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    All Forums | Sports Lottery

    OLG Props: Green Bay @ Chicago

    hugh613
    Getty3
    car
    starwink
    Allbutbroke
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    Views: 977
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    hugh613
    hugh613
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    Posted: Jan. 22, 2011 - 11:30 PM ET #1

    I think this might be the first Props card I've played all season long, so let's make it count...

    1ST HALF UNDER 22.5 POINTS @ 1.90
    *I don't know where they came up with this number considering both Pinnacle and 5dimes have it at 21.5 and, more importantly, juiced to the under (-123 @ Pinnacle and -115 @ 5dimes). The 1 point difference obviously isn't all that significant (22 isn't really all that key a number) but the fact that it's @ 1.90 instead of the 1.60 where it should be is. Either way, I don't think the 1st Half, let alone the entire game, even comes close to hitting the number.

    2ND HALF UNDER 21.5 POINTS @ 1.80
    *First of all, it's going to be cold, real cold, so there should be a fair number of running plays to help keep the clock moving. Second, all four games between GB and CHI with Aaron Rodgers and Jay Cutler as the starting QB's have gone under the game total (36, 35, 37, 13) and only 1 half out of the 8 has produced more than 20 points (and even then it was thanks to a last minute GB touchdown).

    The biggest factor here, however, is the fact that these two teams just know how to scheme one another. Week 17, the Bears came in having scored 40 and 38 in their last 2 games - the Packers held them to 3. The Packers came in having scored 27 and 45 - the Bears held them to 10. Week 3, the Bears came in having scored 19 and 27 - Green Bay held them to 20. The Packers came in having scored 27 and 34 - the Bears held them to 17.

    Bottom line: it's playoff football. It's not as though it can't be a high scoring game, but everything points to this being a relatively low scoring game. And that, after all, is what gambling is all about - putting yourself in the best position to win.

    FUMBLES LOST UNDER 1.5 @ 1.50
    *Both teams take relatively good care of the ball (10 fumbles lost by Chicago, 9 for Green Bay) and, considering what's at stake, I would think everyone takes a little extra care to protect the ball.

    5.13 X $100 = $513



    Good Luck Everyone!
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I think this might be the first Props card I've played all season long, so let's make it count...

    1ST HALF UNDER 22.5 POINTS @ 1.90
    *I don't know where they came up with this number considering both Pinnacle and 5dimes have it at 21.5 and, more importantly, juiced to the under (-123 @ Pinnacle and -115 @ 5dimes). The 1 point difference obviously isn't all that significant (22 isn't really all that key a number) but the fact that it's @ 1.90 instead of the 1.60 where it should be is. Either way, I don't think the 1st Half, let alone the entire game, even comes close to hitting the number.

    2ND HALF UNDER 21.5 POINTS @ 1.80
    *First of all, it's going to be cold, real cold, so there should be a fair number of running plays to help keep the clock moving. Second, all four games between GB and CHI with Aaron Rodgers and Jay Cutler as the starting QB's have gone under the game total (36, 35, 37, 13) and only 1 half out of the 8 has produced more than 20 points (and even then it was thanks to a last minute GB touchdown).

    The biggest factor here, however, is the fact that these two teams just know how to scheme one another. Week 17, the Bears came in having scored 40 and 38 in their last 2 games - the Packers held them to 3. The Packers came in having scored 27 and 45 - the Bears held them to 10. Week 3, the Bears came in having scored 19 and 27 - Green Bay held them to 20. The Packers came in having scored 27 and 34 - the Bears held them to 17.

    Bottom line: it's playoff football. It's not as though it can't be a high scoring game, but everything points to this being a relatively low scoring game. And that, after all, is what gambling is all about - putting yourself in the best position to win.

    FUMBLES LOST UNDER 1.5 @ 1.50
    *Both teams take relatively good care of the ball (10 fumbles lost by Chicago, 9 for Green Bay) and, considering what's at stake, I would think everyone takes a little extra care to protect the ball.

    5.13 X $100 = $513



    Good Luck Everyone!
     
    Getty3
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 12:06 AM ET #2

    Good Luck, Hugh.

    The under 43.5 is the only bet I've put in on tomorrow's games. I'm likely to play a bet on the Bears, and if it wins, bet 1.5X on Pitts. If the public cashes on GB, I'll lay off the Pitt/Jet game altogether.

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    Good Luck, Hugh.

    The under 43.5 is the only bet I've put in on tomorrow's games. I'm likely to play a bet on the Bears, and if it wins, bet 1.5X on Pitts. If the public cashes on GB, I'll lay off the Pitt/Jet game altogether.

     
    car
    car
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 10:36 AM ET #3

    man you guys get great prop options compared to ALC.

    liking the unders on the 1st and 2nd half totals...
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    man you guys get great prop options compared to ALC.

    liking the unders on the 1st and 2nd half totals...
     
    hugh613
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    Posted: Jan. 23, 2011 - 11:15 AM ET #4

    Thanks guys.

    Props and the ability to parlay sides with totals (especially on the same game) are about the only things OLG has going for it. I mean, Christ... just look at the odds comparison on the Flyers / Hawks game.

    PHI ALC 2.20 OLG 1.70
    CHI ALC 1.90 OLG 1.80

    That may not seem like a big deal, but even if you're only a small time player, that's a lot of money left out on the table over the long haul (betting the lottery vs. online is a different story altogether obviously...)


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    Thanks guys.

    Props and the ability to parlay sides with totals (especially on the same game) are about the only things OLG has going for it. I mean, Christ... just look at the odds comparison on the Flyers / Hawks game.

    PHI ALC 2.20 OLG 1.70
    CHI ALC 1.90 OLG 1.80

    That may not seem like a big deal, but even if you're only a small time player, that's a lot of money left out on the table over the long haul (betting the lottery vs. online is a different story altogether obviously...)


     
    starwink
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    Posted: Jan. 24, 2011 - 10:14 PM ET #5




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    Allbutbroke
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    Posted: Jan. 27, 2011 - 10:24 PM ET #6

    Congrats on a nice win.................look forward to your thoughts on the Superbowl props.
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    Congrats on a nice win.................look forward to your thoughts on the Superbowl props.
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