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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NBA Situation and NHL Defence Power Rating

    12 Next Last»
    Societic-Hustle
    bold27
    kljmd007
    kreatture
    Mizunomp60
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    Search
    Views: 2168
    Posts: 34
    12 Next Last»
     
    Societic-Hustle
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2011 - 7:00 PM ET #1

    God damn it.
    I spent one hour writing but managed to screw it up.
    Have to wait until tomorrow....
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    God damn it.
    I spent one hour writing but managed to screw it up.
    Have to wait until tomorrow....
     
    Societic-Hustle
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2011 - 7:01 PM ET #2

    NBA 2/9

    NHL 2/9

    Reply

    NBA 2/9

    NHL 2/9

     
    Societic-Hustle
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 9, 2011 - 8:47 PM ET #3

    System xplanation:

    NHL:

    Based enteraly on DEFENCE and how many goals they are projected to ALLOW.

    For example: Montreal at Boston tonight.
    Boston is projected to allow 1 goal, while Montreal are projected to allow 3 goals.

    Montreal are 3-11 this season when they allow 3 goals and 20-46 last 3.

    Boston are 16-0 when they allow 1 goal this season and 67-5 last 3.
    26-5 when its 2 goals or less this season 107-26 last 3.

    So basiclly when it comes to Favorites  they should be projected to score at least 3.00 goals while allowing no more  than 2.40.
    Underdogs to score at least 2.50 and allowing no more than 0.4 goals than scoring.

    One more rule, no play on favorites if line is more than -155.

    Reply

    System xplanation:

    NHL:

    Based enteraly on DEFENCE and how many goals they are projected to ALLOW.

    For example: Montreal at Boston tonight.
    Boston is projected to allow 1 goal, while Montreal are projected to allow 3 goals.

    Montreal are 3-11 this season when they allow 3 goals and 20-46 last 3.

    Boston are 16-0 when they allow 1 goal this season and 67-5 last 3.
    26-5 when its 2 goals or less this season 107-26 last 3.

    So basiclly when it comes to Favorites  they should be projected to score at least 3.00 goals while allowing no more  than 2.40.
    Underdogs to score at least 2.50 and allowing no more than 0.4 goals than scoring.

    One more rule, no play on favorites if line is more than -155.

     
    Societic-Hustle
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 10, 2011 - 5:16 PM ET #4

    NBA:

    When it comes to NBA it's pretty much the same, but there I use different numbers, for example :

    87 to 92 points
    93 to 98 points
    99 to 104 points
    105 to 109 points

    After that looking for trends favoring a win also.

    Stickin to games with a range of +5.5 to -5.5 unless heavy difference.

    When it comes to NCAAB same story but totals.

    Reply

    NBA:

    When it comes to NBA it's pretty much the same, but there I use different numbers, for example :

    87 to 92 points
    93 to 98 points
    99 to 104 points
    105 to 109 points

    After that looking for trends favoring a win also.

    Stickin to games with a range of +5.5 to -5.5 unless heavy difference.

    When it comes to NCAAB same story but totals.

     
    Societic-Hustle
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 10, 2011 - 6:02 PM ET #5

    NHL is 25-13 (13,98 units) so far this month for US Bettor and couple of units better for bettors that can use a bookie like Pinnacle.

    Get todays plays here

    Reply

    NHL is 25-13 (13,98 units) so far this month for US Bettor and couple of units better for bettors that can use a bookie like Pinnacle.

    Get todays plays here

     
    bold27
    bold27
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    Posted: Feb. 11, 2011 - 3:22 PM ET #6

    INTERESTING
    We are the priests of the temples of syrinx
    Reply
    INTERESTING
     
    Societic-Hustle
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 11, 2011 - 3:26 PM ET #7

    27-13 (+16,03 units)

    Get todays NHL plays here

    NBA & NCAAB

    Reply

    27-13 (+16,03 units)

    Get todays NHL plays here

    NBA & NCAAB

     
    Societic-Hustle
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 12, 2011 - 12:13 PM ET #8

    27-15 (+16,28 units) for NHL

    3-1 (+1,90 units) for NBA

    Think Im going to skip NCAAB plays.

    Get todays NHL plays here

    NBA plays will be posted later.

    Matchups can be found on my blog.

    Reply

    27-15 (+16,28 units) for NHL

    3-1 (+1,90 units) for NBA

    Think Im going to skip NCAAB plays.

    Get todays NHL plays here

    NBA plays will be posted later.

    Matchups can be found on my blog.

     
    Societic-Hustle
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 12, 2011 - 5:32 PM ET #9

    Saturday NBA
    Reply
    Saturday NBA
     
    Societic-Hustle
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 13, 2011 - 1:29 PM ET #10

    2/13 NHL
    Reply
    2/13 NHL
     
    Societic-Hustle
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 14, 2011 - 5:46 AM ET #11

    Results:

    NHL: 32-17 (+17,38 units)
    NBA: 7-6 (+40 units)

    Reply

    Results:

    NHL: 32-17 (+17,38 units)
    NBA: 7-6 (+40 units)

     
    kljmd007
    kljmd007
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    Posted: Feb. 14, 2011 - 9:09 AM ET #12

    Fairly new to hockey betting....when you say 'projected' to score so many goals, what are you using to make your projection??  Is it a teams goal avg at home or on road, or that plus playing on that particular day of the week?? Do you use sportsbook or another source for your stats??

    Reply

    Fairly new to hockey betting....when you say 'projected' to score so many goals, what are you using to make your projection??  Is it a teams goal avg at home or on road, or that plus playing on that particular day of the week?? Do you use sportsbook or another source for your stats??

     
    kreatture
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    Posted: Feb. 14, 2011 - 9:46 AM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by Societic-Hustle:

    Results:

    NBA: 7-6 (+40 units)

     What are you betting, like 40 Units per game??

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Societic-Hustle:

    Results:

    NBA: 7-6 (+40 units)

     What are you betting, like 40 Units per game??

     
    Mizunomp60
    Mizunomp60
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    Posted: Feb. 14, 2011 - 11:51 AM ET #14

    what a record!!

    are you able to give an example to me.

    for example the canucks at Blues?

    i'm not sure i understand yoursystem 100 %, so i'll appreciate if you do it :)
    Reply
    what a record!!

    are you able to give an example to me.

    for example the canucks at Blues?

    i'm not sure i understand yoursystem 100 %, so i'll appreciate if you do it :)
     
    Societic-Hustle
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 14, 2011 - 1:07 PM ET #15

    Lol, NBA is supposed to be +0.4 Units


    Get todays NHL plays here

    I'm little bizzy today, but I'm going to re-write the original explanation that I fucked up.

    Someone pick a game for tomorrow and I will totally explain the system based on that game.

    I can  tell you until then that projection of goals is not based on offence, avg shot or goals on the road.
    It's the opposite, this si whats so perfect with the system.

    I take a look at how many shots, for example St Louis allows opponets to take when they play at home.

    In this example 28.3 shots and they allow avg. 2.5 goals.
    This means they allow one goal per 11.32 shots.

    Vancovers makes avg. 33.2 shots on the road, which means 33.2 shots / 11.32 = 2.98 goals

    Reply

    Lol, NBA is supposed to be +0.4 Units


    Get todays NHL plays here

    I'm little bizzy today, but I'm going to re-write the original explanation that I fucked up.

    Someone pick a game for tomorrow and I will totally explain the system based on that game.

    I can  tell you until then that projection of goals is not based on offence, avg shot or goals on the road.
    It's the opposite, this si whats so perfect with the system.

    I take a look at how many shots, for example St Louis allows opponets to take when they play at home.

    In this example 28.3 shots and they allow avg. 2.5 goals.
    This means they allow one goal per 11.32 shots.

    Vancovers makes avg. 33.2 shots on the road, which means 33.2 shots / 11.32 = 2.98 goals

     
    Societic-Hustle
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 14, 2011 - 1:17 PM ET #16

    NBA dogs is about a math formula based on team's season-to-date averages of points scored and points allowed.

    Same one they use in Las Vegas before the make changes for like injuries, winning/losing streaks or b2b games.

    Reply

    NBA dogs is about a math formula based on team's season-to-date averages of points scored and points allowed.

    Same one they use in Las Vegas before the make changes for like injuries, winning/losing streaks or b2b games.

     
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 14, 2011 - 2:31 PM ET #17

    NBA Dogs
    Reply
    NBA Dogs
     
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 15, 2011 - 4:59 PM ET #18

    NHL 2/15
    Reply
    NHL 2/15
     
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2011 - 2:12 PM ET #19

    NHL 2/16
    Reply
    NHL 2/16
     
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2011 - 1:25 PM ET #20

    NHL February record: 38 - 25 (+ 14.53 units)

    Get todays plays here

    Reply

    NHL February record: 38 - 25 (+ 14.53 units)

    Get todays plays here

     
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2011 - 2:01 PM ET #21

    NHL 2/19
    Reply
    NHL 2/19
     
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2011 - 12:16 PM ET #22

    NHL 2/20
    Reply
    NHL 2/20
     
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 21, 2011 - 1:05 PM ET #23

    NHL 2/21
    Reply
    NHL 2/21
     
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 22, 2011 - 1:44 PM ET #24

    NHL 2/22
    Reply
    NHL 2/22
     
     
    Societic-Hustle
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    Posted: Feb. 23, 2011 - 5:14 PM ET #25

    NHL 2/23

    ?Memphis Grizzlies -3
    ?New Orleans Hornets -7
    Houston Rockets -6

    Reply

    NHL 2/23

    ?Memphis Grizzlies -3
    ?New Orleans Hornets -7
    Houston Rockets -6

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