mlb 2 game chase

bet on home teams 500 pct and up playing road teams 499 pct and below. wait for first game of series to be played. chase next 2 at home for win.   this is for 3 game series only. no interleague play.  I only logged 2010.

reults for 2010

43 wins 1 loss

it doesn't matter what the result of first game was. when I capped results I went by mlb standings chart that show if teams were higher or lower than 500 pct.

I plan to backtest further but but it's hard to get exact results.

cool ..i will try to see if i can get this on sportsdatabase.

st louis lost

Are you talking about home and away records or overall?

yes I can.

good I'm looking foward to see what they come up with.

you got it right.

Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

Basically the same as my Top 7 Home Team System, with just a few more teams added.

I have back testing results for almost the same thing. It was part of my System Analysis after last season. It had very solid results, as I mentioned briefly in the beginning of my thread this season.

I made the cut-off at 7 teams, since the ones just over .500 had a bunch more losses.

If you query this same thing with over .600 win %, you'll be pleasantly surprised.


If it doesn't matter if Game 1 is a win or lose, then you're missing out on a lot of Game 1 wins, compared to the extra losses you would have.

Good Luck 

thx for the info I think I will go back and see what the results are for 600 pct and above. also look at your system too. game 1 results. your a very good capper.

I went capped the top 7 teams when they played at home against the teams that were below 500pct when they played against the top 7.  I capped the last 2 games and the results fell apart and were bad in 2007  went back the last four years.

I did the same thing for the first 2 games of the series and capped back 4 years. the results were more consistent and there were only average 3 lost B bets a year. out of 45 games on average this is over a 90% hit rate for top 7 team chase all four years.  here are the new rules.

bet on the top 7 pct teams at home when the road team their playing is below 500 pct.  bet the first 2 games of the series at home.  no interleage play.  may 1  to aug 31.

games for sept 9

tex B  bet

I forgot bwt on teams with 3 or 4 home game series. the first 2 games.

Detroit doesn't qualify under new rules they are listed # 11 in the list under view sortable standings here on covers. 

 I hope you don't mind me stealing your idea to make it a 2 game chase.

your right detroit is  # 8.  I'm taking the top 7 teams that have the highest pct and playing them at home. on a 3 game and 4 game series on the first 2 games when they play a team below 500 pct. this is what I capped last night so hopefully it works out.