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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    just tracking a system....

    12345 Next Last»
    powerade
    WallyBalls
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    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2007 - 6:43 PM ET #1

    November 1st
     
    Hou +4 at Utah
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    November 1st
     
    Hou +4 at Utah
     
    WallyBalls
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    Posted: Nov. 1, 2007 - 7:54 PM ET #2

    I like the Rockets tonight as dogs also...gl
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    I like the Rockets tonight as dogs also...gl
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2007 - 4:51 PM ET #3

    1-0
     
    November 2nd
     
    Knicks +5 at Cavs
    76ers +8.5 at Bulls
    Raptors +3 at Nets
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    1-0
     
    November 2nd
     
    Knicks +5 at Cavs
    76ers +8.5 at Bulls
    Raptors +3 at Nets
     
    WallyBalls
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 7:39 AM ET #4

    Looks great so far, 4-0 and 3 dogs that win outright.
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    Looks great so far, 4-0 and 3 dogs that win outright.
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 11:11 AM ET #5

    SD St. +4 vs Wyoming
    Marshal +14 vs central fla
    UL Laf +28 vs ten
    Wash St. +14.5 vs cal
    Colorado +3.5 vs missouri
    New Mexico +3.5 vs tcu
    Ball State +7 vs indy
    Utah St. +20.5 vs fresno state
    idaho+3 vs Lousi Tech
    az state +8 vs oregon
    fla int +17 vs Ark st
    Fla St +7 vs BC
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    SD St. +4 vs Wyoming
    Marshal +14 vs central fla
    UL Laf +28 vs ten
    Wash St. +14.5 vs cal
    Colorado +3.5 vs missouri
    New Mexico +3.5 vs tcu
    Ball State +7 vs indy
    Utah St. +20.5 vs fresno state
    idaho+3 vs Lousi Tech
    az state +8 vs oregon
    fla int +17 vs Ark st
    Fla St +7 vs BC
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 5:38 PM ET #6

     
    NBA 4-0
     
    November 3rd
     
    Pacers +5 at Memphis
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    NBA 4-0
     
    November 3rd
     
    Pacers +5 at Memphis
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 6:32 PM ET #7

    also
    Orlando +2 at Washington
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    also
    Orlando +2 at Washington
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 9:59 PM ET #8

    6--0 baby.....system looks promising
     
    works so far in the NFL but the NCAA i don't think so
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    6--0 baby.....system looks promising
     
    works so far in the NFL but the NCAA i don't think so
     
    starpower
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 10:08 PM ET #9

    what is the system?
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    what is the system?
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 10:34 PM ET #10

    it has to do with the theory that you are never as good as you looked last game, and never as bad as you looked last game....
     
    so i use wagerline.com to see if the highlight % is on a team and then look back and see if they were popular faves the previous game.
     
    If they were say 45% in game 1, then 65% for game 2. I would fade the team for game 2.
     
    I also was looking at how it works when people like a team for game one say 65% then on game 2 they don't like the team say 45% to play that team but it doesn't work as well.
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    it has to do with the theory that you are never as good as you looked last game, and never as bad as you looked last game....
     
    so i use wagerline.com to see if the highlight % is on a team and then look back and see if they were popular faves the previous game.
     
    If they were say 45% in game 1, then 65% for game 2. I would fade the team for game 2.
     
    I also was looking at how it works when people like a team for game one say 65% then on game 2 they don't like the team say 45% to play that team but it doesn't work as well.
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 10:35 PM ET #11

    it works on the theory that people jump on a team that they didnt like last week or last game....just another public type of fade
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    it works on the theory that people jump on a team that they didnt like last week or last game....just another public type of fade
     
    cruisin
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2007 - 1:45 AM ET #12

    do you post the nfl plays in the nfl forum? But the nba here? What's the record for the nfl?
     
    Thanks and looking forward to the plays.
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    do you post the nfl plays in the nfl forum? But the nba here? What's the record for the nfl?
     
    Thanks and looking forward to the plays.
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2007 - 11:08 AM ET #13

    NFL Plays for Week 9
     
    Cardinals +3.5
    Chiefs -1
    Carolina +4
    Bills +1
    Jets +3.5
    Eagles +3
     
    be back with the record...
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    NFL Plays for Week 9
     
    Cardinals +3.5
    Chiefs -1
    Carolina +4
    Bills +1
    Jets +3.5
    Eagles +3
     
    be back with the record...
     
    spbuilders
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2007 - 11:29 AM ET #14

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    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2007 - 12:26 PM ET #15

    NBA Nov. 4th
     
    Hawks +8
    Sonics +6
    Bobcats +3.5
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    NBA Nov. 4th
     
    Hawks +8
    Sonics +6
    Bobcats +3.5
     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2007 - 10:27 PM ET #16

    alright....so far looks like it sucks for football but is doing good for basketball
     
    it still very early though
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    alright....so far looks like it sucks for football but is doing good for basketball
     
    it still very early though
     
    cruisin
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2007 - 11:49 PM ET #17

    nice 2-1 in hoops. gonna just watch the football for a while. Will this system apply for college hoops?
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    nice 2-1 in hoops. gonna just watch the football for a while. Will this system apply for college hoops?
     
    thedegenerate
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2007 - 10:16 AM ET #18

    explain it a bit more
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    explain it a bit more
     
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2007 - 6:33 PM ET #19

    NBA 8-1
     
    Nov. 6th
     
    Hornets +3
    Bucks +3
    Rockets +2.5
     
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    NBA 8-1
     
    Nov. 6th
     
    Hornets +3
    Bucks +3
    Rockets +2.5
     
     
    WallyBalls
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2007 - 5:31 AM ET #20

    This system is looking great so far. I think the fact that it is based on betting trends and not actual game statistics or team/situation trends might make this a solid system. The winning percentage on the straight up dog wins is unbelievable so far.
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    This system is looking great so far. I think the fact that it is based on betting trends and not actual game statistics or team/situation trends might make this a solid system. The winning percentage on the straight up dog wins is unbelievable so far.
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2007 - 4:18 PM ET #21

    wow nice start...11-1 in the NBA if im not mistakin...any plays for tonight...will continue to follow...Hopefully ur onto something...BOL
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    wow nice start...11-1 in the NBA if im not mistakin...any plays for tonight...will continue to follow...Hopefully ur onto something...BOL
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2007 - 4:20 PM ET #22

    now is it only when teams play back to back, or just there last game?
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    now is it only when teams play back to back, or just there last game?
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2007 - 4:28 PM ET #23

    i just looked over the games for today...not sure if i am doing this right but would these be the plays?
     
    port +3 (N. Orleans was 37% yest, and 65% today, fade hornets?)
    utah -9.5 (cavs were 45% yesterday and 62% today, fade CAVS right)
     
    let me know if i am correct, would be interested in following this myself.  thanks
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    i just looked over the games for today...not sure if i am doing this right but would these be the plays?
     
    port +3 (N. Orleans was 37% yest, and 65% today, fade hornets?)
    utah -9.5 (cavs were 45% yesterday and 62% today, fade CAVS right)
     
    let me know if i am correct, would be interested in following this myself.  thanks
     
    WallyBalls
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2007 - 4:36 PM ET #24

    That looks correct to me.

    Just a note. this system looks like it's 11-1 so far but the one loss was a team that was only at like 59% the second day (I didn't check it until after the game was played so I don't know if there was alot of late action on wagerline for that game), so since it wasnt at 60% or higher you could probably say it shouldnt have been a play, making this system 11-0.
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    That looks correct to me.

    Just a note. this system looks like it's 11-1 so far but the one loss was a team that was only at like 59% the second day (I didn't check it until after the game was played so I don't know if there was alot of late action on wagerline for that game), so since it wasnt at 60% or higher you could probably say it shouldnt have been a play, making this system 11-0.
     
     
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2007 - 4:39 PM ET #25

    yes very good point...i will continue to look for 60% or higher....might tread lightly tonight and see what happens..BOL fellas...
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    yes very good point...i will continue to look for 60% or higher....might tread lightly tonight and see what happens..BOL fellas...
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