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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    consensus/ line movement betting?

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    powerade
    j-walk
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    powerade
    powerade
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    Posted: Oct. 6, 2009 - 3:29 PM ET #26

    Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

    Yeah, it's a great start, but you know.........

    Do you have a weekly thread where you keep all of them together ?  If not it would be great to have a thread in here where they can all be tracked.  I know there is a great deal of talk about this and it would be a fantastic acid test for everyone to look at it.

         Oh I know lol, I hear ya and do agree with you. By no means am I saying this will go on all season like this. Could be a fluke 2 weeks but hopefully not.

      I think the problem here becomes what makes a game a play or not. I'm narrowing it down by only paying attention to specific situations and not all of them.

    For instance I prefer the line to move at least 1.5 points but prefer 2 or more pts for the line move. I firmly believe a .5 or even 1 pt move is nothing and happens too often to equate any meaning to that. When a line moves 1.5 or more in the other direction then I watch for it.  Maybe I will start a thread in here for it too....

     

    I will be posting my bye week system soon being the bye weeks just started. I have extensive numbers going back 10 years .  I'm going to do some research this week and see it translates to College Football at all too.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Lippsman:

    Yeah, it's a great start, but you know.........

    Do you have a weekly thread where you keep all of them together ?  If not it would be great to have a thread in here where they can all be tracked.  I know there is a great deal of talk about this and it would be a fantastic acid test for everyone to look at it.

         Oh I know lol, I hear ya and do agree with you. By no means am I saying this will go on all season like this. Could be a fluke 2 weeks but hopefully not.

      I think the problem here becomes what makes a game a play or not. I'm narrowing it down by only paying attention to specific situations and not all of them.

    For instance I prefer the line to move at least 1.5 points but prefer 2 or more pts for the line move. I firmly believe a .5 or even 1 pt move is nothing and happens too often to equate any meaning to that. When a line moves 1.5 or more in the other direction then I watch for it.  Maybe I will start a thread in here for it too....

     

    I will be posting my bye week system soon being the bye weeks just started. I have extensive numbers going back 10 years .  I'm going to do some research this week and see it translates to College Football at all too.

     
     
    j-walk
    j-walk
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    Posts: 1746
    Posted: Oct. 6, 2009 - 5:29 PM ET #27

    Powerade, I went back and looked at your picks last week and we are the same page.  We had a very similar card, some of your plays I was following thru the week but they didnt fully fall into my system Im trying out.  I just started using this last week, I went back through week 3 and 4 and found a trend that had this sytem going 8-3, you gotta have a filter and not jump on em all though. 
    I found 11 games that fit this system last week (which was way more than I expected) but I only had enough dough to play 9 of them, so the system went 8-3 but my posted plays only went 6-3.  I really hope Im onto something here but it could just be a lucky run, we'll see.
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    Powerade, I went back and looked at your picks last week and we are the same page.  We had a very similar card, some of your plays I was following thru the week but they didnt fully fall into my system Im trying out.  I just started using this last week, I went back through week 3 and 4 and found a trend that had this sytem going 8-3, you gotta have a filter and not jump on em all though. 
    I found 11 games that fit this system last week (which was way more than I expected) but I only had enough dough to play 9 of them, so the system went 8-3 but my posted plays only went 6-3.  I really hope Im onto something here but it could just be a lucky run, we'll see.
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