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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    My Nfl/College System

    «First Previous 12
    wildchild01
    risingcloud
    HeaVin-Cent
    BruceLeroy
    reznor404
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    «First Previous 12
     
    wildchild01
    wildchild01
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    Posted: Sep. 20, 2008 - 3:09 PM ET #26

    that could work the only worry in that tease is Troy seeing how they have a chance to get KILLED by ohio st
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    that could work the only worry in that tease is Troy seeing how they have a chance to get KILLED by ohio st
     
    risingcloud
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2008 - 12:14 AM ET #27

    wow 2-1 today teasing bc,purdue,uconn-- tulsa,cin,san jose -- south miss, texas, oregon..any picks for nfl...thanks man
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    wow 2-1 today teasing bc,purdue,uconn-- tulsa,cin,san jose -- south miss, texas, oregon..any picks for nfl...thanks man
     
    wildchild01
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2008 - 12:48 AM ET #28

    I didnt like oregon I said Cloud as i described above,
     
    the best tease for nfl would be
     
    buffalo
    sea
    sd
     
    sd is on a mon but in the end when you win the $$ it will all be worth it
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    I didnt like oregon I said Cloud as i described above,
     
    the best tease for nfl would be
     
    buffalo
    sea
    sd
     
    sd is on a mon but in the end when you win the $$ it will all be worth it
     
    HeaVin-Cent
    HeaVin-Cent
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2008 - 1:24 AM ET #29

    WC -  I had a good day today with the teasers! Went 3-1 with my only loss being one with ECU. Had quite a few good plays to work with. 

    Oregon was not one of them. BSU is a very solid team and Oregon was down to a 3rd string freshman at QB. 1st - torn shoulder 2nd - torn ACL.... Stayed away.. Tulsa is great team to be riding, they can put up points in a hurry and will make the other teams take risks just to stay in the game with them

    In some cases you might just want to check the lines of a 10pt tease which is -130 against a parlay with ML. Will save you some change in certain situations. Just some food for thought to make this system as good as we can. BOL Tomorrow.
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    WC -  I had a good day today with the teasers! Went 3-1 with my only loss being one with ECU. Had quite a few good plays to work with. 

    Oregon was not one of them. BSU is a very solid team and Oregon was down to a 3rd string freshman at QB. 1st - torn shoulder 2nd - torn ACL.... Stayed away.. Tulsa is great team to be riding, they can put up points in a hurry and will make the other teams take risks just to stay in the game with them

    In some cases you might just want to check the lines of a 10pt tease which is -130 against a parlay with ML. Will save you some change in certain situations. Just some food for thought to make this system as good as we can. BOL Tomorrow.
     
    risingcloud
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    Posted: Sep. 21, 2008 - 7:02 AM ET #30

    hey thanks wildchild damn...i'll get it next time....nice input there heavin....keeping that in mind too. lets make money$$$ oh yeah i'm tryin nyg,chi and buff hope that works too.
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    hey thanks wildchild damn...i'll get it next time....nice input there heavin....keeping that in mind too. lets make money$$$ oh yeah i'm tryin nyg,chi and buff hope that works too.
     
    BruceLeroy
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    Posted: Sep. 23, 2008 - 12:10 AM ET #31

    Nice call Wildchild, 3-0 for the year, have you posted your 3 teamer for this weekend yet?
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    Nice call Wildchild, 3-0 for the year, have you posted your 3 teamer for this weekend yet?
     
    risingcloud
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    Posted: Sep. 23, 2008 - 4:38 AM ET #32

    nice wildchild1-0 yesterday using stl o34, det o37 and clev o37 and today using ur 3...thanks man got any for this week? hows penn st. , clemson, east carolina or oklahoma? once again thanks a lot tryin to get my bank roll back to even.lol
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    nice wildchild1-0 yesterday using stl o34, det o37 and clev o37 and today using ur 3...thanks man got any for this week? hows penn st. , clemson, east carolina or oklahoma? once again thanks a lot tryin to get my bank roll back to even.lol
     
    wildchild01
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    Posted: Sep. 23, 2008 - 9:00 PM ET #33

    Im glad everyone is hitting but no1 is teasing the teams as your supposed to no over unders at all those are to risky.   Look for teams at HOME, FAVORED by 9 to 11 points.  Thats it no 3 point favorites or anything no underdogs, ill give an example for this weekend
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    Im glad everyone is hitting but no1 is teasing the teams as your supposed to no over unders at all those are to risky.   Look for teams at HOME, FAVORED by 9 to 11 points.  Thats it no 3 point favorites or anything no underdogs, ill give an example for this weekend
     
    wildchild01
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    Posted: Sep. 23, 2008 - 9:05 PM ET #34

    Clemson -10.5   to  .5
     
    East Carolina - 10.5 to .5
     
    and San Diego St -10  to pk
     
     
    thats exactly how the tease system works,  3 teams at HOME ,   FAVORED by those points.
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    Clemson -10.5   to  .5
     
    East Carolina - 10.5 to .5
     
    and San Diego St -10  to pk
     
     
    thats exactly how the tease system works,  3 teams at HOME ,   FAVORED by those points.
     
    reznor404
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    Posted: Sep. 23, 2008 - 9:07 PM ET #35

    You ever think of playing a small bet...maybe half the unit bet on the dog + the points on the last game in the teaser. This would seem to provide some pretty good opportunities to either win both bets or hedge against the dog winning straight up.Sure it would suck if the the home fave covered by more than 10. This may work better for teams favored between 10 1/2 -12 1/2. Just a thought. What yall think?
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    You ever think of playing a small bet...maybe half the unit bet on the dog + the points on the last game in the teaser. This would seem to provide some pretty good opportunities to either win both bets or hedge against the dog winning straight up.Sure it would suck if the the home fave covered by more than 10. This may work better for teams favored between 10 1/2 -12 1/2. Just a thought. What yall think?
     
    risingcloud
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2008 - 12:56 AM ET #36

    ah i c....so home, favorite 9 to 11 pts...thanks for the example..what are your leans for thursday usc, tulane?
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    ah i c....so home, favorite 9 to 11 pts...thanks for the example..what are your leans for thursday usc, tulane?
     
    risingcloud
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2008 - 1:03 AM ET #37

    so would Iowa be one of the picks too? how many teasers do you usually make? or just one big one?
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    so would Iowa be one of the picks too? how many teasers do you usually make? or just one big one?
     
    wildchild01
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2008 - 1:29 AM ET #38

    ummm iowa is -8.5  which if you do a 8point teaser would be fine  For 10 points whats the point when -8 is a worse chance to lose outright then a -10 point favorite.
     
    Just stick with teams at home from around -9.5 to 11
     
    And my original lean was SMU but theyre defense cant stop anyways probaly take Tulane -18 and no lean yet on USC wayyyy to many points
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    ummm iowa is -8.5  which if you do a 8point teaser would be fine  For 10 points whats the point when -8 is a worse chance to lose outright then a -10 point favorite.
     
    Just stick with teams at home from around -9.5 to 11
     
    And my original lean was SMU but theyre defense cant stop anyways probaly take Tulane -18 and no lean yet on USC wayyyy to many points
     
    risingcloud
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2008 - 5:07 AM ET #39

    9.5 got it....so how many teasers would you usually make?  thought the same about USC game too much points think i might just watch the thursday games or jump on the O.U. 's
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    9.5 got it....so how many teasers would you usually make?  thought the same about USC game too much points think i might just watch the thursday games or jump on the O.U. 's
     
    nghia1973
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2008 - 11:03 AM ET #40

    Quote Originally Posted by wildchild01:

    Clemson -10.5   to  .5
     
    East Carolina - 10.5 to .5
     
    and San Diego St -10  to pk
     
     
    thats exactly how the tease system works,  3 teams at HOME ,   FAVORED by those points.

    I got SD St. at -11 to -1......It's still a play right?

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    Quote Originally Posted by wildchild01:

    Clemson -10.5   to  .5
     
    East Carolina - 10.5 to .5
     
    and San Diego St -10  to pk
     
     
    thats exactly how the tease system works,  3 teams at HOME ,   FAVORED by those points.

    I got SD St. at -11 to -1......It's still a play right?

     
    wildchild01
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    Posted: Sep. 24, 2008 - 2:43 PM ET #41

    nghia
     
    my book has a push as a tie so with -1 your still risking a loss if you push but whats the chance they win by 1. Thats the only factor you would have to lose in this wager. Before the end of tonight ill put in 5 teasers for this weekend on a 1-5 scale for everyone
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    nghia
     
    my book has a push as a tie so with -1 your still risking a loss if you push but whats the chance they win by 1. Thats the only factor you would have to lose in this wager. Before the end of tonight ill put in 5 teasers for this weekend on a 1-5 scale for everyone
     
    ChanceP
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2008 - 2:34 AM ET #42

    Quote Originally Posted by maitr3:

    parlay the ml and make small bets on the dogs.  small wins, but winner winner guaranteed.  i guess you can call it.. advanced arbitrage

     

    ive been curious about this. Gimme an example of how you make this work please

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    Quote Originally Posted by maitr3:

    parlay the ml and make small bets on the dogs.  small wins, but winner winner guaranteed.  i guess you can call it.. advanced arbitrage

     

    ive been curious about this. Gimme an example of how you make this work please

     
    eppy224
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2008 - 4:08 PM ET #43

    I bet Clem, E carolina, and San Diego St.  All at pick.  $105 to win $80.  On the money line.
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    I bet Clem, E carolina, and San Diego St.  All at pick.  $105 to win $80.  On the money line.
     
    wildchild01
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2008 - 5:07 PM ET #44

    Eppy I bet the exact same thing good luck my friend
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    Eppy I bet the exact same thing good luck my friend
     
    risingcloud
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2008 - 4:14 AM ET #45

    hey wildchild so this week an example would be New Mexico, California and Michigan St.  ?
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    hey wildchild so this week an example would be New Mexico, California and Michigan St.  ?
     
     
    JoeBlow84
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    Posted: Sep. 30, 2008 - 7:02 PM ET #46

    This system only takes home teams that are favored between 10-11 points. The reason is because when you play a 10 point teaser, you want to tease the games down to PK or -1 (so if they all win straight up, you win your teaser, except if a team only wins by one, then you most likely push that game).

    With that reasoning, your scenario would not fit the criteria because Cal is at -9 and MSU is at -8, thus taking you past the PK line and not giving you the optimum benefit of the teaser.


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    This system only takes home teams that are favored between 10-11 points. The reason is because when you play a 10 point teaser, you want to tease the games down to PK or -1 (so if they all win straight up, you win your teaser, except if a team only wins by one, then you most likely push that game).

    With that reasoning, your scenario would not fit the criteria because Cal is at -9 and MSU is at -8, thus taking you past the PK line and not giving you the optimum benefit of the teaser.


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