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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    NBA PPGD System 2014-2015

    Rusfan
    coolspot
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    Views: 1904
    Posts: 22
     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2014 - 4:37 AM ET #1

    Been following this strategy for a while. I just compare PPGD (https://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/team/_/stat/team-comparison-per-game/sort/avgPointsDifference ) of the two teams with a number in the line and make my play if the difference is more than 4 in favor of one team. I will not bet on home dogs or road favorites. Consider it a filter
    Here is a chart of how I put units according to the number.

    4-7   ---       1 unit
    8-11   ---     2units
    12-15 ---     3 units
    16-19 ----    4 units
    over 20 ----  5 units
     
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Been following this strategy for a while. I just compare PPGD (https://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/team/_/stat/team-comparison-per-game/sort/avgPointsDifference ) of the two teams with a number in the line and make my play if the difference is more than 4 in favor of one team. I will not bet on home dogs or road favorites. Consider it a filter
    Here is a chart of how I put units according to the number.

    4-7   ---       1 unit
    8-11   ---     2units
    12-15 ---     3 units
    16-19 ----    4 units
    over 20 ----  5 units
     
     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2014 - 5:04 AM ET #2

    Plays today 

    TOR   -10.5   1u
    MEM  -10   1u
    SAC +6.5  1u
    GS -4.5   2u

    All plays to win a whole amount of units. Bets are made @1.90 always.


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    Plays today 

    TOR   -10.5   1u
    MEM  -10   1u
    SAC +6.5  1u
    GS -4.5   2u

    All plays to win a whole amount of units. Bets are made @1.90 always.


     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 11, 2014 - 1:11 PM ET #3

    I see GSW is -7 now ... would still be a play for 1 unit though
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    I see GSW is -7 now ... would still be a play for 1 unit though
     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2014 - 1:28 AM ET #4

    System rocks !    0-4   -5.55 units
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    System rocks !    0-4   -5.55 units
     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2014 - 8:15 AM ET #5

    ORL (+6.5)  2 u

    BRO (+4.5)  2 u

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    ORL (+6.5)  2 u

    BRO (+4.5)  2 u

     
    coolspot
    coolspot
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    Posted: Nov. 12, 2014 - 6:09 PM ET #6

    did you play all last yhear?  how did you do?
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    did you play all last yhear?  how did you do?
     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2014 - 1:21 AM ET #7

    1-5    -5.65 units


    coolspot, I played it last year starting February-March for a month or so but not consistently and without any records.Mostly for parlays. I liked the results but got destracted and put it off till next season. So I hope to play all season long and see if it is good enough.
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    1-5    -5.65 units


    coolspot, I played it last year starting February-March for a month or so but not consistently and without any records.Mostly for parlays. I liked the results but got destracted and put it off till next season. So I hope to play all season long and see if it is good enough.
     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2014 - 8:44 AM ET #8

    BRO (+9)  1 u

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    BRO (+9)  1 u

     
    coolspot
    coolspot
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2014 - 8:47 AM ET #9

    just a thought that teams might do better 20 games in or so. that's about how long it takes the teams to get adjusted every year. they settle down and play there best basketball after x-mas.  

    it would also be interesting to see how it pans out starting this early too though.
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    just a thought that teams might do better 20 games in or so. that's about how long it takes the teams to get adjusted every year. they settle down and play there best basketball after x-mas.  

    it would also be interesting to see how it pans out starting this early too though.
     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 13, 2014 - 10:02 AM ET #10

    Thanks cool! I play for peanuts so everything is cool! Main thing as you said is see how it pans out. Around 60% in the long run would be sweet
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    Thanks cool! I play for peanuts so everything is cool! Main thing as you said is see how it pans out. Around 60% in the long run would be sweet
     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2014 - 1:12 AM ET #11

    2-5   -4.65 units   
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    2-5   -4.65 units   
     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 14, 2014 - 4:16 AM ET #12

    IND (-2.5)   1u

    MIL (+2.5)  1u

    UTA (+3.5)  1u

    HOU (-16.5)  3u 

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    IND (-2.5)   1u

    MIL (+2.5)  1u

    UTA (+3.5)  1u

    HOU (-16.5)  3u 

     
    coolspot
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    Posted: Nov. 15, 2014 - 9:08 AM ET #13

    how do I get to the page your looking at?  I went to espn and couldn't find it.  and the  link that was put up on first page only leads to a page with all the definitions for the abreviations.  what colum am I suppose to be looking at once I'm there.
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    how do I get to the page your looking at?  I went to espn and couldn't find it.  and the  link that was put up on first page only leads to a page with all the definitions for the abreviations.  what colum am I suppose to be looking at once I'm there.
     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 18, 2014 - 7:22 AM ET #14

    3-8    -9.05 units

    OKL (+4)  1u



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    3-8    -9.05 units

    OKL (+4)  1u



     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 19, 2014 - 12:57 PM ET #15

    3-9  -10.15 units   

    MIL (+6.5)  1u

    NY (+1.5)   1u

    OKL (+7.5)  2u

    HOU (-11.5)  1u



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    3-9  -10.15 units   

    MIL (+6.5)  1u

    NY (+1.5)   1u

    OKL (+7.5)  2u

    HOU (-11.5)  1u



     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 20, 2014 - 12:31 AM ET #16

    5-11  -9.35 units
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    5-11  -9.35 units
     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 20, 2014 - 7:11 AM ET #17

    CHI (0)  1u

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    CHI (0)  1u

     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 21, 2014 - 12:22 PM ET #18

    5-12   -10.45 units

    ORL (+3.5)   1u

    BRO (0)    1u

    DAL (-9.5)   2u

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    5-12   -10.45 units

    ORL (+3.5)   1u

    BRO (0)    1u

    DAL (-9.5)   2u

     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 22, 2014 - 2:34 AM ET #19

    8-12    -6.45 units

    picks later  
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    8-12    -6.45 units

    picks later  
     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 22, 2014 - 3:26 AM ET #20

    TOR (+3.5) 3u

    DAL(+3.5)  2u

    BRO(+9.5)  1u

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    TOR (+3.5) 3u

    DAL(+3.5)  2u

    BRO(+9.5)  1u

     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 23, 2014 - 12:16 AM ET #21

    Almost  perfect day 2 in a row but BRO garbage the bed .

    10-13   -2.55 units     5-1 last 6

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    Almost  perfect day 2 in a row but BRO garbage the bed .

    10-13   -2.55 units     5-1 last 6

     
     
    Rusfan
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    Posted: Nov. 24, 2014 - 4:56 AM ET #22

    ORL (+10)  2u

    TOR (-5)   1u

    DAL(-10.5)  1u


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    ORL (+10)  2u

    TOR (-5)   1u

    DAL(-10.5)  1u


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