I applied my same theory I used on NFL totals to NBA totals and it looks promising, only time will tell. This was a quick and dirty transformation of the NFL system and I'll have to do some checking for errors. Plays ranked above 7.5 (41 out of 158 games) appear to be hitting at a very high percent. I'll post all picks from the system so it can be evaluated. I'm 0-0 on NBA League Champions so I'll keep track of the record there.
Cleveland / Detroit Over 192.5 (5.6)
Denver / San Antonio Over 179 (3.6)
Sacramento / New Orleans Under 194.5 (2.9)
Washington / Atlanta Over 202 (2.2)
L.A. Clippers / Oklahoma City Under 189 (1.1)
Chicago / Portland Over 192 (1)
Philadelphia / Minnesota Over 191.5 (0.2)
Toronto / Miami 192.1
Dallas / Houston 189.4
Milwaukee / Utah 187.4
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I applied my same theory I used on NFL totals to NBA totals and it looks promising, only time will tell. This was a quick and dirty transformation of the NFL system and I'll have to do some checking for errors. Plays ranked above 7.5 (41 out of 158 games) appear to be hitting at a very high percent. I'll post all picks from the system so it can be evaluated. I'm 0-0 on NBA League Champions so I'll keep track of the record there.
I am a great fan of your NFL system. It would be nothing shorter than amazing if you could bring home the same results to the NBA. Best of Luck, I will follow closely.
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Hi kenyonlv,
I am a great fan of your NFL system. It would be nothing shorter than amazing if you could bring home the same results to the NBA. Best of Luck, I will follow closely.
Cleveland / Detroit Over 192.5 (5.6) Denver / San Antonio Over 179 (3.6) Sacramento / New Orleans Under 194.5 (2.9) Washington / Atlanta Over 202 (2.2) L.A. Clippers / Oklahoma City Under 189 (1.1) Chicago / Portland Over 192 (1) Philadelphia / Minnesota Over 191.5 (0.2) Toronto / Miami 192.1 Dallas / Houston 189.4 Milwaukee / Utah 187.4
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Opps let me try that again
Cleveland / Detroit Over 192.5 (5.6) Denver / San Antonio Over 179 (3.6) Sacramento / New Orleans Under 194.5 (2.9) Washington / Atlanta Over 202 (2.2) L.A. Clippers / Oklahoma City Under 189 (1.1) Chicago / Portland Over 192 (1) Philadelphia / Minnesota Over 191.5 (0.2) Toronto / Miami 192.1 Dallas / Houston 189.4 Milwaukee / Utah 187.4
Day 1 went 3-7, not good, but none of those plays topped my 7.5 rating, so its still 0-0 on that front. NBA system 2.0 will be unvailed tonight, I revised it to use a different stat set based on home or away numbers. The rating threshold for this system is 9.4 (33% of the games so far fit that) but unfortunately no games again tonight. The picks are:
L.A. Lakers/Phoenix Under 207 (8.2) Detroit/Boston Under 183 (1.3)
TB Hopefully the totals will start to dull soon
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Day 1 went 3-7, not good, but none of those plays topped my 7.5 rating, so its still 0-0 on that front. NBA system 2.0 will be unvailed tonight, I revised it to use a different stat set based on home or away numbers. The rating threshold for this system is 9.4 (33% of the games so far fit that) but unfortunately no games again tonight. The picks are:
L.A. Lakers/Phoenix Under 207 (8.2) Detroit/Boston Under 183 (1.3)
Day 2 went 2-0, looks like system 2.0 is better. I got a line I think is soft tomorrow, an 11.5 rating, I expect this line to come down ... get it while it's high.
Orlando/Indiana Under 205 (11.5)
Here are the rest, for the ones I don't have lines for just use the total to figure the play.
Charlotte/Atlanta Under 187 (7.5) New Jersey/Toronto Over 195 (7.1) Portland/Sacramento Under 200 (6.7) New Orleans/Oklahoma City Under 189 (6.1) Boston/Minnesota Over 186 (5.2) Denver/LA Lakers Under 204.5 (1.9) LA Clippers/Philadelphia Under 192 (1.6) Chicago/Golden State (222) New York/Milwaukee (215.9) Memphis/Dallas (199.3) Houston/Washington (178.7) Utah/San Antonio (159.5)
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Day 2 went 2-0, looks like system 2.0 is better. I got a line I think is soft tomorrow, an 11.5 rating, I expect this line to come down ... get it while it's high.
Orlando/Indiana Under 205 (11.5)
Here are the rest, for the ones I don't have lines for just use the total to figure the play.
Charlotte/Atlanta Under 187 (7.5) New Jersey/Toronto Over 195 (7.1) Portland/Sacramento Under 200 (6.7) New Orleans/Oklahoma City Under 189 (6.1) Boston/Minnesota Over 186 (5.2) Denver/LA Lakers Under 204.5 (1.9) LA Clippers/Philadelphia Under 192 (1.6) Chicago/Golden State (222) New York/Milwaukee (215.9) Memphis/Dallas (199.3) Houston/Washington (178.7) Utah/San Antonio (159.5)
Day 3 went 7-6 overall and 1-1 on called plays. With all the differences in lines it's hard to tell what are plays for everybody, but I had the Orl/Ind and Uta/SA as plays. (NY/Mil Lose and Cha/Atl Win might have been plays for a lot of people) The top 6 on my list went 4-2, so I'll take it as a decent day.
The Orl/Ind game was something, I thought it was dead in after the 62 point 1st Q and then when it went into OT. Does anyboby know what happened in SA??? SA was averaging 85 at home and lit it up for 119, 34 points above ave. and Utah was giving up 94 on the road and 119 was 25 above their Def ave ... the system got smoked on that one.
Two lines look good so far ... GL everybody!
Washington/New York Over 208 (16.5) Atlanta/Cleveland Over 196 (12) Indiana/Miami Under 196.5 (7.8) LA Clippers/New Jersey Under 193 (5.7) Oklahoma City/New Orleans Under 191.5 (5.1) Houston/Orlando Over 183.5 (4.4) Portland/Phoenix Under 197.5 (0.8) Sacramento/LA Lakers (219) Chicago/Denver (206.5) Boston/Toronto (201.5) Golden State/Philadelphia (198.1) Minnesota/Detroit (195.7) Utah/Memphis (185.5) Milwaukee/Charlotte (179.1)
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Thanks for all the support !!!
Day 3 went 7-6 overall and 1-1 on called plays. With all the differences in lines it's hard to tell what are plays for everybody, but I had the Orl/Ind and Uta/SA as plays. (NY/Mil Lose and Cha/Atl Win might have been plays for a lot of people) The top 6 on my list went 4-2, so I'll take it as a decent day.
The Orl/Ind game was something, I thought it was dead in after the 62 point 1st Q and then when it went into OT. Does anyboby know what happened in SA??? SA was averaging 85 at home and lit it up for 119, 34 points above ave. and Utah was giving up 94 on the road and 119 was 25 above their Def ave ... the system got smoked on that one.
Two lines look good so far ... GL everybody!
Washington/New York Over 208 (16.5) Atlanta/Cleveland Over 196 (12) Indiana/Miami Under 196.5 (7.8) LA Clippers/New Jersey Under 193 (5.7) Oklahoma City/New Orleans Under 191.5 (5.1) Houston/Orlando Over 183.5 (4.4) Portland/Phoenix Under 197.5 (0.8) Sacramento/LA Lakers (219) Chicago/Denver (206.5) Boston/Toronto (201.5) Golden State/Philadelphia (198.1) Minnesota/Detroit (195.7) Utah/Memphis (185.5) Milwaukee/Charlotte (179.1)
Opps ... Accidently included Sundays games in above list, here, this is better.
Washington/New York Over 208 (16.5) Atlanta/Cleveland Over 196 (12) Indiana/Miami Under 196.5 (7.8) LA Clippers/New Jersey Under 193 (5.7) Oklahoma City/New Orleans Under 191.5 (5.1) Houston/Orlando Over 183.5 (4.4) Portland/Phoenix Under 197.5 (0.8) Utah/Memphis (185.5) Milwaukee/Charlotte (179.1)
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Opps ... Accidently included Sundays games in above list, here, this is better.
Washington/New York Over 208 (16.5) Atlanta/Cleveland Over 196 (12) Indiana/Miami Under 196.5 (7.8) LA Clippers/New Jersey Under 193 (5.7) Oklahoma City/New Orleans Under 191.5 (5.1) Houston/Orlando Over 183.5 (4.4) Portland/Phoenix Under 197.5 (0.8) Utah/Memphis (185.5) Milwaukee/Charlotte (179.1)
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