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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Baseball "Key" Parlay System

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    oakparkheartguy
    rickbrown86
    kenkean89
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    oakparkheartguy
    oakparkheartguy
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2007 - 2:33 AM ET #1

    Trying a parlay system which uses the highest moneyline favorite as the "key" team in separate parlays with the next two highest teams and whoever is playing against Washington. The anti-Washington bias is a variation of Rick's parlay system. I'm going to post this until he decides to put his system up and running for the year. If Washington's opponent is the "key" or one of the next two highest favorites, I'll use the third highest favorite in the parlay with the "key." Using lines at BetJamaica at the time of my posting for the odds. If "key" loses, we go up a unit on the next play. If "key" wins, we go down a unit or stay at 1. Day 1 4/5/07 Key is NYY -285 Unit level is 1 A is Boston -165 100/117 B is Detroit -134 100/135.90 C is Arizona -118 100/149.60
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    Trying a parlay system which uses the highest moneyline favorite as the "key" team in separate parlays with the next two highest teams and whoever is playing against Washington. The anti-Washington bias is a variation of Rick's parlay system. I'm going to post this until he decides to put his system up and running for the year. If Washington's opponent is the "key" or one of the next two highest favorites, I'll use the third highest favorite in the parlay with the "key." Using lines at BetJamaica at the time of my posting for the odds. If "key" loses, we go up a unit on the next play. If "key" wins, we go down a unit or stay at 1. Day 1 4/5/07 Key is NYY -285 Unit level is 1 A is Boston -165 100/117 B is Detroit -134 100/135.90 C is Arizona -118 100/149.60
     
    oakparkheartguy
    oakparkheartguy
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2007 - 1:28 AM ET #2

    Yanks really ruined what otherwise would have been a good day for me, as I had them on the moneyline (ouch!) and the runline as well as in these parlays. The thing about betting heavy favs big that way is that you feel you're "entitled" to win because you laid so much juice. There's a lesson to be learned there perhaps Yet, tomorrow is another day and, lo and behold, guess who emerges as the "key" again? Yep, the Damn Yankees. And I don't even like 'em! Day 1 -200 Key lost, ruining wins by A and C. Detroit saves us $100 by raining out. Forward -200 Day 2 Unit Level now goes to 2 Key is NYY -215 A is Det -159 200/277.30 B is SD-149 200/289.70 C is Az -105 200/372.10 ______________________________________________________
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    Yanks really ruined what otherwise would have been a good day for me, as I had them on the moneyline (ouch!) and the runline as well as in these parlays. The thing about betting heavy favs big that way is that you feel you're "entitled" to win because you laid so much juice. There's a lesson to be learned there perhaps Yet, tomorrow is another day and, lo and behold, guess who emerges as the "key" again? Yep, the Damn Yankees. And I don't even like 'em! Day 1 -200 Key lost, ruining wins by A and C. Detroit saves us $100 by raining out. Forward -200 Day 2 Unit Level now goes to 2 Key is NYY -215 A is Det -159 200/277.30 B is SD-149 200/289.70 C is Az -105 200/372.10 ______________________________________________________
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2007 - 2:54 AM ET #3

    Gonna take a little time for linesmakers to get it tightned up. First 5 days the "Key" has won once. Would be down <$2,033> and @ level 4. Pretty much why I am waiting to start about 30 days in to season.
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    Gonna take a little time for linesmakers to get it tightned up. First 5 days the "Key" has won once. Would be down <$2,033> and @ level 4. Pretty much why I am waiting to start about 30 days in to season.
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2007 - 2:06 PM ET #4

    Let's see if system can dig its way out Day 6 would be: Fwd <$2,033> 06 Apr Day 6 level (4) $400 Key is NYY with: [A] DET 400/522 [B] SD 400/558 [C] TOR 400/668
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    Let's see if system can dig its way out Day 6 would be: Fwd <$2,033> 06 Apr Day 6 level (4) $400 Key is NYY with: [A] DET 400/522 [B] SD 400/558 [C] TOR 400/668
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 7, 2007 - 2:27 AM ET #5

    Fwd: <$2,033> Day 6 Key Lost Day: <$1,200> After 6 days: <$3,233> level now (5) $500
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    Fwd: <$2,033> Day 6 Key Lost Day: <$1,200> After 6 days: <$3,233> level now (5) $500
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 7, 2007 - 3:48 PM ET #6

    Fwd <$3,233> 07 Apr Day 7 level (5) $500 Key is NYY with: [A] HOU 500/644 [B] CIN 500/614 [C] SD 500/704
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    Fwd <$3,233> 07 Apr Day 7 level (5) $500 Key is NYY with: [A] HOU 500/644 [B] CIN 500/614 [C] SD 500/704
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 8, 2007 - 2:13 AM ET #7

    Fwd: <$3,233> Day 7 Key Won (with A B C) Day: +$1;962 After 7 days: <$1,271> level now (4) $400
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    Fwd: <$3,233> Day 7 Key Won (with A B C) Day: +$1;962 After 7 days: <$1,271> level now (4) $400
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 8, 2007 - 3:43 PM ET #8

    Fwd <$1,271> 08 Apr Day 8 level (4) $400 Key is MIN with: [A] SD 400/524 [B] DET 400/535 [C] NYY 400/644
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    Fwd <$1,271> 08 Apr Day 8 level (4) $400 Key is MIN with: [A] SD 400/524 [B] DET 400/535 [C] NYY 400/644
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2007 - 1:38 AM ET #9

    Fwd: <$1,271> Day 8 Key Won (with A B) Day: +$659 After 8 days: <$612> level now (3) $300
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    Fwd: <$1,271> Day 8 Key Won (with A B) Day: +$659 After 8 days: <$612> level now (3) $300
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2007 - 3:03 AM ET #10

    Fwd <$612> 09 Apr Day 9 level (3) $300 Key is TOR with: [A] OAK 300/407 [B] LAD 300/431 [C] TEX 300/431
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    Fwd <$612> 09 Apr Day 9 level (3) $300 Key is TOR with: [A] OAK 300/407 [B] LAD 300/431 [C] TEX 300/431
     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2007 - 1:37 PM ET #11

    question, at my book, the cubs are heavier favorites than the dodgers or the rangers?? thanks guys.
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    question, at my book, the cubs are heavier favorites than the dodgers or the rangers?? thanks guys.
     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2007 - 1:42 PM ET #12

    my bad, sorry; you must be going by the opening lines. gl tonite.||cool.gif' border=0>.
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    my bad, sorry; you must be going by the opening lines. gl tonite.||cool.gif' border=0>.
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2007 - 12:24 AM ET #13

    kenkean89 Yeah - opening lines as long as they are up before 1st possible game starts. Refering to games that are listed as "off" that could be in system. Will leave them out if any game that is in w/o them is due to start.
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    kenkean89 Yeah - opening lines as long as they are up before 1st possible game starts. Refering to games that are listed as "off" that could be in system. Will leave them out if any game that is in w/o them is due to start.
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2007 - 12:55 AM ET #14

    Fwd: <$612> Day 9 Key Won (with C) Day: <$169> After 9 days: <$781> level now (2) $200
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    Fwd: <$612> Day 9 Key Won (with C) Day: <$169> After 9 days: <$781> level now (2) $200
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 10, 2007 - 2:47 PM ET #15

    Fwd <$781> 10 Apr Day 10 level (2) $200 Key is ATL with: [A] BRS 200/200 [B] CUBS 200/259 [C] TEX 200/280
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    Fwd <$781> 10 Apr Day 10 level (2) $200 Key is ATL with: [A] BRS 200/200 [B] CUBS 200/259 [C] TEX 200/280
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 11, 2007 - 12:38 AM ET #16

    Fwd: <$781> Day 10 Key Won (with A C) Day: +$280 After 10 days: <$501> level now (1) $100
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    Fwd: <$781> Day 10 Key Won (with A C) Day: +$280 After 10 days: <$501> level now (1) $100
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 11, 2007 - 2:03 PM ET #17

    Fwd <$501> 11 Apr Day 11 level (1) $100 Key is ATL with: [A] TEX 100/124 [B] TOR 100/116 [C] BRS 100/115
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    Fwd <$501> 11 Apr Day 11 level (1) $100 Key is ATL with: [A] TEX 100/124 [B] TOR 100/116 [C] BRS 100/115
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 11, 2007 - 11:03 PM ET #18

    Fwd: <$501> Day 11 Key Won (with B) Day: <$84> After 10 days: <$585> level now (1) $100
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    Fwd: <$501> Day 11 Key Won (with B) Day: <$84> After 10 days: <$585> level now (1) $100
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 12, 2007 - 1:43 AM ET #19

    Fwd <$585> 12 Apr Day 12 level (1) $100 Key is ATL with: [A] MIN 100/112 [B] BRS 100/111 [C] NYM 100/121
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    Fwd <$585> 12 Apr Day 12 level (1) $100 Key is ATL with: [A] MIN 100/112 [B] BRS 100/111 [C] NYM 100/121
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2007 - 1:04 AM ET #20

    BRS Postponed so parlays became: Fwd <$585> 12 Apr Day 12 level (1) $100 Key is ATL with: [A] MIN 100/112 [B] NYM 100/121 [C] BAL 100/130 Fwd: <$585> Day 12 Key Lost Day: <$300> After 12 days: <$885> level now (2) $200
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    BRS Postponed so parlays became: Fwd <$585> 12 Apr Day 12 level (1) $100 Key is ATL with: [A] MIN 100/112 [B] NYM 100/121 [C] BAL 100/130 Fwd: <$585> Day 12 Key Lost Day: <$300> After 12 days: <$885> level now (2) $200
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2007 - 2:20 PM ET #21

    Fwd <$885> 13 Apr Day 13 level (2) $200 Key is MIN with: [A] NYM 200/238 [B] MIN 200/253 [C] BAL 200/257
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    Fwd <$885> 13 Apr Day 13 level (2) $200 Key is MIN with: [A] NYM 200/238 [B] MIN 200/253 [C] BAL 200/257
     
    kenkean89
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    Posted: Apr. 13, 2007 - 5:48 PM ET #22

    rick, i think play (b) should be arizona parlayed with the twins.
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    rick, i think play (b) should be arizona parlayed with the twins.
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2007 - 3:20 AM ET #23

    yes -- screwed it up when updating -- thanks Fwd: <$885> Day 13 Key Lost Day: <$600> After 13 days: <$1,485> level now (3) $300
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    yes -- screwed it up when updating -- thanks Fwd: <$885> Day 13 Key Lost Day: <$600> After 13 days: <$1,485> level now (3) $300
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 14, 2007 - 12:15 PM ET #24

    Fwd <$1485> 14 Apr Day 14 level (3) $300 Key is NYM with: [A] BAL 300/348 [B] TOR 300/362 [C] BRS 300/318
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    Fwd <$1485> 14 Apr Day 14 level (3) $300 Key is NYM with: [A] BAL 300/348 [B] TOR 300/362 [C] BRS 300/318
     
     
    rickbrown86
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    Posted: Apr. 15, 2007 - 5:39 AM ET #25

    Fwd: <$1485> Day 14 Key Lost Day: <$900> After 14 days: <$2,385> level now (4) $400
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    Fwd: <$1485> Day 14 Key Lost Day: <$900> After 14 days: <$2,385> level now (4) $400
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