it has to do with the theory that you are never as good as you looked last game, and never as bad as you looked last game....
so i use wagerline.com to see if the highlight % is on a team and then look back and see if they were popular faves the previous game.
If they were say 45% in game 1, then 65% for game 2. I would fade the team for game 2.
I also was looking at how it works when people like a team for game one say 65% then on game 2 they don't like the team say 45% to play that team but it doesn't work as well.
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it has to do with the theory that you are never as good as you looked last game, and never as bad as you looked last game....
so i use wagerline.com to see if the highlight % is on a team and then look back and see if they were popular faves the previous game.
If they were say 45% in game 1, then 65% for game 2. I would fade the team for game 2.
I also was looking at how it works when people like a team for game one say 65% then on game 2 they don't like the team say 45% to play that team but it doesn't work as well.
This system is looking great so far. I think the fact that it is based on betting trends and not actual game statistics or team/situation trends might make this a solid system. The winning percentage on the straight up dog wins is unbelievable so far.
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This system is looking great so far. I think the fact that it is based on betting trends and not actual game statistics or team/situation trends might make this a solid system. The winning percentage on the straight up dog wins is unbelievable so far.
Just a note. this system looks like it's 11-1 so far but the one loss was a team that was only at like 59% the second day (I didn't check it until after the game was played so I don't know if there was alot of late action on wagerline for that game), so since it wasnt at 60% or higher you could probably say it shouldnt have been a play, making this system 11-0.
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That looks correct to me.
Just a note. this system looks like it's 11-1 so far but the one loss was a team that was only at like 59% the second day (I didn't check it until after the game was played so I don't know if there was alot of late action on wagerline for that game), so since it wasnt at 60% or higher you could probably say it shouldnt have been a play, making this system 11-0.