Does anyone know any decent NFL systems?

 

HAHA yeah I noticed a few typos when I was posting that.   But fuck it, nobody goes to my site anyway.

these two work well.........bet on team that avgs 30 or more rushing yds per game than opp......43-27 last yr........also bet team that avgs  1.0 or better in avg turnovers per game.......say Team A avgs 2.0 turnovers and team B avgs 0.7.......diff is 1.3 , bet team B   24-12 last yr........wait til week 3 of season  to start.......combined record was 67-39......no wins counted twice, i.e. if both angles had same team then of cours ejust on eplay...if contradiction....say  Gb was playing Chi and one angle had Gb and other Chi then throw it out since contradiction

going to track this next season....thanks,

Dude, Thanks for chiming in.  I do pretty much the same as you state on your website except I use a four game formula.  Do you find that the 6 game is more accurate?  Also, just to add in on the injury front, I also look to see if the starting MLB is out as this can have an influence on the final score. 

I use 6 because once you cross out the highest and lowest scores for each team you end up with a solid average for 4 games.  If a team has a heavy running game I will also check out the Linebackers.  If a starting LB is out some teams might pound that hole with the running game. 

Also to note, I know I state in the website that I don't use the running game stats but sometimes you get 2 teams that have excellent passing games. In that case I'll take a margin of the YPR because that gives me an idea of who will get more first downs. 

Not true Shark.  I visited and found it quite enlightning.

The best system to use is to come up with your own BS system, then sell it to people on the covers forums. 

Deliveryman, is this turnovers or turnovers lost? And where do you personally find this particular info?

Thanks

 

 

Straight up or against the spread?

Lonnie82..........those are ats figures

Impressive.  I'll definitely keep my eye out on this.

eppy 224.......turnovers are turnovers lost but actually same thing, if turnover u lose the ball otherwise no turnover.......but anyway say  det has 5 turnovers combined in first 2 weeks and chi has 1.....det avg is 2.5 while chi is 0.5.....so Chi has 2 less turnovers per game and would be a play since the difference is more than 1.

here is record  from last yr.......combined record of both angles no game counted twice and any conflict thrown out

week 3.........8-2-1
week 4........4-1
week 5..........5-2-1
week 6.........4-2-1
week 7.........5-4
week  8.........4-2
week 9...........3-3
week 10..........1-4
week 11.........4-3
week 12..........6-4
week  13.......5-2
week 14........4-3
week 15........2-3
week 16........5-4
=============
.................60-39...........61%

made error , the records above  43-27  and 24-12 are correct but we lose some wins as some teams were plays in both angles so combined record is 60-38.........my bad, but still 61% on almost 100 games
cooled down after week 8 but only one really lousy week (1-4) in week 10

Sweet.  I forgot to ask you, do you use the last few weeks scores from the previous year to crank the power ratings up right from the start or do you wait until you have 6 games completed?

 

Best system I could find is this....

Bet on the team that scores more points.  I'm not sure about the percentages, but I did alright with it last year.

I use the last 6 games of the previous season, but I don't include week 17.  Because most games in the last week don't mean anything. 

The 1st 4 weeks of the season I usually bet really light, sometimes I just do some cheap parlays just for the action.  In week 5 I start picking out my best 3 games.