HERE is how figure if totals are off and the spread when betting on NFL and NBA

As I said, these are just numbers. I have no idea if it's fishy or not.

They take nothing else into consideration.

As a simple example lets say that the posted lines included -3pts for the Home Team, if you take that away then SF would be -4.5 which would be bang on.

Using that example with next weeks games, it seems that a lot of the lines end up being only a couple of points difference.

OK PEOPLE i'm really bad at typing it's hard to explain for me to transfer  the way i was i taught to do this  simple shit but it works !

lets make it simple  ok !

COLTS - 3 vs Chargers 

PF 268  COLTS  PA 216      PF 274 CHARGERS PA 211

+52  pts ---------------------------------------- +63 pts

really showing broken down   here  

63- 52  = 11  divide by 10 games = 1.1  pts

COLTS are +5.2  pts per game    Chargers are +6.3 pts Pergame

6.3 - 5.2 =   +1.1  pts TO Chargers

NOW subtract 3  pt spread FROM colts  and add it TI Carhgers

5.2 - 3   = +2.2    6.3 +3  = 9.3 

9.3  - 2.2  =  +7.1  pts for chargers 

um wrong team favored  here  as YOU see the pick differnce is chargers  +1.1 

spread is OFF  6 points 

another thing  when you have the better offense and defense taking points  YOU bet them and YOU almost Guaranteed  a WINNER  100% of the time

WE all know that the Chargers give manning fits  he has worst performance vs SD  than all the other teams combined 

plus without a running game Colts are very easy to beat  one dimensional

i hate to say this but  neither of these teams will be represented at the superbowl  !

YOU only possible superbowl  teams are

Steelers JETS   Saints  Eagles  PACKERS

Saints strongest edge  this year even betterthan last year  when they averged 45 yds more offense per 16 games  in season

this year they are averaging 78.4 more yds of offense with a better defense  

but problem right now is they are -3  in turnovers  !

Steelers NEED to average at laest 48  yds more than thier opponents in reamaing 5  games they are below the needed 35 yds  for superbowl  champions  sitting at only +29.9  yds more than all opponents through 11 games

THIS is known as super bowl  frauds 

last year Colts averaged only about 25 yds more than all opponents   Saints avg. 45 yds  more than all opponents

I had posted in systems before BUT it axed  !

some jo said how many more BS systems you have  with a thumbs down thingy 

i never replied  it got waxed !

OK OTHER CONTENDERS are  Eagles +82.7 yds  more tahn all opponents with +11  in turnovers  same as steelers

JETS are at + 64.7  yds more than others +7 in turnovers 

Packers  ar weak  +33.2 yds than all opponents + 7 in turnovers

Patriots  NO FUCKING WAY IN HELL  

they are in the red  - 50 yds per game  out gained in 7  games  only small pluses  in 4 games

strange aint it  even thanksgiving day  LIONS out gained them in a Blowout

they are + 11 in turnovers BUT now you see why they are burning YOUR money as chalks

THIS is NOT the OLD patriots defense  that was situtional D  they had two guys in each spot both in postion to stop you from converting 3rd and 5 

WAS a differnt defense than all other teams used  BILL Bellicick design

BUT all those great  defenders are Gone now they went young

so it's a process  developing the youth !

SO VERY POSSIBLE SUPER BOWL MATCHUPS  are

 Saints  vs steelers

Eagles VS  Steelers 

Steelers VS Packers 

Saints  vs Jets 

Saints Vs Packers

Eagles Vs Jets

Packers Vs Jets 

IF  any other AFC teams get in besides JETS  or Steelers

IT will be a blow out of major  proprtions on the NFC side

Packers vs Jets  or Steelers will be low scoring under the 40's

Sanits vs  either also will be low scoring  under thye 40's

NO wait i forgot Dallas is dome 

wash that out  !

depends on how much they score in playoffs 

BUT Thats it 

as far as games what i come up with after sit down with my friends i'll post in game sections

again i remind YOU all i'm a female not a GUY  and wager small

$25 - $50   at most  $200  on one game 

Ravens vs Panthers i unloded on 

got a lil scared  when panthers put up 13  points but for sure  two more picks  came in and sealed  the win !

ty for compliments guys about my avatar but i will not tell who the girl errrr lady is in my avatar .  YOU will not find her pic anywhere online unless someone got it from somwhere else !

Thats all i will tell you  because of my occupation my real name is nowhere online !

AS far as NBA  i will tell you one absoulte mortal LOCK every year

BET aginst the def champs in that home oponer

they never ever cover the spread  !

There is a reason and cause  and effect for these systems that keep them solid every year !

REASON NBA champs do not cover  all the pre game celebration hositing the banner and trophy removes the Crowd emotions and team also is on a high 

Cause is meltdown and the DOG team of courseplays hard EFFECT is a squeak win that is not even close to the spread this year the ROCKETS were a  7.5 DOG  lakers never had the lead  and finally won by 2 points !

NBA is differnt animal than NFL  YOU use PF and PA  of 5 home games vs 5 road games of BOTH teams

Do same math as shown in nfl  add and subtract the spread  from chalk add it to the dog and see if it's  corect as compared to the pickem results

also if either team is playing 3 games in 4 nights  on a B 2 B or 4 in 5  nights on a B 2 B  fade them dog or favorite if an older team vs rested teams

the SPURS are noted real bad traveling on any unrested  games thier 2nd game of a B 2 B they just never cover any spread !Totals also YOU need to see how teams play if they are BOTH heavy on Defensive side  YOUR going to see a lot of UNDERS teams that play all offense like the suns do  with no defense will cause OVERS  more than anything

SUNS should be faded as a chalk vs almsot any team they are old at every position NO laed is safe with them i seen them blow 30 point leads in the 3rd qtr  many times !

Another thing to beware of teams playing on B 2 B going UP to denver  from lower alttude  or Coming down from denver  are really bad bets vs a rested team

THE HUMAN BODY cannot adjust  within 24 hrs  from that thin air  high to low altitude  !

Thats why many teams fold up and die in 2nd halfs at DENVER because of weak bench  and cannot give starters rest to drink plenty of fluids !NBA is a differnt Animal than NFL but emotion runs true in both sports  many teams will play soft at home before a home game vs biggest rival or confernce rival !

I seen it happen Blazers at HOME before a home game vs Lakers

huge chalk 15 points vs Timberwolves  boy where they flat  played the C game  to win by 1 POINT 

ok lakers the def champs come in as a 2.5 chalk !IT is known one place Lakers NEVER can win at is in BLazers house  wire to wire demolition of Lakers  Blazers won by  20 points !

Another thing to beware of is when any team wins a game by 21 points or more  and is off two nights  or even one night  almost every team falls ATS the spread  !

I rember one game The BULLS hammered the heat to win by 31 points BULLS were at Home 

next Night  BULLS coalpsed  as a huge fav of 8 points  Heat went home and exploded over the other team as a small dog !ITs margin of Victory when teams score way over than they NEED to !

one game i saw earlier this yr  belive the Magic won by 42 points as an 18.5 chalk  this was 2nd explosion from them vs poor teams next game home vs a 2-2  decent team The NETS i think it was and check this spread out only a 16.5  at HOME !without handicapping i took the NETS  and sure enough the magick won by 15 points !

easy $50  !

ALSO another thing to do is Chart last 5 games of both teams

A.T.S. just draw a line on a page thats lined like  school note books each line is 5 points  see where teams are headed  is one team peaked out  at plus 30 points  and the other team is  is just below the 0  line say like - 2  ATS headed up  ready to bust through positive side  !

Take that team  to cover the spread !

COVERS is Great to use on teams margin of points won

  A T S they show it in colors  and with a NEGATIVE sign or PLUS sign  next to the number !

YOU want the last 5  consectuive games when making the charts  !

NOT only the the last 5 games  at home or Road the charts will be skewered !

Kinda like looks like an EKG chart when YOUR Done

a 100%   sure shot when you have two teams headed in opposite direction lets say favored home won three games

+ 10  points ATS   + 15 points ATS then a lil dip to + 12 points ATS  The DOG team lost 3 games in a row  - 25 points ATS  - 15 points ATS then - 3 points ATS 

this is what they mean by TWO teams headed in OPPOSITE Directions the team headed up crosses over  the 0 line and wins your wager  the favorite will fall below the zero line !

LATERS  !

GIGGLES  dumb Blonde Moment !

OK tonight i took TWO DOGS  

one was Pistons at +11  the other was 76ers +3.5 

really was screwy that Blazers were favored at 76ers 

all i looked at and saw was that  blazers lost to the NETS  the same team 76ers just beat  and acoording to covers blazers were missing two players OUT  with injury this game !

I still handicapped the game as a pickem blazers were - 1  maiking them a favorite of 3.5   they went to - 2 POINTS 

RESULT  as i expected  a LOW scoring game   76ers blasted them  88-79  24.5  points UNDER the posted total  of 191.5  i came up with a toatl of possible   197.4  so it was too easy to go overs  i  gueesed UNDERS 

PISTONS +11  pushed  but again i saw a low scoring game  192 was posted i came up with  195.4  but saw most of pistons road games were in 165 range  final was Magic  90 pistons 79  if i wated  an hr later the spread went up to 11.5  and it covers !

DO the math yourself using both lines  11 and 11.5 YOU will SEE the diference 

Magic was  PF 515  PA 466    Pistons were PF 478  PA 495 

FUCKING amazing when YOU see the differnce that YOU know the HOOK Plays !

Laters all i'm going out for a drink !