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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    2 NHL Systems

    123 Next Last»
    cougarpines
    Geedubya88
    Tormiod
    sports_Network
    dawgtennis07
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    cougarpines
    cougarpines
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2015 - 12:31 AM ET #1

    I usually don't post much but follow along on several of the threads.
    Here are two NHL systems I use which have worked the last few years:

    System 1:  I piggybacked off of the SFJustice and AllisonRoads MLB Shutout system but modified it to avoid paying a lot of juice and getting into long chases. Here is how I play the NHL shutouts:
    1. When a team is shutout I play against them (chase) for two games only. Since most of the losses after being shutout occur in G1 or G2 there is no reason to chase-chase-chase.  Right now LAK would be on G7 and WAS on G6.  Sometimes you take a loss and let it go. 
    2. I don't play anything where the juice is over -120 on the team I am betting on. Ex. CLB lost to NYI on 10/20 0-4. Their next game on 10/22 was in MIN where MINNY was -220.  Bypass that play. Did not even win on PL. 
    Tips:
    *Look ahead and make sure the team you are betting against is not going to be a huge favorite (especially at home) in G2 just in case you lose G1...unless you are willing to play the PL. 
    **Don't be affraid to take the underdog and the $$$. People in St. Louis thought I was nuts on Sunday that the Islanders would beat their Blues.  Islanders were a +140. 
    ***System is 11-3 so far this season

    System 2 is the 1 goal-UNDER
    Anytime you have a game where the score ends 1-0, chase each team on the UNDER in their next two games. They don't come up too often but they have been pretty solid. 
    *Anytime you PUSH it does not count. Replay the team until you have won an UNDER bet or lost 2 games. 
    Right now the next play is ANA G2 10/29@STL and CHC G1 10/29@WPG. 

    For each system you can go three games and it seems to be about a 50/50 chance but I just stick to only going 2 games and moving on. 

    No guarantees, just a few simple ways the NHL has been good to me the past few years. 
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I usually don't post much but follow along on several of the threads.
    Here are two NHL systems I use which have worked the last few years:

    System 1:  I piggybacked off of the SFJustice and AllisonRoads MLB Shutout system but modified it to avoid paying a lot of juice and getting into long chases. Here is how I play the NHL shutouts:
    1. When a team is shutout I play against them (chase) for two games only. Since most of the losses after being shutout occur in G1 or G2 there is no reason to chase-chase-chase.  Right now LAK would be on G7 and WAS on G6.  Sometimes you take a loss and let it go. 
    2. I don't play anything where the juice is over -120 on the team I am betting on. Ex. CLB lost to NYI on 10/20 0-4. Their next game on 10/22 was in MIN where MINNY was -220.  Bypass that play. Did not even win on PL. 
    Tips:
    *Look ahead and make sure the team you are betting against is not going to be a huge favorite (especially at home) in G2 just in case you lose G1...unless you are willing to play the PL. 
    **Don't be affraid to take the underdog and the $$$. People in St. Louis thought I was nuts on Sunday that the Islanders would beat their Blues.  Islanders were a +140. 
    ***System is 11-3 so far this season

    System 2 is the 1 goal-UNDER
    Anytime you have a game where the score ends 1-0, chase each team on the UNDER in their next two games. They don't come up too often but they have been pretty solid. 
    *Anytime you PUSH it does not count. Replay the team until you have won an UNDER bet or lost 2 games. 
    Right now the next play is ANA G2 10/29@STL and CHC G1 10/29@WPG. 

    For each system you can go three games and it seems to be about a 50/50 chance but I just stick to only going 2 games and moving on. 

    No guarantees, just a few simple ways the NHL has been good to me the past few years. 
     
    Geedubya88
    Geedubya88
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2015 - 1:59 PM ET #2

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    cougarpines
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    Posted: Oct. 28, 2015 - 2:36 PM ET #3

    Sorry, I miswrote one of my tips from the shutout system. It should have read:

    *Look ahead and make sure the team you are betting against is not going to be against a huge favorite (especially at home) in G2 just in case you lose G1...unless you are willing to play the PL. 
    Example: If Columbus gets shutout, you play against them in G1 and Columbus wins, make sure G2 is not in Washington, Montreal or New York-R...I'll skip the play because I want the juice in my favor rather than risking double++ my bet amount. 
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    Sorry, I miswrote one of my tips from the shutout system. It should have read:

    *Look ahead and make sure the team you are betting against is not going to be against a huge favorite (especially at home) in G2 just in case you lose G1...unless you are willing to play the PL. 
    Example: If Columbus gets shutout, you play against them in G1 and Columbus wins, make sure G2 is not in Washington, Montreal or New York-R...I'll skip the play because I want the juice in my favor rather than risking double++ my bet amount. 
     
    cougarpines
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    Posted: Oct. 30, 2015 - 12:03 AM ET #4

    10/29/15

    Shutout:
    Game 1 winner: Colorado +180 beat Tampa Bay

    1 Goal Under:
    ANA G2 5U-Winner 
    CHC G1 5U-Winner

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    10/29/15

    Shutout:
    Game 1 winner: Colorado +180 beat Tampa Bay

    1 Goal Under:
    ANA G2 5U-Winner 
    CHC G1 5U-Winner

     
    Tormiod
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2016 - 12:04 AM ET #5

    STATS FOR SHUTOUT CHASE 2015/2016 ("1 Goal Under" System)

    So far there have been 15 1 goal-shutout games.

    30 FIRST SERIES BETS:
    --> 21 GAMES 5 GOALS OR LESS
    -->  9 GAMES OVER 5 GOALS

    9 SECOND SERIES CHASE BETS:
    --> 6 GAMES 5 GOALS OR LESS
    --> 3 GAMES OVER 5 GOALS



    First Series:      70% Winners
    Second Series:  66.6% Winners


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    STATS FOR SHUTOUT CHASE 2015/2016 ("1 Goal Under" System)

    So far there have been 15 1 goal-shutout games.

    30 FIRST SERIES BETS:
    --> 21 GAMES 5 GOALS OR LESS
    -->  9 GAMES OVER 5 GOALS

    9 SECOND SERIES CHASE BETS:
    --> 6 GAMES 5 GOALS OR LESS
    --> 3 GAMES OVER 5 GOALS



    First Series:      70% Winners
    Second Series:  66.6% Winners


     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2016 - 7:10 AM ET #6

    cougarpines & Tormiod

    appreciate the fortitude, very interesting NHL concept's....post up some plays, let's see what happens







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    cougarpines & Tormiod

    appreciate the fortitude, very interesting NHL concept's....post up some plays, let's see what happens







     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2016 - 7:15 AM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by cougarpines:

    10/29/15

    Shutout:
    Game 1 winner: Colorado +180 beat Tampa Bay

    1 Goal Under:
    ANA G2 5U-Winner 
    CHC G1 5U-Winner

    Wowzer, the Avalanche +180 ML  WIN  

    3-0 
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    Quote Originally Posted by cougarpines:

    10/29/15

    Shutout:
    Game 1 winner: Colorado +180 beat Tampa Bay

    1 Goal Under:
    ANA G2 5U-Winner 
    CHC G1 5U-Winner

    Wowzer, the Avalanche +180 ML  WIN  

    3-0 
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2016 - 7:19 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by Tormiod:

    STATS FOR SHUTOUT CHASE 2015/2016 ("1 Goal Under" System)

    So far there have been 15 1 goal-shutout games.

    30 FIRST SERIES BETS:
    --> 21 GAMES 5 GOALS OR LESS
    -->  9 GAMES OVER 5 GOALS

    9 SECOND SERIES CHASE BETS:
    --> 6 GAMES 5 GOALS OR LESS
    --> 3 GAMES OVER 5 GOALS



    First Series:      70% Winners
    Second Series:  66.6% Winners

    70% & 66.6% 

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    Quote Originally Posted by Tormiod:

    STATS FOR SHUTOUT CHASE 2015/2016 ("1 Goal Under" System)

    So far there have been 15 1 goal-shutout games.

    30 FIRST SERIES BETS:
    --> 21 GAMES 5 GOALS OR LESS
    -->  9 GAMES OVER 5 GOALS

    9 SECOND SERIES CHASE BETS:
    --> 6 GAMES 5 GOALS OR LESS
    --> 3 GAMES OVER 5 GOALS



    First Series:      70% Winners
    Second Series:  66.6% Winners

    70% & 66.6% 

     
    dawgtennis07
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2016 - 3:58 PM ET #9

    Are you posting the picks anywhere? I'd love to follow along.
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    Are you posting the picks anywhere? I'd love to follow along.
     
    cougarpines
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    Posted: Jan. 11, 2016 - 4:33 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by dawgtennis07:

    Are you posting the picks anywhere? I'd love to follow along.

    No, after I posted the thread and the first question I received was if I back tested (really?) I decided it was not worth the effort.  

    Currently there are NO 1 goal chases going on (watch for next game that ends in 1-0). Only teams I am watching in shutout are New York-I on 01/12/16 against CLB (CLB should be good odds as a dog) and possibly Toronto on 01/13/16 (CLB and TOR will probably be close to even odds though). Good luck.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by dawgtennis07:

    Are you posting the picks anywhere? I'd love to follow along.

    No, after I posted the thread and the first question I received was if I back tested (really?) I decided it was not worth the effort.  

    Currently there are NO 1 goal chases going on (watch for next game that ends in 1-0). Only teams I am watching in shutout are New York-I on 01/12/16 against CLB (CLB should be good odds as a dog) and possibly Toronto on 01/13/16 (CLB and TOR will probably be close to even odds though). Good luck.  
     
    dawgtennis07
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    Posted: Jan. 13, 2016 - 5:34 PM ET #11

    I didn't see your response until today, so I missed out on betting clb last night. So the goal here is 1u columbus last night, 2 unit rangers tomorrow when they play islanders. and then tonight 1u columbus, if it loses bet 2 u on black hawks vs toronto on Friday?

    I just want to expose myself to more hockey, and I don't have a good track record so far betting it.
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    I didn't see your response until today, so I missed out on betting clb last night. So the goal here is 1u columbus last night, 2 unit rangers tomorrow when they play islanders. and then tonight 1u columbus, if it loses bet 2 u on black hawks vs toronto on Friday?

    I just want to expose myself to more hockey, and I don't have a good track record so far betting it.
     
    cougarpines
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2016 - 12:02 AM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by dawgtennis07:

    I didn't see your response until today, so I missed out on betting clb last night. So the goal here is 1u columbus last night, 2 unit rangers tomorrow when they play islanders. and then tonight 1u columbus, if it loses bet 2 u on black hawks vs toronto on Friday?

    I just want to expose myself to more hockey, and I don't have a good track record so far betting it.

    Correct. G2 against NYI on 1/14, so play on NYR-2 units. RIght now both are -110. CLB won against TOR tonight so that play is over. 

    FLA lost in CAL tonight 0-6. Their next game is @TBL on Jan 17 so the odds will probably be too high for a ML play  (PL if you wish but I'll probably not play it. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by dawgtennis07:

    I didn't see your response until today, so I missed out on betting clb last night. So the goal here is 1u columbus last night, 2 unit rangers tomorrow when they play islanders. and then tonight 1u columbus, if it loses bet 2 u on black hawks vs toronto on Friday?

    I just want to expose myself to more hockey, and I don't have a good track record so far betting it.

    Correct. G2 against NYI on 1/14, so play on NYR-2 units. RIght now both are -110. CLB won against TOR tonight so that play is over. 

    FLA lost in CAL tonight 0-6. Their next game is @TBL on Jan 17 so the odds will probably be too high for a ML play  (PL if you wish but I'll probably not play it. 
     
    EAZYE25
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2016 - 4:54 AM ET #13

    Colorado got shut out on Tues. Are you playing against them today and taking the Devils??
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    Colorado got shut out on Tues. Are you playing against them today and taking the Devils??
     
    dawgtennis07
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2016 - 11:09 AM ET #14

    Thanks for the advice. I'm starting a spreadsheet to track the plays through the rest of the year. If you'd like, I'll post up the plays and results on the thread here? My units are 50$ first game, 100$ second game.

    For Instance Tonight I have:
    110/100 on NYR ML against NYI
    50/52.50 on NJD ML against COL

    Saturday: If Col wins tonight, we will have a 100$ play on CLB against Col.
    Sunday:  We will have a 50$ play on TB against FLA, if that loses then on Monday we will have a 100$ play on EDM against FLA.

    For the record of how I will report profit, I didn't get a bet in against NYI on G1 which would've lost, so I'm skipping to a G2 bet.  I also missed playing against Nash on G1 which would've won so that is also no longer a play.
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    Thanks for the advice. I'm starting a spreadsheet to track the plays through the rest of the year. If you'd like, I'll post up the plays and results on the thread here? My units are 50$ first game, 100$ second game.

    For Instance Tonight I have:
    110/100 on NYR ML against NYI
    50/52.50 on NJD ML against COL

    Saturday: If Col wins tonight, we will have a 100$ play on CLB against Col.
    Sunday:  We will have a 50$ play on TB against FLA, if that loses then on Monday we will have a 100$ play on EDM against FLA.

    For the record of how I will report profit, I didn't get a bet in against NYI on G1 which would've lost, so I'm skipping to a G2 bet.  I also missed playing against Nash on G1 which would've won so that is also no longer a play.
     
    cougarpines
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2016 - 11:55 AM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by dawgtennis07:

     

    For the record of how I will report profit, I didn't get a bet in against NYI on G1 which would've lost, so I'm skipping to a G2 bet.  I also missed playing against Nash on G1 which would've won so that is also no longer a play.

    I did not play against Nashville in Chicago because Chicago was -150 on the ML. If you took the game on the PL you would have lost.  The best games in the system are when a decent/good team gets shutout and then has a series of 2-4 (depending on how far you want to chase) potential dogs coming up. I don't like risking a lot of juice on the moneyline and I don't like long chases (usually more than 2 games) because it only takes a few bad beats to dwindle your profits. 
    However, my original post is just a guideline so tweek it as you need to. Sometimes I make small changes if I see an opportunity. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by dawgtennis07:

     

    For the record of how I will report profit, I didn't get a bet in against NYI on G1 which would've lost, so I'm skipping to a G2 bet.  I also missed playing against Nash on G1 which would've won so that is also no longer a play.

    I did not play against Nashville in Chicago because Chicago was -150 on the ML. If you took the game on the PL you would have lost.  The best games in the system are when a decent/good team gets shutout and then has a series of 2-4 (depending on how far you want to chase) potential dogs coming up. I don't like risking a lot of juice on the moneyline and I don't like long chases (usually more than 2 games) because it only takes a few bad beats to dwindle your profits. 
    However, my original post is just a guideline so tweek it as you need to. Sometimes I make small changes if I see an opportunity. 
     
    cougarpines
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2016 - 11:57 AM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by EAZYE25:

    Colorado got shut out on Tues. Are you playing against them today and taking the Devils??

    YES, I am on the NJ Devils tonight. Sorry, I did not get my NHL Shutout spreadsheet updated until this morning so I forgot to mention COL in a post I replied to last night.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by EAZYE25:

    Colorado got shut out on Tues. Are you playing against them today and taking the Devils??

    YES, I am on the NJ Devils tonight. Sorry, I did not get my NHL Shutout spreadsheet updated until this morning so I forgot to mention COL in a post I replied to last night.  
     
    dawgtennis07
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2016 - 12:18 PM ET #17

    I'll keep it at a 2 game chase that I do because I don't like betting more than 100 on NHL since I have no eye for evaluating talent like I (think) I do BBall and Football.

    I've also got a sheet set up to record the 1pt game chase under also.

    GL tonight guys!
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    I'll keep it at a 2 game chase that I do because I don't like betting more than 100 on NHL since I have no eye for evaluating talent like I (think) I do BBall and Football.

    I've also got a sheet set up to record the 1pt game chase under also.

    GL tonight guys!
     
    dawgtennis07
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2016 - 3:20 PM ET #18

    There are no plays in either NHL system tonight. and I moved the spreadsheet over to google docs for anyone interested in viewing it.

    There will be 2 potential plays on Saturday: CLB for 2 units, and AZ for 1 unit.

    GL on your plays tonight! 

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1P7zGI5Qz83cIZxtrEE9vp-0EYwoJ6MIX-glhHdu7yZQ/edit#gid=0


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    There are no plays in either NHL system tonight. and I moved the spreadsheet over to google docs for anyone interested in viewing it.

    There will be 2 potential plays on Saturday: CLB for 2 units, and AZ for 1 unit.

    GL on your plays tonight! 

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1P7zGI5Qz83cIZxtrEE9vp-0EYwoJ6MIX-glhHdu7yZQ/edit#gid=0


     
    dawgtennis07
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2016 - 10:43 AM ET #19

    Arizona is at -135 so there is no play on them today. You can play them on the PL, and I will be for 1 unit. Gl everyone! Also play 2 units on CLB
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    Arizona is at -135 so there is no play on them today. You can play them on the PL, and I will be for 1 unit. Gl everyone! Also play 2 units on CLB
     
    cougarpines
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2016 - 2:38 PM ET #20

    Dont forget to play the MIN/NAS game on the under if you are also playing the 1 goal UNDERS.

    On 1/15/16
    WPG 1 G1 1/18 COL
    MIN  0 G1 1/16 @NAS 

    Good luck 
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    Dont forget to play the MIN/NAS game on the under if you are also playing the 1 goal UNDERS.

    On 1/15/16
    WPG 1 G1 1/18 COL
    MIN  0 G1 1/16 @NAS 

    Good luck 
     
    dawgtennis07
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2016 - 2:42 PM ET #21

    Thanks! I missed that 1-0 game I guess! Gl y'all
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    Thanks! I missed that 1-0 game I guess! Gl y'all
     
    dawgtennis07
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2016 - 2:44 PM ET #22

    This also makes Nashville a G1 1unit ML play too. Gl all
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    This also makes Nashville a G1 1unit ML play too. Gl all
     
    cougarpines
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2016 - 5:13 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by dawgtennis07:

    This also makes Nashville a G1 1unit ML play too. Gl all

    I am undecided on whether to play against MIN or not.  NAS is -130 ML against them and MIN's next game is @ANA.  Juice just might be too high and I don't trust the PL.  GL  
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    Quote Originally Posted by dawgtennis07:

    This also makes Nashville a G1 1unit ML play too. Gl all

    I am undecided on whether to play against MIN or not.  NAS is -130 ML against them and MIN's next game is @ANA.  Juice just might be too high and I don't trust the PL.  GL  
     
    dawgtennis07
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2016 - 10:41 PM ET #24

    Yay Nashville! I got them at -105 tonight , and didn't even think to look at their next game like a hockey noob! But we hit on both shutout bets and the under! The AZ PL is a loss but typically shouldn't be played, so we won't make that mistake in the future!
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    Yay Nashville! I got them at -105 tonight , and didn't even think to look at their next game like a hockey noob! But we hit on both shutout bets and the under! The AZ PL is a loss but typically shouldn't be played, so we won't make that mistake in the future!
     
     
    cougarpines
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    Posted: Jan. 16, 2016 - 10:47 PM ET #25

    Quote Originally Posted by dawgtennis07:

    Yay Nashville! I got them at -105 tonight , and didn't even think to look at their next game like a hockey noob! But we hit on both shutout bets and the under! The AZ PL is a loss but typically shouldn't be played, so we won't make that mistake in the future!

    Good call on taking NAS tonight! I loaded up on the UNDER.   Going against MIN 01/20 could be a play depending on the line...next three of their opponents are on the road at ANA, LAK, and SJS. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by dawgtennis07:

    Yay Nashville! I got them at -105 tonight , and didn't even think to look at their next game like a hockey noob! But we hit on both shutout bets and the under! The AZ PL is a loss but typically shouldn't be played, so we won't make that mistake in the future!

    Good call on taking NAS tonight! I loaded up on the UNDER.   Going against MIN 01/20 could be a play depending on the line...next three of their opponents are on the road at ANA, LAK, and SJS. 
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