it has to do with the theory that you are never as good as you looked last game, and never as bad as you looked last game....
so i use wagerline.com to see if the highlight % is on a team and then look back and see if they were popular faves the previous game.
If they were say 45% in game 1, then 65% for game 2. I would fade the team for game 2.
I also was looking at how it works when people like a team for game one say 65% then on game 2 they don't like the team say 45% to play that team but it doesn't work as well.
it has to do with the theory that you are never as good as you looked last game, and never as bad as you looked last game....
so i use wagerline.com to see if the highlight % is on a team and then look back and see if they were popular faves the previous game.
If they were say 45% in game 1, then 65% for game 2. I would fade the team for game 2.
I also was looking at how it works when people like a team for game one say 65% then on game 2 they don't like the team say 45% to play that team but it doesn't work as well.
This system is looking great so far. I think the fact that it is based on betting trends and not actual game statistics or team/situation trends might make this a solid system. The winning percentage on the straight up dog wins is unbelievable so far.
This system is looking great so far. I think the fact that it is based on betting trends and not actual game statistics or team/situation trends might make this a solid system. The winning percentage on the straight up dog wins is unbelievable so far.
Just a note. this system looks like it's 11-1 so far but the one loss was a team that was only at like 59% the second day (I didn't check it until after the game was played so I don't know if there was alot of late action on wagerline for that game), so since it wasnt at 60% or higher you could probably say it shouldnt have been a play, making this system 11-0.
That looks correct to me.
Just a note. this system looks like it's 11-1 so far but the one loss was a team that was only at like 59% the second day (I didn't check it until after the game was played so I don't know if there was alot of late action on wagerline for that game), so since it wasnt at 60% or higher you could probably say it shouldnt have been a play, making this system 11-0.