NFL Wild Card Weekend

leaning:

Proline -

Jets @ 2.90
GB @ 2.55

...maybe ties in the Raven/Pats and Eagles/Cowboys games...

Pt. Spread -

Jets +2.5
GB +1.5

games i like

ravens +3.5
eagles +4.5 .....cowboy fan here so i will say cowboys by fg
bengals -2.5

Here's my take so far...

Jets win/tie
Patriots
Dallas win/tie
Green Bay

Jets +2.5
Patriots -3.5
Eagles +4.5
Green Bay +1.5 - my BB of the weekend

been reading some great arguments for the Jets side and Bengals side. Weather is going to be cold to freakin' cold...maybe a little precipitation, which leans to a ground and pound game.

going with Proline tie and sticking with the Jets +2.5

Also leaning more to the tie in the Pats game.

thoughts?

Tough to get a handle on this week's games just because of the back to back situation, but here's what I'm thinking:

Jets win: the Bengals have to be the biggest fraud team in the playoffs, and they showed it last Sunday. Jets ran wild over them and I expect the same this week. I would be surprised if Mark Sanchez hits double digits in passes completed.

Eagles win: Donovan McNabb doesn't have a problem with the first round - it's the second and third rounds where he usually blows up.

Patriots win: Wes Welker being out doesn't help, but they've still got Randy Moss. Plus, Baltimore has way too many injuries to overcome. This should be the highest scoring game of the week.

Packers win: The hottest team going into the playoffs. Aaron Rodgers and Brett Favre will meet again.

Looks like we're on the same exact games. GL to us!

smacked the Jets on Pt Spread and on line but changed my lean and went with the tie in Proline.

got the Cowboys win/tie on Proline...with the Pats and Packers SU.

Took the Pts on the Cowboys (with the Pats)  and a little ML action online.

gl

Cowboys

a little more action on the Pats game... over 43

A few thoughts on the Ravens-Patriots game...I obviously have the Pats winning, and covering in a high scoring game. I rolled over my online Dallas winnings to the over 43 total in the Pats game (+ a little ML on the Pats) so I got a bit of cash riding.

Weather is going to be fine. I keep reading about the Ravens only needing single coverage against Edelman. Doesn't matter...Ravens are too banged up, lack speed on D and don't get enough pressure with the pass rush. Edelman and Faulk will get a lot of balls thrown their way and eat up yardage. I think we'll see Brady spread the ball all over the field, taking moderate chunks all day long and really open up the run with Faulk and Maroney on the outside...and get Moss his touches. I also don't think the Pats will face many 3rd and long situations...also expecting the Ravens to have a bit of success on O...and we'll see over 50 pts scored...

thoughts?

nice start Car

wmp...you have an updated lean/outlook on the Pats game? I think you were leaning to something crazy like the Ravens winning...lol

ManRam24 has a nice little writeup in the pro football forum on the Packers winning. Going to wait on the outcome of the Pats game before I get all crazy on that one. Liking the Packers SU in Proline even though the line has shifted to them being a 2 pt fav and offering decreased value.

  January 7, 2010
Tom Brady Lobbying Officials. Again.
Do you recall Tom Brady lobbying an offical for a roughing the passer call against Terrell Suggs? Rodney Harrison said at the time, "Horrible call. You can't make this call. And Tom Brady, if you're listening, take off the skirt and put on some slacks. Toughen up."

Well Tom is at it again. "Oh, I'm begging for preferential treatment if they'll give it to me," Brady said. "I just don't think they'll give it to me all the time. So I'm trying to butter up to those officials before the game and during the game so that we do get a call once in awhile. If it helps our team win, I'm all for it."

Just awesome.
 


update

Ravens +3.5...and SU think the winner here blows the other team out

ravens will be to physical for pats today and if officials let both teams play and not chuck flags for touching brady ravens have a shot
 
got this from Baltimore sun so bit biased

Scouting Sunday's officials

Given all the discussion last week about the officials protecting Tom Brady, it seems unlikely that the Patriots will have that advantage today. Brady isn't going to be able to dictate penalties the way he did in October. The officials are under the microscope, too, and they can't show partiality on the big stage??????????????

point spread

ravens +3.5
wizards +1.5
heat +1.5
umass +1.5
denver +1.5

guess we're clashing on the side there...here's hoping they trade 7s all day...and the Pats score one more than the Ravens.

...just for shits and giggles I have a prop bet with K. Faulk scoring the first TD @ +1000.

Look at Baltimore's wins:

Kansas City, @ San Diego (Wk. 2 when Chargers were still struggling), Cleveland, Denver, @ Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Detroit, Chicago, @ Oakland

Okay, the Patriots didn't beat a single playoff team either, but the difference is... 8-0 at home and 27-21 W over Baltimore in Wk. 4

Ravens are too banged up and not as dominant on 'D' as they once were. I'd be very surprised if the Patriots don't put up at least 30 on them: Patriots and the Over.

What are your thoughts on the GB/ARZ total?

pats are just as banged up welker is done brady ribs and ankle
moss being moss no practice all week who knows if he shows up

GO RAVENS

only 45 minutes you can still change your mind on the ravens

Too late for that, but my Joe Flacco Under 5 Passes Completed prop is looking golden!

lol

wow...only way my pick could've been worse was with the under.



...we'll make a clean sweep next weekend.

packers tried to win one for you what a great game that was to watch

....man, had a prop bet for Driver to get 65.5 yards (I think he was the only receiver in the game not to get a zillion yards)....so now my daughter thinks Aaron Rodgers name is "throw it to #80 you f*cking stupid m*therf*cker!!!"