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MLB Underdog Systems - Anyone want to track this for the season?

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Captain
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Posted: #626

Tuesday 6/18 plays

Sagarin plays

YTD 7-6, +3.8 units

All 2 Units

LAD 100

Dog EFF Score

YTD 42-45, +6.06 units

Balt 198

Oak 152

Dog EFF

YTD 71-68, +24.32 units

All 2 units

KC 104

System Plays

YTD 213-251 +14.94 units

KC 104

TB gm 1 1115

TB gm 2 134

LAD 100

ChiSox 121

Sea 166

Mets 165 (gm 2)

Pitts 167

Cubs 185

Mia 165

SD  132

Cubs/STL Under 7 -115

 

 

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Captain
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Posted: #627

Degen, I noticed on the spreadsheet that for doubleheaders it uses game 2 for the lines in both games. See the Mets today and Tampa.

 

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Captain
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Posted: #628

Tuesday 6/18 results

Sagarin plays

0-0

YTD 7-6, +3.8 units

All 2 Units

LAD 100 rain

Dog EFF Score

2-0, +3.5 units

YTD 44-45, +9.56 units

Balt 198 WIN

Oak 152 WIN

Dog EFF

0-1, -2 units

YTD 71-69, +22.32 units

All 2 units

KC 104 Loss

System Plays

5-6, +1.83 units

YTD 218-257 +16.77 units

KC 104 Loss

TB gm 1 115 Loss

TB gm 2 134 Loss

LAD 100 rain

ChiSox 121 Loss

Sea 166 WIN

Mets 165 (gm 2) WIN

Pitts 167 WIN

Cubs 185 WIN

Mia 165 Loss

SD 132 Loss

Cubs/STL Under 7 -115 WIN

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
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Posted: #629

tracking data: Yesterdays Results DogEFF/RRL 'system' plays

Tuesday 18 June 2013

<CHC [-1.5] +275 RRL>  WIN

<PIT [-1.5] +268 RRL>  WIN

<BAL [-1.5] +295 RRL>  WIN

<OAK [-1.5] +248 RRL>  WIN

<NYM [-1.5] +265 RRL>  LOSS /  ML WIN

<SEA [-1.5] +269 RRL>  LOSS /  ML WIN

 
Captain
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Posted: #630

Wednesday 6/19 plays:

Sagarin plays

YTD 7-6, +3.8 units

All 2 Units

Mia 135

Pitt 121

Dog EFF Score

YTD 44-45, +9.56 units

Balt 123

Hou 109

Minn 118

Phil 104

Dog EFF

YTD 71-69, +22.32 units

All 2 units

Tex 103

Minn 118

Phil 104

Pitt 121

 

System Plays

YTD 218-257 +16.77 units

Tex 103

Minn 118

Phil 104

Pitt 121

LAD 126 (gm 2)

TB 114

Hou 109

Sea 180

Mia 135

SD 134

Mets 166

Cubs 147

LAD/NYY Under 7.5 -115 gm 1

SD/SF Under 7 -120

 

 

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posts: 243
Posted: #631
So I updated all the data and can sum it up:

Results are:
Favorite Picks:

ML:
General Results:
247 Won - 153 Lost
23,61 Profit
SR: 61,75%
Yield: 5,9%

Home Picks:
169 Won - 97 Lost
17,98 Profit
SR: 63,53%
Yield: 6,76%

Away Picks:
78 Won - 56 Lost
5,63 Profit
SR: 58,21%
Yield: 4,20%

RRL Fav -1,5:
General Results:
180 Won - 220 Lost
27,08 Profit
SR: 45,00%
Yield: 6,77%

Home Picks:
121 Won - 145 Lost
25,96 Profit
SR: 45,49%
Yield: 9,76%

Away Picks:
59 Won - 75 Lost
1,12 Profit
SR: 44,03%
Yield: 0,84%

So betting the favorite teams NOT selected in this topic gives profit.
The pattern I recognized is that the combination of these two selection system calculates value for Home Wins. Favorite and Underdogs.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 243
Posted: #632
For anyone who wants to check the Data:
https://www.dropbox.com/s/8enrf91n3v6xbyt/mlb%20underdogs.xlsx
 
Veteran
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Posts: 2179
Posted: #633
Quote Originally Posted by orhane:

So I updated all the data and can sum it up:

Results are:
Favorite Picks:

ML:
General Results:
247 Won - 153 Lost
23,61 Profit
SR: 61,75%
Yield: 5,9%

Home Picks:
169 Won - 97 Lost
17,98 Profit
SR: 63,53%
Yield: 6,76%

Away Picks:
78 Won - 56 Lost
5,63 Profit
SR: 58,21%
Yield: 4,20%

RRL Fav -1,5:
General Results:
180 Won - 220 Lost
27,08 Profit
SR: 45,00%
Yield: 6,77%

Home Picks:
121 Won - 145 Lost
25,96 Profit
SR: 45,49%
Yield: 9,76%

Away Picks:
59 Won - 75 Lost
1,12 Profit
SR: 44,03%
Yield: 0,84%

So betting the favorite teams NOT selected in this topic gives profit.
The pattern I recognized is that the combination of these two selection system calculates value for Home Wins. Favorite and Underdogs.
ok,, instead of playing the dogs of the system ,,, we play favs,,,,or could you give me todays plays for example, thanks
 
Captain
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Posted: #634

Quote Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:

ok,, instead of playing the dogs of the system ,,, we play favs,,,,or could you give me todays plays for example, thanks

If I read the explanation correctly the fave plays would be any game not covered by a dog play.

With so many dogs today it would leave:

NYY gm 1 (WIN)

Detroit (Loss)

Clev

Tor

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posted: #635
Dan is right. And the Profit is higher if we only play home games selected by underdog or favorite criteria depending on this thread
 
Prospect
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Posted: #636
I will track the Favs from now on and write them in this thread if possible.
YTD 247-153
Profit: 23,61
 
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Posted: #637
 
Captain
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Posted: #638
Orhane, that is some fine work. Well done.
Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Captain
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Posted: #639

Wednesday 6/19 results:

Sagarin plays

0-2, -4 units

YTD 7-8, -.2 units

All 2 Units

Mia 135 Loss

Pitt 121 Loss

Dog EFF Score

2-2, +.41 units

YTD 46-47, +9.97 units

Balt 123 WIN

Hou 109 Loss

Minn 118 WIN

Phil 104 Loss

Dog EFF

2-2, +.42 units

YTD 73-71, +22.74 units

All 2 units

Tex 103 WIN

Minn 118 WIN

Phil 104 Loss

Pitt 121 Loss

System Plays

5-9, -3.59

YTD 223-266 +13.18 units

Tex 103 WIN

Minn 118 WIN

Phil 104 Loss

Pitt 121 Loss

LAD 126 (gm 2) WIN

TB 114 WIN

Hou 109 Loss

Sea 180 Loss

Mia 135 Loss

SD 134 Loss

Mets 166 Loss

Cubs 147 Loss

LAD/NYY Under 7.5 -115 gm 1 Loss

SD/SF Under 7 -120 WIN

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Banned
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Posts: 8426
Posted: #640
Quote Originally Posted by orhane:

So I updated all the data and can sum it up:

Results are:
Favorite Picks:

ML:
General Results:
247 Won - 153 Lost
23,61 Profit
SR: 61,75%
Yield: 5,9%

Home Picks:
169 Won - 97 Lost
17,98 Profit
SR: 63,53%
Yield: 6,76%

Away Picks:
78 Won - 56 Lost
5,63 Profit
SR: 58,21%
Yield: 4,20%

RRL Fav -1,5:
General Results:
180 Won - 220 Lost
27,08 Profit
SR: 45,00%
Yield: 6,77%

Home Picks:
121 Won - 145 Lost
25,96 Profit
SR: 45,49%
Yield: 9,76%

Away Picks:
59 Won - 75 Lost
1,12 Profit
SR: 44,03%
Yield: 0,84%

So betting the favorite teams NOT selected in this topic gives profit.
The pattern I recognized is that the combination of these two selection system calculates value for Home Wins. Favorite and Underdogs.
 valued stats....your effort is appreciated; well done!
 
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Posted: #641
Quote Originally Posted by orhane:

I will track the Favs from now on and write them in this thread if possible.
 
YTD 247-153
Profit: 23,61
  62% WIN ratio; with an attached +23.6u count connected to 400 wagers, brings a consistent reading to the forefront; your updates are not only possible, but feasible, please, by all means, continue to pursue your interest in tracking, and innovating information contrived from DogEFF/Score Sheet...the more it stretches, the more flexible it becomes; this generates the "winning edge" which is the ultimate goal of the Sheet itself.
 
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Posted: #642

tracking data: yesterdays results DogEFF/RRL 'system' plays

Wednesday 19 June 2013

<Texas Rangers [-1.5] +188 RRL>  WIN 3.76u

<Minnesota Twins [-1.5] +201 RRL>  WIN 4u

<Baltimore Orioles [-1.5] +202 RRL>  WIN 4u

<Tampa Bay Rays [-1.5] +205 RRL>  WIN 4.1u

<Houston Astros [-1.5] +195 RRL>  LOSS -2u

 

'cut' (filtered) NO ACTION:

CHC +147 ML

NYM +166 ML

MIA +135 ML

 

 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #643
Favorite Picks from Yesterday:

NYY gm 1 (WIN)  +0,95 units

Detroit (Loss) -1 unit (Detroit would not be a pick because it was a DogEffScore Play)

Clev WIN +0,67 units

Tor  WIN +0,67 units

So 3-0 for Favs. And 3-0 on the RL too.

+2,29 Units for the day

YTD 250-153

Profit: 25,90
 
Prospect
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Posts: 243
Posted: #644
Favorite Picks from Yesterday:

NYY gm 1 (WIN)  +0,95 units

Detroit (Loss) -1 unit (Detroit would not be a pick because it was a DogEffScore Play)

Clev WIN +0,67 units

Tor  WIN +0,67 units

So 3-0 for Favs. And 3-0 on the RL too.

+2,29 Units for the day

YTD 250-153

Profit: 25,90
 
Prospect
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Posts: 243
Posted: #645
Favorite Picks from Yesterday:

NYY gm 1 (WIN)  +0,95 units

Detroit (Loss) -1 unit (Detroit would not be a pick because it was a DogEffScore Play)

Clev WIN +0,67 units

Tor  WIN +0,67 units

So 3-0 for Favs. And 3-0 on the RL too.

+2,29 Units for the day

YTD 250-153

Profit: 25,90
 
Captain
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Joined: May, 2012
Posts: 5921
Posted: #646

Thursday 5/20 plays:

Sagarin plays

YTD 7-8, -.2 units

All 2 Units

No plays

Dog EFF Score

YTD 46-47, +9.97 units

Bos 107

Dog EFF

YTD 73-71, +22.74 units

All 2 units

Bos 107

 

System Plays

YTD 223-266 +13.18 units

ChiSox 110

Hou 119

TB 101

Bos 107

Pitt 167

Mets 167

Cubs 159

LAD 122

 

 

 

 

 

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posts: 243
Posted: #647
I prefer Home Picks but for the record I will post Away Picks too.
Favorite Picks:

Oakland 1,95 (pinnacle)
Washington 1,57 (pinnacle)
Seattle 1,93 (pinnacle)
San Francisco 1,57 (pinnacle)
 
Captain
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Posts: 5921
Posted: #648

Thursday 5/20 results

Sagarin plays

YTD 7-8, -.2 units

All 2 Units

No plays

Dog EFF Score

0-1, -1 unit

YTD 46-48, +8.97 units

Bos 107 Loss

Dog EFF

0-1, -2 units

YTD 73-72, +20.74 units

All 2 units

Bos 107 Loss

System Plays

4-4, +1.54 units

YTD 227-270 +14.72 units

ChiSox 110 Loss

Hou 119 WIN

TB 101 WIN

Bos 107 Loss

Pitt 167 WIN

Mets 167 WIN

Cubs 159 Loss

LAD 122 Loss

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
 
Prospect
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Posts: 243
Posted: #649

YTD 251-156

Profit: 23,47


Oakland LOST -1

Washington WON +0,57

Seattle LOST -1

San Francisco LOST -1

 
 
Captain
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Posted: #650

Friday 6/21 plays:

Sagarin plays

YTD 7-8, -.2 units

All 2 Units

Miami 146

Dog EFF Score

YTD 46-48, +8.97 units

Balt 114

Bos 123

Pitt 148

Hou 159

SD 136

Dog EFF

YTD 73-72, +20.74 units

All 2 units

Minn 115

Balt 114

Pitt 148

System Plays

YTD 227-270 +14.72 units

Minn 115

Balt 114

Pitt 148

TB 105

CHiSox 122

Mets 168

Mil 125

AZ 102

SD 136

Mia 146

Oak/Sea Under 6.5 Even

 

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll
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