 +102
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Posted: #20
YTD:
 
ML 16-19 +5.65
ATS 18-16-1 +.40
 
1/21/08
 
Oklahoma St +2 +123
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Posted: #21
How long are you going to be tracking this system Allbees?
 
Those ML results look good
 
Keep it up.
 
 
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Posted: #22
YTD:
 
ML 16-20 +4.65
ATS 18-16-2 +.40
 
1/23/08
 
Buffalo +4.5  +189
Cincinnati +2 +118
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Posted: #23
YTD:
 
ML 16-22 +2.65
ATS 19-17-2 +.30
 
1/24/08
 
Loyola-MD +2.5 +126
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Posted: #24
YTD:
 
ML 17-22 +3.81
ATS 20-17-2 +1.30 (using standard 10% juice)
 
1/26/08
 
Colorado +7 +260
Oklahoma St +2 +115
Manhattan +1.5 +110
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Posted: #25
YTD:
 
ML 17-25 +0.81
ATS 21-19-2 +0.10 (using standard 10% juice)
 
Well, after a decent start, this thing has really fizzled.  Couple close ones yesterday, but as we know that doesn't matter.
 
1/27/08
 
UMass +3.5 +151
Middle Tenn St +1.5 +110
 
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