All Forums | Systems & Strategies

2011 NCAAF Strategy

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 52834
Posts: 392
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 267
Posted: #51

Love the work, my brutha!!

Wouldn't it make sense to add the +4 to the line for home field advantage as statfox recommends?

In any event, nice hit on Boise.

BW

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 1309
Posted: #52
irage, tailed u on Boise State and Stanford! Unfortunately, that's the only offered games at my book that I can tail. Hope your other plays hit as well!
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 4125
Posted: #53
Bookie, I'm glad you got something out of your book. I don't bet all the games I post. I usually only pick one or two games. I took Boise, Stanford and Utah. How about that Utah/BYU game. I went the game and sat in the middle of BYU football player friends and family section with my "U" shirt on. Best part about BYU football is fans are always cool. Anyway, another money weekend.

You'll notice the filters aren't working. I am working to adjust them. I am simply watching games and looking for advantages. RPI system doesn't appear to work very well so far.

RPI SYSTEM

RPI Home: 38
RPI Visitor: 40

Filter: Sept 01 = H32 V39
Filter: Sept 03 = H38 V40
Filter: Sept 03 = No lines greater than -35
Filter: Sept 09 = Double Ott match ups take the home team


11 - 3 - 0

Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 WIN
Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) LOSS
Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) WIN
Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) WIN

UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
Sept 15 - MISSISSIPPI ST. +3 LOSS
Sept 17 - UTAH +4.5 WIN
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2010
Posts: 529
Posted: #54
Yeah the linesmakers have the spreads all over at the start of the season with good teams playing crap teams.  Some teams cover with ease and others can't or won't. I would have to think the rpi would be good during conference play as the spreads will come down and good teams are willing to make more of a statement against a conference rival.  Like Auburn only lost ats to 1 conference opponenet last year.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2007
Posts: 83
Posted: #55
Nice work Irage, I don't post very often but I've been following you for awhile now, mostly in the MLB forum with bettor.  Just wanted to drop in and compliment your fine work, I'll be tailing your CFB this year.  Keep up the good work brother
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 4125
Posted: #56

Thanks, I am just trying to find a way to consistently win at football. Specifically college football. I won't bet NFL anymore.

Hopefully between NCAAF, NBA and MLB we could all quit our day jobs.

I appreciate any feedback. This forum has been great, with people focused on making money. Thats why we are here....right?

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2010
Posts: 529
Posted: #57

With the NBA on lockout and all the crazy things I've seen over the years, think SA losing to MEM last year in the playoffs and not covering one game.  I'm cutting it down to MLB and NHL as both sports make up a full year.  Don't expect to quit my day job betting as any strategy can go south in a hurry.

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 4125
Posted: #58
A pipe dream, but with out dreams you don't have shit.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 366
Posted: #59
lol.. u posted TCU, but you didn't play that game... Ur funny
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 1309
Posted: #60
Any plays irage? I'm really hoping the plays you make this week, my book would offer them.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 4125
Posted: #61
Here a couple I am looking at it. I am ranking them in order of best to worst. These are not final, except for BYU.

1. BYU -2.5 = BYU will bounce back after their embarrassing loss to Utah.
2. Missouri +22
3. Tulsa +31.5
4. Wisconsin (H62)
5. Ohio St. -22
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 2554
Posted: #62
Looking for your officials IRAGE ? Let's get the money!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2011
Posts: 123
Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by glefkb01:

Looking for your officials IRAGE ? Let's get the money!
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 4125
Posted: #64
BYU is official for tonight.

I will have the rest soon.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 4125
Posted: #65
11 - 3 - 0

Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 WIN
Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) LOSS
Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) WIN
Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) WIN
Sept 23 -  BYU -2.5 - PENDING
Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - PENDING
Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - PENDING
Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - PENDING
Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - PENDING

UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
Sept 15 - MISSISSIPPI ST. +3 LOSS
Sept 17 - UTAH +4.5 WIN
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 4125
Posted: #66
Well that's the right way to start to the weekend. Bounce back game. I guarantee Bronco was not going to let his players embarrass him again. Lets hope that Missouri shows up tomorrow.
They have a tough matchup, but they have the talent. I do have an unofficial play. Utah State has been playing excellent football. The only problem I have is the line is right on the money.

12 - 3 - 0

Sept 03 - AUBURN -24 (H39) LOSS
Sept 03 - STANFORD -30  (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - OHIO ST -34 (H49) WIN
Sept 03 - VIRGINIA TECH -26 (H53) WIN
Sept 03 - MISSISSIPPI ST -30 (V40) WIN
Sept 09 - MISSOURI +10 (V03) WIN
Sept 09 - STANFORD (V39) WIN
Sept 09 - USC -8.5 (H00) WIN
Sept 09 - N. ILLINOIS -4 (V16) LOSS
Sept 09 - ARKANSAS -35.5 (V41) WIN
Sept 16 - BOISE ST. -19 V29 WIN
Sept 17 - TCU -28.5 (H58) LOSS
Sept 17 - TEMPLE +7.5 (H-06) WIN
Sept 17 - STANFORD -10 (V24) WIN
Sept 23 - BYU -2.5 - WIN
Sept 24 - Missouri +22 - PENDING
Sept 24 - Boise St OVER 61 - PENDING
Sept 24 - Wisconsin -35 (H62) - PENDING
Sept 24 - TCU -38 (H55) - PENDING

UNOFFICIAL PLAYS
Sept 15 - MISSISSIPPI ST. +3 LOSS
Sept 17 - UTAH +4.5 WIN
Sept 24 - UTAH ST. -10.5 PENDING
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 1309
Posted: #67
BYU
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 1309
Posted: #68
Dang! My sportsbook doesn't offer even 1 of your pending bets for tomorrow. Goodluck on your plays tomorrow irage!
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 4125
Posted: #69
Hey Bookie,

Have you considered an offshore book like Intertops, Sportsbook or BetUS?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2011
Posts: 99
Posted: #70
I have a quick question.
Would your strategy work with labby or a 3 step martingale?
I appreciate your work!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 137
Posted: #71
i got WISCONSIN AT  - 45 ouch
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 4125
Posted: #72
Quote Originally Posted by speedemon:

I have a quick question.
Would your strategy work with labby or a 3 step martingale?
I appreciate your work!


Indeed it might. We should try that.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 4125
Posted: #73
Quote Originally Posted by Scotte:

i got WISCONSIN AT  - 45 ouch


My line was at 38, 45 is a MONSTER number, but well within reach.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2005
Posts: 4125
Posted: #74
Wisconsin nailing it at 49. Wisconsin is not a team that lets up. They play all the way until the game ends.

That's another winner boys.
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2011
Posts: 123
Posted: #75
You are killing it so far,  Nice picks Irage! 

All Forums | Systems & Strategies
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gambling
Betting Sites
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
21+
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Help Privacy Terms of Service Cookies Sitemap Forum
Covers is verified safe by:
Evalon Logo Logo GPWA Logo GDPR logo Logo GeoTrust logo Logo PCI DSS logo Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Ltd. All Rights Reserved.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.