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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    HFOUDL System

    «First Previous 1234
    Tomspeople
    cdh
    rudie
    rome1
    brandon1979
    ...
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 7402
    Posts: 94
    «First Previous 1234
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 1476
    Posted: Aug. 7, 2008 - 4:18 PM ET #76

    Another good day, 3-1 day :) Sadly it was the biggest fav that lost, but we still made profit!

    This Season
    (betting each game of series)
    AL = 86-49 (63.70%) +19.66u
    NL = 91-66 (57.96%) +17.80u
    Total = 177-115 (60.62%) +37.46u

    (Chase)

    AL = 41-1 (97.62%) +30.31u
    NL = 44-7 (86.27%) -29.36u
    Total = 84-8 (91.30%) +0.95u

    Games for 8/07 (If you're playing every game is series)
    Toronto -114
    Arizona -156
    Chicago WS -130
    Seattle -130

    Games for 8/07 (Chase!)
    Seattle -130

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    Another good day, 3-1 day :) Sadly it was the biggest fav that lost, but we still made profit!

    This Season
    (betting each game of series)
    AL = 86-49 (63.70%) +19.66u
    NL = 91-66 (57.96%) +17.80u
    Total = 177-115 (60.62%) +37.46u

    (Chase)

    AL = 41-1 (97.62%) +30.31u
    NL = 44-7 (86.27%) -29.36u
    Total = 84-8 (91.30%) +0.95u

    Games for 8/07 (If you're playing every game is series)
    Toronto -114
    Arizona -156
    Chicago WS -130
    Seattle -130

    Games for 8/07 (Chase!)
    Seattle -130

     
    cdh
    cdh
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    Joined: Apr, 2006
    Posts: 1998
    Posted: Aug. 7, 2008 - 5:44 PM ET #77

    Gotcha.
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    Gotcha.
     
    rudie
    rudie
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    Joined: Feb, 2003
    Posts: 958
    Posted: Aug. 7, 2008 - 6:59 PM ET #78

    the system is backfilled, after an event occurs then you find categories in which to fill in the numbers. and by the way, has no predictive value. so when so and so loses they come back as a home fav, blah,blah take them. who decides if the team is favorite, the public determines the favorite or vegas posts who they think the public will see as the favorite. i guarantee that if you look hard enough the you can incorporate the actual game time temperature with the home team or road team winning. example, phillies are 50 and 6 when the game time temp is an odd number. purely coincidental and so are these backfilled systems.
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    the system is backfilled, after an event occurs then you find categories in which to fill in the numbers. and by the way, has no predictive value. so when so and so loses they come back as a home fav, blah,blah take them. who decides if the team is favorite, the public determines the favorite or vegas posts who they think the public will see as the favorite. i guarantee that if you look hard enough the you can incorporate the actual game time temperature with the home team or road team winning. example, phillies are 50 and 6 when the game time temp is an odd number. purely coincidental and so are these backfilled systems.
     
    rome1
    rome1
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    Joined: Apr, 2007
    Posts: 106
    Posted: Aug. 8, 2008 - 1:44 AM ET #79

    Really 50-6 WOW
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    Really 50-6 WOW
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 1476
    Posted: Aug. 8, 2008 - 5:19 PM ET #80

    This Season
    (betting each game of series)
    AL = 88-50 (63.77%) +20.36u
    NL = 91-67 (57.59%) +16.24u
    Total = 179-117 (60.47%) +36.60u

    (Chase)

    AL = 42-1 (97.67%) +31.31u
    NL = 44-7 (86.27%) -29.36u
    Total = 85-8 (91.40%) +1.95u

    Games for 8/08 (If you're playing every game is series)
    Arizona -119
    Seattle +164
    Baltimore -166

    Games for 8/08 (Chase!)
    Baltimore -166

    Reply
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    This Season
    (betting each game of series)
    AL = 88-50 (63.77%) +20.36u
    NL = 91-67 (57.59%) +16.24u
    Total = 179-117 (60.47%) +36.60u

    (Chase)

    AL = 42-1 (97.67%) +31.31u
    NL = 44-7 (86.27%) -29.36u
    Total = 85-8 (91.40%) +1.95u

    Games for 8/08 (If you're playing every game is series)
    Arizona -119
    Seattle +164
    Baltimore -166

    Games for 8/08 (Chase!)
    Baltimore -166

     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 1476
    Posted: Aug. 9, 2008 - 11:21 AM ET #81

    This Season
    (betting each game of series)
    AL = 89-51 (63.57%) +20.36u
    NL = 91-68 (57.23%) +15.05u
    Total = 180-119 (60.20%) +35.41u

    (Chase)

    AL = 43-1 (97.73%) +32.31u
    NL = 44-7 (86.27%) -29.36u
    Total = 85-8 (91.40%) +2.95u

    Games for 8/09 (If you're playing every game is series)
    Arizona -160
    Seattle +130
    Baltimore -114

    Games for 8/09 (Chase!)
    Reply
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    This Season
    (betting each game of series)
    AL = 89-51 (63.57%) +20.36u
    NL = 91-68 (57.23%) +15.05u
    Total = 180-119 (60.20%) +35.41u

    (Chase)

    AL = 43-1 (97.73%) +32.31u
    NL = 44-7 (86.27%) -29.36u
    Total = 85-8 (91.40%) +2.95u

    Games for 8/09 (If you're playing every game is series)
    Arizona -160
    Seattle +130
    Baltimore -114

    Games for 8/09 (Chase!)
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 1476
    Posted: Aug. 10, 2008 - 10:54 AM ET #82

    This Season
    (betting each game of series)
    AL = 90-52 (63.38%) +20.36u
    NL = 91-69 (56.86%) +13.45u
    Total = 181-121 (59.93%) +33.81u

    (Chase)

    AL = 43-1 (97.73%) +32.31u
    NL = 44-7 (86.27%) -29.36u
    Total = 85-8 (91.40%) +2.95u

    Games for 8/09 (If you're playing every game is series)
    Arizona -206
    Seattle +123
    Baltimore -130

    Games for 8/09 (Chase!)
    Reply
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    This Season
    (betting each game of series)
    AL = 90-52 (63.38%) +20.36u
    NL = 91-69 (56.86%) +13.45u
    Total = 181-121 (59.93%) +33.81u

    (Chase)

    AL = 43-1 (97.73%) +32.31u
    NL = 44-7 (86.27%) -29.36u
    Total = 85-8 (91.40%) +2.95u

    Games for 8/09 (If you're playing every game is series)
    Arizona -206
    Seattle +123
    Baltimore -130

    Games for 8/09 (Chase!)
     
    brandon1979
    brandon1979
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2008
    Posts: 1
    Posted: Aug. 11, 2008 - 3:42 PM ET #83

    tomspeople if you add two filters to your system like I did to the morrison system it might alleviate your rare losses.

    1.Only use teams that are playing above .500
    2.No chasing or betting on teams that are facing the 4 to 5 best records in the league

    I enjoy your system but could you apply these two filters to your system and let me know how it work out
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    tomspeople if you add two filters to your system like I did to the morrison system it might alleviate your rare losses.

    1.Only use teams that are playing above .500
    2.No chasing or betting on teams that are facing the 4 to 5 best records in the league

    I enjoy your system but could you apply these two filters to your system and let me know how it work out
     
    dish
    dish
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2002
    Posts: 852
    Posted: Aug. 20, 2008 - 7:31 AM ET #84

    Tom,
     
    what is your season record now?  I see you have not posted in over a week!
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    Tom,
     
    what is your season record now?  I see you have not posted in over a week!
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 1476
    Posted: Aug. 27, 2008 - 6:41 PM ET #85

    Quote Originally Posted by dish:

    Tom,
     
    what is your season record now?  I see you have not posted in over a week!

    Sorry for the long delay, I've been really busy the last couple weeks, getting ready for university and stuff. I'll be updating this tonight.

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    Quote Originally Posted by dish:

    Tom,
     
    what is your season record now?  I see you have not posted in over a week!

    Sorry for the long delay, I've been really busy the last couple weeks, getting ready for university and stuff. I'll be updating this tonight.

     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 1476
    Posted: Aug. 27, 2008 - 11:26 PM ET #86

    This Season
    (betting each game of series)
    AL = 102-62 (62.20%) +20.91u
    NL = 100-80 (55.56%) +9.82u
    Total = 202
    -142 (58.73%) +30.73u

    (Chase)

    AL = 49-1 (98.00%) +38.31u
    NL = 50-7 (87.72%) -23.36u
    Total = 97-8 (92.38%) +14.95u


    Games for 8/28 (If you're playing every game is series)
    Tampa Bay -147
    Atlanta +109
    Houston -138

    Games for 8/28 (Chase!)
    None!

    Reply
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    This Season
    (betting each game of series)
    AL = 102-62 (62.20%) +20.91u
    NL = 100-80 (55.56%) +9.82u
    Total = 202
    -142 (58.73%) +30.73u

    (Chase)

    AL = 49-1 (98.00%) +38.31u
    NL = 50-7 (87.72%) -23.36u
    Total = 97-8 (92.38%) +14.95u


    Games for 8/28 (If you're playing every game is series)
    Tampa Bay -147
    Atlanta +109
    Houston -138

    Games for 8/28 (Chase!)
    None!

     
    rome1
    rome1
    Prospect
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    Joined: Apr, 2007
    Posts: 106
    Posted: Sep. 14, 2008 - 1:39 AM ET #87

    Hey where did you go?
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    Hey where did you go?
     
    shearer
    shearer
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    Posts: 15
    Posted: Sep. 15, 2008 - 5:18 AM ET #88

    the system work very well i follow it
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    the system work very well i follow it
     
    Locksmith20
    Locksmith20
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    Joined: Oct, 2003
    Posts: 966
    Posted: Sep. 27, 2008 - 4:36 PM ET #89

    It seems the NL has lost you some serious units. Any way of adjusting this system next year?

    Prehaps taking contending teams (ex. top 20 teams in your mind) for the system, possibly eliminating losses.

    Opinion?
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    It seems the NL has lost you some serious units. Any way of adjusting this system next year?

    Prehaps taking contending teams (ex. top 20 teams in your mind) for the system, possibly eliminating losses.

    Opinion?
     
    Tomspeople
    Tomspeople
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 1476
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2008 - 1:50 PM ET #90

    Quote Originally Posted by Locksmith20:

    It seems the NL has lost you some serious units. Any way of adjusting this system next year?

    Prehaps taking contending teams (ex. top 20 teams in your mind) for the system, possibly eliminating losses.

    Opinion?

    I'll be researching a decent amount this offseason to try and find significant similarites in the factors that resulted in the losses.

    Anyway, here is the seasons final stats.

    This Season
    (betting each game of series)
    AL = 123-72 (63.08%) +28.38u
    NL = 120-87 (57.97%) +20.24u
    Total = 243
    -159 (60.45%) +48.62u

    (Chase)

    AL = 58-2 (96.67%) +38.81u
    NL = 58-7 (89.23%) -15.36u
    Total = 114-9 (92.68%) +23.45u

    For those people skeptical about playing this system in September, take a look at these September stats..

    2007
    Betting each game:
    39-20 (66.10%) +14.00u
    Betting the chase: 17-0 (100%) +17.00u

    2008
    Betting each game:
    41-17 (70.69%) +17.89u
    Betting the chase: 17-1 (94.44%) +8.50u

    End of Season Comments
    Well the season had some rough points but it turned out pretty well. Again, both the chase and choosing to bet every game showed profit. I'm glad the betting every game strategy broke 60% this season, we were so close last year.
    Betting both the chase and each game, we yeilded 72.07units. Although it's not as high as last years 103.58units, it still means a lot of money, and gives us some losses which we can use to find the weaknesses in the system. I'd like to thank everyone that posted and helped along the way. I'm currently in the development of a few other systems, mainly for NHL and MLB, but also looking into some NBA O/U things. If you want to follow my systems, you can find my site in my space. Alternatively, if you have a system that you want posted on my site, feel free to email me at the email provided on the site and on my space. You will recieve full credit.
    Have a good NHL season, hope you do well, and as they say on the score, "Let the winners be yours."

    ~Tom

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    Quote Originally Posted by Locksmith20:

    It seems the NL has lost you some serious units. Any way of adjusting this system next year?

    Prehaps taking contending teams (ex. top 20 teams in your mind) for the system, possibly eliminating losses.

    Opinion?

    I'll be researching a decent amount this offseason to try and find significant similarites in the factors that resulted in the losses.

    Anyway, here is the seasons final stats.

    This Season
    (betting each game of series)
    AL = 123-72 (63.08%) +28.38u
    NL = 120-87 (57.97%) +20.24u
    Total = 243
    -159 (60.45%) +48.62u

    (Chase)

    AL = 58-2 (96.67%) +38.81u
    NL = 58-7 (89.23%) -15.36u
    Total = 114-9 (92.68%) +23.45u

    For those people skeptical about playing this system in September, take a look at these September stats..

    2007
    Betting each game:
    39-20 (66.10%) +14.00u
    Betting the chase: 17-0 (100%) +17.00u

    2008
    Betting each game:
    41-17 (70.69%) +17.89u
    Betting the chase: 17-1 (94.44%) +8.50u

    End of Season Comments
    Well the season had some rough points but it turned out pretty well. Again, both the chase and choosing to bet every game showed profit. I'm glad the betting every game strategy broke 60% this season, we were so close last year.
    Betting both the chase and each game, we yeilded 72.07units. Although it's not as high as last years 103.58units, it still means a lot of money, and gives us some losses which we can use to find the weaknesses in the system. I'd like to thank everyone that posted and helped along the way. I'm currently in the development of a few other systems, mainly for NHL and MLB, but also looking into some NBA O/U things. If you want to follow my systems, you can find my site in my space. Alternatively, if you have a system that you want posted on my site, feel free to email me at the email provided on the site and on my space. You will recieve full credit.
    Have a good NHL season, hope you do well, and as they say on the score, "Let the winners be yours."

    ~Tom

     
    rome1
    rome1
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    Posts: 106
    Posted: Oct. 16, 2008 - 7:26 PM ET #91

    what about the HFAODL for hockey ?
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    what about the HFAODL for hockey ?
     
    STEVEPERRY
    STEVEPERRY
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    Joined: Dec, 2007
    Posts: 146
    Posted: Oct. 21, 2008 - 11:53 PM ET #92

    Great info...
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    Great info...
     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Posts: 8426
    Posted: Jun. 29, 2009 - 5:51 AM ET #93

    Quote Originally Posted by Tomspeople:

    I'll be researching a decent amount this offseason to try and find significant similarites in the factors that resulted in the losses.

    Anyway, here is the seasons final stats.

    This Season
    (betting each game of series)
    AL = 123-72 (63.08%) +28.38u
    NL = 120-87 (57.97%) +20.24u
    Total = 243
    -159 (60.45%) +48.62u

    (Chase)

    AL = 58-2 (96.67%) +38.81u
    NL = 58-7 (89.23%) -15.36u
    Total = 114-9 (92.68%) +23.45u

    For those people skeptical about playing this system in September, take a look at these September stats..

    2007
    Betting each game:
    39-20 (66.10%) +14.00u
    Betting the chase: 17-0 (100%) +17.00u

    2008
    Betting each game:
    41-17 (70.69%) +17.89u
    Betting the chase: 17-1 (94.44%) +8.50u

    End of Season Comments
    Well the season had some rough points but it turned out pretty well. Again, both the chase and choosing to bet every game showed profit. I'm glad the betting every game strategy broke 60% this season, we were so close last year.
    Betting both the chase and each game, we yeilded  ""72.07units"". Although it's not as high as last years ""103.58units"", it still means a lot of money, and gives us some losses which we can use to find the weaknesses in the system. I'd like to thank everyone that posted and helped along the way. I'm currently in the development of a few other systems, mainly for NHL and MLB, but also looking into some NBA O/U things. If you want to follow my systems, you can find my site in my space. Alternatively, if you have a system that you want posted on my site, feel free to email me at the email provided on the site and on my space. You will recieve full credit.
    Have a good NHL season, hope you do well, and as they say on the score, "Let the winners be yours."

    ~Tom

    +175.65units  / system total for 07'- 08'  As always..stats don't lie. Extremely serious,dedicated work T..well documented..SN         

    We now compare to the 09' season...This formula is a proven success, beyond a shadow of doubt..An added 'tool' of advantage, which captures a handicapping 'edge' in MLB.....  SN

    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tomspeople:

    I'll be researching a decent amount this offseason to try and find significant similarites in the factors that resulted in the losses.

    Anyway, here is the seasons final stats.

    This Season
    (betting each game of series)
    AL = 123-72 (63.08%) +28.38u
    NL = 120-87 (57.97%) +20.24u
    Total = 243
    -159 (60.45%) +48.62u

    (Chase)

    AL = 58-2 (96.67%) +38.81u
    NL = 58-7 (89.23%) -15.36u
    Total = 114-9 (92.68%) +23.45u

    For those people skeptical about playing this system in September, take a look at these September stats..

    2007
    Betting each game:
    39-20 (66.10%) +14.00u
    Betting the chase: 17-0 (100%) +17.00u

    2008
    Betting each game:
    41-17 (70.69%) +17.89u
    Betting the chase: 17-1 (94.44%) +8.50u

    End of Season Comments
    Well the season had some rough points but it turned out pretty well. Again, both the chase and choosing to bet every game showed profit. I'm glad the betting every game strategy broke 60% this season, we were so close last year.
    Betting both the chase and each game, we yeilded  ""72.07units"". Although it's not as high as last years ""103.58units"", it still means a lot of money, and gives us some losses which we can use to find the weaknesses in the system. I'd like to thank everyone that posted and helped along the way. I'm currently in the development of a few other systems, mainly for NHL and MLB, but also looking into some NBA O/U things. If you want to follow my systems, you can find my site in my space. Alternatively, if you have a system that you want posted on my site, feel free to email me at the email provided on the site and on my space. You will recieve full credit.
    Have a good NHL season, hope you do well, and as they say on the score, "Let the winners be yours."

    ~Tom

    +175.65units  / system total for 07'- 08'  As always..stats don't lie. Extremely serious,dedicated work T..well documented..SN         

    We now compare to the 09' season...This formula is a proven success, beyond a shadow of doubt..An added 'tool' of advantage, which captures a handicapping 'edge' in MLB.....  SN

     
     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
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    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 8426
    Posted: Jul. 14, 2009 - 5:55 AM ET #94

    CASE CLOSED
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    CASE CLOSED
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