Posted:
#1
Nfl favorites of 9 or more and cfb favs of 17 or more. Anybody know a rough estimate of 2nd half cover rates when they are losing at halftime?
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Large Nfl and cfb favorites losing at halftime
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Posted:
#3
i don't have 2nd half lines either, but if you assume that 2nd half lines are based on the score of the game at halftime as well as the full game closing line, just to get an idea of results, here are the SU & ATS numbers according to sdql.
NFL faves, with a line of <=-9 when losing at the half are, all time:
SU 927-199-2 (82.3%)
ATS 535-576-17 (48.2%)
NCAAF faves with a line of <=-17 when losing at the half are:
SU 5431-283-18 (95%)
ATS 2889-2731-112 (51.4%)
i'm going to try to start recording 2nd half lines when i remember. i guess what this info tells us is that the favorite usually wins the 2nd half, not taking into consideration any would-be lines, since they win the game.
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