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MLB Over chase 90-0

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Danrules24

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Joined: May, 2012

Posts: 5921

Posted: Mar. 19, 2013 - 1:43 PM ET #51

Quote Originally Posted by iamnomad:

I am confused about just one thing. Let's take a hypothetical Reds v. Indians series, game 1. The GAME total is 8. The TEAM totals are 5 for the Reds and 3 for the Tribe. Are we betting to go over the GAME total (that's one bet) or EACH TEAM's total (2 separate bets)?

All of my tests were game Totals not individual team totals. So enter at your own risk for individual team totals.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll

flwareagle

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 298

Posted: Mar. 19, 2013 - 2:07 PM ET #52

Is there anywhere to find the past results of each team's INDIVIDUAL totals?

Danrules24

Captain

Joined: May, 2012

Posts: 5921

Posted: Mar. 19, 2013 - 2:19 PM ET #53

Have never bet individual totals and not even sure where you'd find historical data for that.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll

ERBATIZ

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Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2179

Posted: Mar. 19, 2013 - 6:20 PM ET #54

looks ok

SoCal311

Prospect

Joined: Feb, 2012

Posts: 381

Posted: Mar. 19, 2013 - 7:25 PM ET #55

This is very interesting Dan... What are your season parameiters for beting the overs for the season? Like only bet teams that are both over .500 or pitching matchups and etc? Or just everysingle team til they hit the over? Once a team hits the over do you wait or just take them again the nexts game? Just curious cuz as you know I a chase series you get a win and stop. wait for the numbers and next series? Thanks again dan this is awesome...

iamnomad

Prospect

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 126

Posted: Mar. 19, 2013 - 7:50 PM ET #56

Thanks, Dan. Like this system!

ERBATIZ

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2179

Posted: Mar. 19, 2013 - 7:55 PM ET #57

ok,,maybe this is stupid but i need to know,, ok there are 31 teams,, ok so ,,ex..nyy vs boston the game goes over,,wich team gets the over ,thanks i just want to be sure LOL

Danrules24

Captain

Joined: May, 2012

Posts: 5921

Posted: Mar. 19, 2013 - 9:42 PM ET #58

Quote Originally Posted by SoCal311:

This is very interesting Dan... What are your season parameiters for beting the overs for the season? Like only bet teams that are both over .500 or pitching matchups and etc? Or just everysingle team til they hit the over? Once a team hits the over do you wait or just take them again the nexts game? Just curious cuz as you know I a chase series you get a win and stop. wait for the numbers and next series? Thanks again dan this is awesome...

This is just for the beginning of the season and possibly after the all-star break if you choose. Once a team hits their over, they are done.

I tested something last year and will again this year for betting O/U on a specific 3-4 game series. I track each team's home/away O/U and try to play matchups when an away team and a home team "match up" as far as both hit a certain % O or U. For example, play the CWS at SEA Under for a 3 game chase if CWS have 54% Under on the road and Sea 54% Under at home. I track for April and start in May. Lowering my % qualifier by 1% each month stopping at 50% in Sept. My test last year was strict Martingale for a 3 game chase, not increasing the unit bets during the year. Was up 108.88 units. Chase system went 208 - 13 with 2 of the losses only being 2 games. Would like to try it 1 more year before betting for real.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll

Danrules24

Captain

Joined: May, 2012

Posts: 5921

Posted: Mar. 19, 2013 - 9:45 PM ET #59

Quote Originally Posted by ERBATIZ:

ok,,maybe this is stupid but i need to know,, ok there are 31 teams,, ok so ,,ex..nyy vs boston the game goes over,,wich team gets the over ,thanks i just want to be sure LOL

31 teams? Did I miss one? Anyway, play each team at the start of the season to get one over. Say your unit bet is $10, you'd bet to win $20 on the NY/Bos over. If it hits, you are done with both teams. If it loses, bet to win $20 plus what you lost on the last bet.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll

hyvong

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Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 1077

Posted: Mar. 19, 2013 - 11:39 PM ET #60

Dan, I like your system. The only thing is too much money involve and most books limit to 500 max. I might go with $10 for the first bet. Hope you go 30-0. GL

Danrules24

Captain

Joined: May, 2012

Posts: 5921

Posted: Mar. 20, 2013 - 1:30 AM ET #61

Quote Originally Posted by hyvong:

Dan, I like your system. The only thing is too much money involve and most books limit to 500 max. I might go with $10 for the first bet. Hope you go 30-0. GL

That's what I'm doing. I can see being up less than $300 and stopping the chase instead of risking too much. We shall see in less than 2 weeks!

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll

ERBATIZ

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2179

Posted: Mar. 20, 2013 - 5:32 PM ET #62

Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

thanks man, now is clear

ERBATIZ

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 2179

Posted: Mar. 20, 2013 - 10:30 PM ET #63

30 teams finger mistake

Bart_

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 3549

Posted: Mar. 23, 2013 - 9:33 PM ET #64

Looks good. Going to try it this year.
Has anybody made a nice little spreadsheet for tracking this yet?

jaime2309

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2011

Posts: 2257

Posted: Apr. 1, 2013 - 10:35 AM ET #65

Anyone trying this out?

All about the chase

Danrules24

Captain

Joined: May, 2012

Posts: 5921

Posted: Apr. 1, 2013 - 11:21 AM ET #66

Quote Originally Posted by jaime2309:

Anyone trying this out?

I am. Up 2 units after last night's Over. Bet every game over today to win 2 units (1 unit per team). If a game was +Odss for the over, I bet 2 units to win 2+ units.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll

SweetDickWormy

Prospect

Joined: Apr, 2011

Posts: 473

Posted: Apr. 1, 2013 - 11:48 AM ET #67

I'm going to give this a shot too. Missed last night's game with Easter and family obligations. Bet all the overs today.

Dan, I am thinking of using your double dip concept here as well. All the overs that hit today, I am going to be betting unders on the next game until that hits.

Good luck everyone!

Danrules24

Captain

Joined: May, 2012

Posts: 5921

Posted: Apr. 1, 2013 - 12:02 PM ET #68

Quote Originally Posted by SweetDickWormy:

I'm going to give this a shot too. Missed last night's game with Easter and family obligations. Bet all the overs today.

Dan, I am thinking of using your double dip concept here as well. All the overs that hit today, I am going to be betting unders on the next game until that hits.

Good luck everyone!

I'm doing just the overs and if I'm up a decent number of units I'll probably bail on chasing for 5 or 6 games if there are only a couple teams left.

BOL on the douple dip.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll

Scoblen

Prospect

Joined: Nov, 2012

Posts: 407

Posted: Apr. 1, 2013 - 12:10 PM ET #69

Quote Originally Posted by Danrules24:

I'm doing just the overs and if I'm up a decent number of units I'll probably bail on chasing for 5 or 6 games if there are only a couple teams left.

BOL on the douple dip.

I'm doing it also and had the same thought re: chasing the few remaining teams. good luck

Bart_

Veteran

Joined: Mar, 2008

Posts: 3549

Posted: Apr. 1, 2013 - 12:34 PM ET #70

Lots of games today...GL all.

bruin95

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2001

Posts: 378

Posted: Apr. 2, 2013 - 4:16 AM ET #71

Bad start for those doing this. 4-8 on the "A" games so far, with a bad beat on the Philly-Atl game. Game goes over, but you can't collect because it only went 5 innings. This was my biggest concern with trying to chase so many games at once. A bad start and you're using a ton of bankroll hoping everything works out. Too early in the season to risk this much all at once, IMO. Hopefully, it will work out for those who are doing this full scale.

bruin95

Prospect

Joined: Mar, 2001

Posts: 378

Posted: Apr. 2, 2013 - 4:40 AM ET #72

Quote Originally Posted by bruin95:

Bad start for those doing this. 4-8 on the "A" games so far, with a bad beat on the Philly-Atl game. Game goes over, but you can't collect because it only went 5 innings. This was my biggest concern with trying to chase so many games at once. A bad start and you're using a ton of bankroll hoping everything works out. Too early in the season to risk this much all at once, IMO. Hopefully, it will work out for those who are doing this full scale.

sorry, my bad. Thought Philly game only went 5 innings. Last time I trust the Yahoo scoreboard, lol! Current record stands at 5-8.

hyvong

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Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 1077

Posted: Apr. 3, 2013 - 8:00 PM ET #73

The system is not good so far this year. I am gonna take a loss and try something else. GL

Danrules24

Captain

Joined: May, 2012

Posts: 5921

Posted: Apr. 3, 2013 - 8:04 PM ET #74

Quote Originally Posted by hyvong:

The system is not good so far this year. I am gonna take a loss and try something else. GL

I might be joining you. Depends on the rest of today's action.

Stay disciplined and manage your bankroll

hyvong

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Joined: Oct, 2008

Posts: 1077

Posted: Apr. 3, 2013 - 8:25 PM ET #75

Dan, it is something very weird if you look at the score board now. The 3 lowest scoring points are the three g2 that we are betting over. In the fifth and was 0-0, pit 2-0, and tor 1-1.

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MLB Over chase 90-0

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