Posted:
#826
Also MIN was the play bc CLE was going for the sweep so that's a W not a L
0
IRAGE ODDS BUSTER STRATEGY
Posted:
#834
Sorry Guys,
I've been in Vegas for a quick vacation and didn't really have time to post.
Of course I would encourage you to keep going who knows where it will end. Since July I have been using my capping knowledge along with this strategy. On that note lets clear something up. This is a STRATEGY. It's a strategy because it's not proven to be profitable over the long haul. Successful systems are much harder to find.
So many of you have asked what filters I use. This is not an easy to quantify question. I use many factors to determine if a game is good.
1. Batting Averages = not just the average but the probability of getting on base. There are many statistical sites to help determine this. Runs = Wins
2. ERA = this is one I use a lot. Anytime a pitcher has an ERA 2 points better than their opponent is a game to look closer at.
3. HOT TEAM = Ride the hot team. Baseball is all about streaks. I can't tell you how many games I've won because of streaks, but Cincy should be memorable, since their 10 game streak came to end last night.
4. SWEEP = I hate the sweeps. I avoid teams that are going for the sweep. Statistically winning a series is a very low although there have been many this year.
5. FAVS - I avoid highly favored games, meaning when the public is heavy on one side, I just pass.
In my opinion you should always look for teams to eliminate not to take. If you don't find anything, pass and try again tomorrow. I bet very big, but I don't play everyday. You don't make 30k by playing everyday. Find those games that are going to give your the best chance to win and hammer them.
I've been in Vegas for a quick vacation and didn't really have time to post.
Of course I would encourage you to keep going who knows where it will end. Since July I have been using my capping knowledge along with this strategy. On that note lets clear something up. This is a STRATEGY. It's a strategy because it's not proven to be profitable over the long haul. Successful systems are much harder to find.
So many of you have asked what filters I use. This is not an easy to quantify question. I use many factors to determine if a game is good.
1. Batting Averages = not just the average but the probability of getting on base. There are many statistical sites to help determine this. Runs = Wins
2. ERA = this is one I use a lot. Anytime a pitcher has an ERA 2 points better than their opponent is a game to look closer at.
3. HOT TEAM = Ride the hot team. Baseball is all about streaks. I can't tell you how many games I've won because of streaks, but Cincy should be memorable, since their 10 game streak came to end last night.
4. SWEEP = I hate the sweeps. I avoid teams that are going for the sweep. Statistically winning a series is a very low although there have been many this year.
5. FAVS - I avoid highly favored games, meaning when the public is heavy on one side, I just pass.
In my opinion you should always look for teams to eliminate not to take. If you don't find anything, pass and try again tomorrow. I bet very big, but I don't play everyday. You don't make 30k by playing everyday. Find those games that are going to give your the best chance to win and hammer them.
0
Posted:
#837
Quote Originally Posted by irage:
You don't make 30k by playing everyday. Find those games that are going to give your the best chance to win and hammer them.
You don't make 30k by playing everyday. Find those games that are going to give your the best chance to win and hammer them.
Different Strokes for Different Folks. I play every day, I play run-lines (uh-oh), and I don't even care who is pitching most games) and have won 30k! There are different ways to get things done.
0
Posted:
#842
Reds have struggled with the Pads. I don't know why. They had a 10 game win streak going into game one and gave up 7 point by the 3 inning. Cincy only has 5 pitchers and I think they used most of them that game. What the Reds do have is BIG bats, they can score runs.
7/31 - Arizona - WIN
8/01 - Milwaukee R/L - WIN
8/02 - Cincinnati R/L - Pending (better bats, better pitching should make for 2 point margin of victory.)
0
Hot Forum Topics
