I have a problem with my spread model NFL I can't fix. Lets say a team has a negative home field advantage (HFA) and it's proven that divisional games in NFL result in a +-50% lesser HFA...how do you handle that?
1. A negative HFA of -1.0 results in -1.5 (according to HFA gets less); or
2. A negative HFA of -1.0 results in -0.50 (according to divisional games tends to be closer).
Which one and why? Anyone?
forgetttabouttit every nfl team really dosent have home filed edge even seahawks lose at home huge as chalk
just use #1 scheduel # 2 who did they baet last #3 who are they playing next week
like so and i cracked so many dogs
49ers beat rams huge week 4 24-9 week 5 get break vs busted up panthers -6.5 at car. 37-15 then i knew this was coming week 6 -3.5 @ falcons wammmmmmmmmmmm s/u loss 28-14
week 7 home vs the chiefs +2.5 no +1.5 im leery n stayed off kapow chiefs drop a 44 burger on them 44-23
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