Converting a chase System into a straight bet system!

bDnews got me thinking when he said he's getting a lot of requests for straight bet systems. Why can't you turn a really strong chase system into a straight bet system? 

Very interesting Jeff. I may have to see how this would work out with some other systems, but I like the thought process. I'll report back.

Taking the next step with this, for example in my Greatest System Ever baseball system year 2010

Jeff,

Message me and let me know what your going to be charging for these picks.....

Also, your suggestion of how to play. I like the idea of simply playing the 1st 2 games. If you lose them both, next series (forget the chase), up the unit to two units.

Example:

Mets underdog -1 unit
game 2 mets undedog -3 units.

start next series at either 4 units or 3 units to be even.

IDK, many ways to approach this....

Wouldn't the A & B straight bets be 648-317?

I think we have to look at more years to come up with a good idea how to bet this.

130 units on the 4 game chase for a total of 440.30 units instead of 758.

the easiest way to measure the quality of a chase vs su is to compare ROI. so compare these two values and you will se what point there is.

sure i will:
net profit divided by investment is ROI. i'd like to use it to show the risk you will take when making a bet.

the money invested = (461*1)+(187*2)+(82*4)+(24*8)+(17*16)+(7*32)
461+374+328+192+272+224= 1851
in this chasing system you will invest 1851 units your profit will be:
461+187+82+24+17+7=778
ROI=42,03%

so if you'll do a straight up system you can calculate the same with the profit to investment ratio.

for straight betting you would have a record of:
778-396.
just to have the comparable stats i assume you wil go for 1 unit profit on even odds.
this means money invested: 1174
profit: 382
ROI: 382/1174 = 32,54%

so the main point here is:
is it worth to take higher risk to have 10% more value on your investment.
to loose the profits of your chase system you will need aprox. 8 to 9 losses.
look at it this way: you will have to invest 600+ units more to double up your profits in the chase.

with these results isnt the best way to bet this system bet A,B,C, plays straight up bets for 2 units each?

much lower risk and less than half the chase bankroll needed to get started.

I may be wrong, but didn't you post somewhere that your avg ml is around -150? The losses would then cost you much more then -110 thus changing your units won amount, correct?

Sorry forgot to mention I was using your mlb system as an example. Just looking at your 2010 numbers for game one only:

I'm just curious if you'd still be up 200+ units with your game 1 only in baseball with an avg of ml of -143. Since baseball lines are rarely-110...

these numbers are staggering.  hat, are you going to convert your chase into a straight betting system on a and b?

The NHL system bets the +1.5 puck line. Who would you bet straight up? The ML favorite or dog?