OLG NFL WEEK 3: Potential value, maybe...

I'll try to make this a regular thing if a) I have the time, b) I remember to do it, and c) enough people ask me to keep doing it.

The OLG lines used will be the FINAL lines released on the Friday, while the Pinnacle lines will be the current lines at the time of posting (you'll have to check for yourself to see if they move prior to game time).

I'll also include the totals and which way the juice is flowing (EX: for OLG, it will be which side is juiced higher (ie. odds of 1.6 or lower), and for Pinnacle which side is juiced higher).

* I'll try to be as accurate as possible, but there's always the possibility I'll make a typo, so let me know if you spot one.

TENNESSEE / NEW YORK GIANTS
OLG: NYG -3.5 / OVER 42.5
Pinnacle: NYG -3 / EVEN 43.5 -105

BUFFALO / NEW ENGLAND
OLG: NE -14.5 / OVER 43.5
Pinnacle: NE -14.5 / OVER 42.5 -113

CLEVELAND / BALTIMORE
OLG: BAL -11.5 / UNDER 37.5
Pinnacle: BAL -10.5 / UNDER 37 -109

PITTSBURGH / TAMPA BAY
OLG: PIT -3.5 / UNDER 33.5
Pinnacle: PIT -1.5 / UNDER 33.5 -110

CINCINNATI / CAROLINA
OLG: CIN -4.5 / UNDER 38.5
Pinnacle: CIN -3 / UNDER 37.5 -106

ATLANTA / NEW ORLEANS
OLG: NO -4.5 / OVER 49.5
Pinnacle:NO -3.5 / OVER 49 -107

SAN FRANCISCO / KANSAS CITY
OLG: SF -3.5 / OVER 36.5
Pinnacle: SF -3 / OVER 37 -110

DETROIT / MINNESOTA
OLG: MIN -10.5 / OVER 42.5
Pinnacle: MIN -11.5 / OVER 42.5 -113

DALLAS / HOUSTON
OLG: HOU -3.5 / OVER 47.5
Pinnacle: HOU -2.5 / UNDER 47 -106

WASHINGTON / ST.LOUIS
OLG: WSH -4.5 / OVER 38.5
Pinnacle: WSH -3.5 / OVER 38.5 -108

PHILADELPHIA / JACKSONVILLE
OLG: PHI -3.5 / OVER 44.5
Pinnacle: PHI -2.5 / OVER 44.5 -110

INDIANAPOLIS / DENVER
OLG: IND -7 / OVER 48.5
Pinnacle: IND -5.5 / UNDER 48 -110

SAN DIEGO / SEATTLE
OLG: SD -6.5 / OVER 44.5
Pinnacle: SD -5.5 / OVER 44 -110

OAKLAND / ARIZONA
OLG: ARZ -5.5 / OVER 39.5
Pinnacle: ARZ -4.5 / EVEN 39.5 -105

NEW YORK JETS / MIAMI
OLG: MIA -0.5 / OVER 34.5
Pinnacle: MIA -1 / OVER 35.5 -106

GREEN BAY / CHICAGO
OLG: GB -4.5 / OVER 46.5
Pinnacle: GB -3 / UNDER 46 -109

EDMONTON ESKIMOS / TORONTO ARGONAUTS UNDER 49.5 @ 1.60
KANSAS CITY CHIEFS @ 2.70
TENNESSEE TITANS / NEW YORK GIANTS OVER 42.5 @ 1.60
BUFFALO BILLS / NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS OVER 43.5 @ 1.60
SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS / COLORADO ROCKIES OVER 8.5 @ 2.00



Good Luck Everyone!

check out

https://www.prolineplayer.com

for all the up to date odds


Love Cincy, Indy, and the Skins   today

San Fran -2.5

One of the rare cases where you'll see an 0-2 team favoured against a 2-0 squad.  KC has overachieved and had all the bounces go their way.  They didn't score an offensive TD against a weak Browns defense last week, and Cassel threw for a mere 68 yards in the opener against SD.  49ers are a top 5 D, allowing a mere 65 yards per game on the ground. Singletary will have them fired up to get their first win today, if Alex Smith can limit the turnovers (1 TD/4 INT's)

Bills +14.5

Patriots have been out-gained in both games, which is more of a reflection of their struggling defense offering up 382 yards per game, including over 110 ypg on the ground.  That's an important stat as the Bills will need to control the ball with Lynch, Jackson, and Spiller.  While I can't explain it, the Bills have always played the Patriots tough who haven't covered a spread of 14.5 in their last 4 games against the Bills, including last season when the Patriots were a better team. 

Washington -4

Washington IS an improving football team, and now take on the Rams, who are 26th ranked on offense, and ranked 28th on defense after 2 games against the Raiders and Cardinals, who all agree, aren't exactly prolific on offense.  Some might be getting emotional and a little carried away with last weeks late game collapse by the Skins.  Washington's defensive statistics are entirely skewed by Matt Schaub throwing for 497 yards last week.  In week 1, the Skins defense shut down the Cowboys offense, limiting them in all aspects of the game.  Now they face a much easier task in the Rams, who are without one of their principle weapons, WR, Laurent Robinson, who is doubtful today.  This is a Shanahan coached team, a better team with a short line on a game they're supposed to win, coming off a loss.  I think they'll rebound and am willing to lay the points against a rebuilding Rams. 

Also leaning on GB, think I'll lay the points with the Ravens (check the weather in Balty. 

Best of luck! 

Alex Smith