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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    just tracking a system....

    12345 Next Last»
    powerade
    WallyBalls
    starpower
    cruisin
    spbuilders
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 4967
    Posts: 101
    12345 Next Last»
     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posts: 18254
    Posted: Nov. 1, 2007 - 6:43 PM ET #1

    November 1st
     
    Hou +4 at Utah
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    November 1st
     
    Hou +4 at Utah
     
    WallyBalls
    WallyBalls
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    Posts: 220
    Posted: Nov. 1, 2007 - 7:54 PM ET #2

    I like the Rockets tonight as dogs also...gl
    Reply
    I like the Rockets tonight as dogs also...gl
     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 2, 2007 - 4:51 PM ET #3

    1-0
     
    November 2nd
     
    Knicks +5 at Cavs
    76ers +8.5 at Bulls
    Raptors +3 at Nets
    Reply
    1-0
     
    November 2nd
     
    Knicks +5 at Cavs
    76ers +8.5 at Bulls
    Raptors +3 at Nets
     
    WallyBalls
    WallyBalls
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 7:39 AM ET #4

    Looks great so far, 4-0 and 3 dogs that win outright.
    Reply
    Looks great so far, 4-0 and 3 dogs that win outright.
     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 11:11 AM ET #5

    SD St. +4 vs Wyoming
    Marshal +14 vs central fla
    UL Laf +28 vs ten
    Wash St. +14.5 vs cal
    Colorado +3.5 vs missouri
    New Mexico +3.5 vs tcu
    Ball State +7 vs indy
    Utah St. +20.5 vs fresno state
    idaho+3 vs Lousi Tech
    az state +8 vs oregon
    fla int +17 vs Ark st
    Fla St +7 vs BC
    Reply
    SD St. +4 vs Wyoming
    Marshal +14 vs central fla
    UL Laf +28 vs ten
    Wash St. +14.5 vs cal
    Colorado +3.5 vs missouri
    New Mexico +3.5 vs tcu
    Ball State +7 vs indy
    Utah St. +20.5 vs fresno state
    idaho+3 vs Lousi Tech
    az state +8 vs oregon
    fla int +17 vs Ark st
    Fla St +7 vs BC
     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 5:38 PM ET #6

     
    NBA 4-0
     
    November 3rd
     
    Pacers +5 at Memphis
    Reply
     
    NBA 4-0
     
    November 3rd
     
    Pacers +5 at Memphis
     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 6:32 PM ET #7

    also
    Orlando +2 at Washington
    Reply
    also
    Orlando +2 at Washington
     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 9:59 PM ET #8

    6--0 baby.....system looks promising
     
    works so far in the NFL but the NCAA i don't think so
    Reply
    6--0 baby.....system looks promising
     
    works so far in the NFL but the NCAA i don't think so
     
    starpower
    starpower
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 10:08 PM ET #9

    what is the system?
    Reply
    what is the system?
     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 10:34 PM ET #10

    it has to do with the theory that you are never as good as you looked last game, and never as bad as you looked last game....
     
    so i use wagerline.com to see if the highlight % is on a team and then look back and see if they were popular faves the previous game.
     
    If they were say 45% in game 1, then 65% for game 2. I would fade the team for game 2.
     
    I also was looking at how it works when people like a team for game one say 65% then on game 2 they don't like the team say 45% to play that team but it doesn't work as well.
    Reply
    it has to do with the theory that you are never as good as you looked last game, and never as bad as you looked last game....
     
    so i use wagerline.com to see if the highlight % is on a team and then look back and see if they were popular faves the previous game.
     
    If they were say 45% in game 1, then 65% for game 2. I would fade the team for game 2.
     
    I also was looking at how it works when people like a team for game one say 65% then on game 2 they don't like the team say 45% to play that team but it doesn't work as well.
     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 3, 2007 - 10:35 PM ET #11

    it works on the theory that people jump on a team that they didnt like last week or last game....just another public type of fade
    Reply
    it works on the theory that people jump on a team that they didnt like last week or last game....just another public type of fade
     
    cruisin
    cruisin
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    Posts: 1608
    Posted: Nov. 4, 2007 - 1:45 AM ET #12

    do you post the nfl plays in the nfl forum? But the nba here? What's the record for the nfl?
     
    Thanks and looking forward to the plays.
    Reply
    do you post the nfl plays in the nfl forum? But the nba here? What's the record for the nfl?
     
    Thanks and looking forward to the plays.
     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2007 - 11:08 AM ET #13

    NFL Plays for Week 9
     
    Cardinals +3.5
    Chiefs -1
    Carolina +4
    Bills +1
    Jets +3.5
    Eagles +3
     
    be back with the record...
    Reply
    NFL Plays for Week 9
     
    Cardinals +3.5
    Chiefs -1
    Carolina +4
    Bills +1
    Jets +3.5
    Eagles +3
     
    be back with the record...
     
    spbuilders
    spbuilders
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2007 - 11:29 AM ET #14

    Reply
     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2007 - 12:26 PM ET #15

    NBA Nov. 4th
     
    Hawks +8
    Sonics +6
    Bobcats +3.5
    Reply
    NBA Nov. 4th
     
    Hawks +8
    Sonics +6
    Bobcats +3.5
     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2007 - 10:27 PM ET #16

    alright....so far looks like it sucks for football but is doing good for basketball
     
    it still very early though
    Reply
    alright....so far looks like it sucks for football but is doing good for basketball
     
    it still very early though
     
    cruisin
    cruisin
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    Posted: Nov. 4, 2007 - 11:49 PM ET #17

    nice 2-1 in hoops. gonna just watch the football for a while. Will this system apply for college hoops?
    Reply
    nice 2-1 in hoops. gonna just watch the football for a while. Will this system apply for college hoops?
     
    thedegenerate
    thedegenerate
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2007 - 10:16 AM ET #18

    explain it a bit more
    Reply
    explain it a bit more
     
    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Nov. 6, 2007 - 6:33 PM ET #19

    NBA 8-1
     
    Nov. 6th
     
    Hornets +3
    Bucks +3
    Rockets +2.5
     
    Reply
    NBA 8-1
     
    Nov. 6th
     
    Hornets +3
    Bucks +3
    Rockets +2.5
     
     
    WallyBalls
    WallyBalls
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    Posts: 220
    Posted: Nov. 7, 2007 - 5:31 AM ET #20

    This system is looking great so far. I think the fact that it is based on betting trends and not actual game statistics or team/situation trends might make this a solid system. The winning percentage on the straight up dog wins is unbelievable so far.
    Reply
    This system is looking great so far. I think the fact that it is based on betting trends and not actual game statistics or team/situation trends might make this a solid system. The winning percentage on the straight up dog wins is unbelievable so far.
     
    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posts: 5130
    Posted: Nov. 7, 2007 - 4:18 PM ET #21

    wow nice start...11-1 in the NBA if im not mistakin...any plays for tonight...will continue to follow...Hopefully ur onto something...BOL
    Reply
    wow nice start...11-1 in the NBA if im not mistakin...any plays for tonight...will continue to follow...Hopefully ur onto something...BOL
     
    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2007 - 4:20 PM ET #22

    now is it only when teams play back to back, or just there last game?
    Reply
    now is it only when teams play back to back, or just there last game?
     
    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posted: Nov. 7, 2007 - 4:28 PM ET #23

    i just looked over the games for today...not sure if i am doing this right but would these be the plays?
     
    port +3 (N. Orleans was 37% yest, and 65% today, fade hornets?)
    utah -9.5 (cavs were 45% yesterday and 62% today, fade CAVS right)
     
    let me know if i am correct, would be interested in following this myself.  thanks
    Reply
    i just looked over the games for today...not sure if i am doing this right but would these be the plays?
     
    port +3 (N. Orleans was 37% yest, and 65% today, fade hornets?)
    utah -9.5 (cavs were 45% yesterday and 62% today, fade CAVS right)
     
    let me know if i am correct, would be interested in following this myself.  thanks
     
    WallyBalls
    WallyBalls
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    Posts: 220
    Posted: Nov. 7, 2007 - 4:36 PM ET #24

    That looks correct to me.

    Just a note. this system looks like it's 11-1 so far but the one loss was a team that was only at like 59% the second day (I didn't check it until after the game was played so I don't know if there was alot of late action on wagerline for that game), so since it wasnt at 60% or higher you could probably say it shouldnt have been a play, making this system 11-0.
    Reply
    That looks correct to me.

    Just a note. this system looks like it's 11-1 so far but the one loss was a team that was only at like 59% the second day (I didn't check it until after the game was played so I don't know if there was alot of late action on wagerline for that game), so since it wasnt at 60% or higher you could probably say it shouldnt have been a play, making this system 11-0.
     
     
    MILKMAN0923
    MILKMAN0923
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    Posts: 5130
    Posted: Nov. 7, 2007 - 4:39 PM ET #25

    yes very good point...i will continue to look for 60% or higher....might tread lightly tonight and see what happens..BOL fellas...
    Reply
    yes very good point...i will continue to look for 60% or higher....might tread lightly tonight and see what happens..BOL fellas...
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