Posted:
#1
Why is nobody talking about MY streak?
Why is nobody talking about MY streak?
Posted:
#16
Mostly because what you are expressing is called "main character" syndrome -> believing you are important to others - apart from that if we say every bet is a coinflip:
Going 12-0 = 1:4096
Going 17-0 (1000 USD price) = 1:131.072
Going 21-0 (25.000 USD Price) = 1:2.097.152
Going 25-0 (100.000 USD Price) = 1:33.554.432
- So to say you got a long way to go would be the understatement of the year
But good luck at least
Don't mention the frogs - we don't want to scare the toddler - we want him to sleep
Posted:
#18
@ronnie101
I fell one game short of your 13 losses in a row. I was almost rooting against Houston. Sad thing is that this is my second 9 game losing streak and I only have 3 9 game winning streaks. I did get 13 on 2 of those streaks, but it is still very humbling and a reminder that luck will always be the main factor. Look at the current March Madness leader. They lost almost 150,000 units in the regular season. Anything can happen.
Posted:
#19
Quote Originally Posted by DeaconBlues2525:
@Calde13 I think the others got that I was having some sport at my own huge losing streak.
@Calde13 I think the others got that I was having some sport at my own huge losing streak.
ohh yeah ok that is my bad ! I thought you were winning - but actually it doesnt change my prior post (except for the prize figures)
Don't mention the frogs - we don't want to scare the toddler - we want him to sleep
Posted:
#21
@Calde13
Once you've gone 12-0, your odds of getting to 17-0 are not 1/131,072. They are the odds of going 5-0, which is 1/32. Saying you've still got a long way to go at 12-0, then citing the odds of going 17-0 and 21-0 to prove it, is just wrong. By your logic a sportsbook should offer only $100 to cash out a $100 wager on a 4-team parlay in which 3 teams have already won, because the odds of hitting a 4-team parlay are 1/16. Once 3 teams have already won, the odds of hitting that parlay are 1/2, not the original 1/16.
Posted:
#22
Quote Originally Posted by reg1979:
@Calde13 Once you've gone 12-0, your odds of getting to 17-0 are not 1/131,072. They are the odds of going 5-0, which is 1/32. Saying you've still got a long way to go at 12-0, then citing the odds of going 17-0 and 21-0 to prove it, is just wrong. By your logic a sportsbook should offer only $100 to cash out a $100 wager on a 4-team parlay in which 3 teams have already won, because the odds of hitting a 4-team parlay are 1/16. Once 3 teams have already won, the odds of hitting that parlay are 1/2, not the original 1/16.
@Calde13 Once you've gone 12-0, your odds of getting to 17-0 are not 1/131,072. They are the odds of going 5-0, which is 1/32. Saying you've still got a long way to go at 12-0, then citing the odds of going 17-0 and 21-0 to prove it, is just wrong. By your logic a sportsbook should offer only $100 to cash out a $100 wager on a 4-team parlay in which 3 teams have already won, because the odds of hitting a 4-team parlay are 1/16. Once 3 teams have already won, the odds of hitting that parlay are 1/2, not the original 1/16.
True it wasn't stated clearly enough - but what you are saying was actually the point I wanted to make - to be 1/32 is still a long way to go esp. considering that you had to overcome a 1:4000 ish to even get there
If 4000ish people make a bet today - 1 of those would statistically hit 12-0
if 100.000ish people make a bet today - 1 of those would statistically hit 17-0
Etc.
That was my point -> why we don't want to make a post everytime someone hits 12-0 ! - according to Covers we are 531,264 users (I know most aren't active or playing "Streak Survivor") but 12-0 is WAY more likely than 17-0
Don't mention the frogs - we don't want to scare the toddler - we want him to sleep
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