Posted:
#1
Red Skins +1.0
Cowboys +7.0
Cowboys +7.0
NFL Week 6
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Posts: 12
Posted:
#4
go other way on two of these games
Bills +2.5 alot depends on which Giants team shows, last week against the Seahawks was a classice meltdown. I'm losing faith in these guys.
Almost ditto for the Boys, like the Pats will probably be +7 by game time, the Boys game against the Lions has to be demoralizing for Romo, largest point deficit comeback in Boys history. Shit like this will send Jerry Jones to an early grave.
Do like the Falcons -3.5 and Ravens -7.5
In the CFL will take Stamps tonight @-7.5 I think and I like the Bombers chances against the Esks @+2.5
Posted:
#7
Morning Guys,
2 keys for me today, one dog, one chalk...
Jags +12.5 vs. Steelers
While the Steelers lit up the Titans like the Griswald family Christmas tree last week, this line is a huge over-reaction and heavily inflated. The Jags have had the best of this AFC rivalry, going 10-4 ATS last 14 overall. No longer the vaunted Steel Curtain, Pittsburgh front 7 is giving up 4.6 ypc on the ground with no forced fumbles. Trainers might need to put a couple of those special "blue pills" in MJD's gatorade to make sure he's "UP" for the game, because this one will be largely dependent on him. Pittsburgh is 0-4 ATS coming off SU win. Back to reality with the Steelers today (offensive line issues, Ben making mistakes, etc) - Jags can play defense, and should keep this close, +12.5
Packers -14.5 vs. Rams
Many bettors would look at this number and say "too high of a spread, Rams or no play" - which may not be a bad idea. However, truth be told, I think the number could be higher and still see 2-way action on this spread. GB offense offers a league leading 34.6 ppg vs. the Rams league worst 11.5 ppg. The Packers are 7-1 ATS last 8 at Lambeau, where 7 of 8 have gone over the total. Quite simply, we know GB is going to score, and often. The Packers RB's might as well be wearing the red QB practice jerseys cause they aren't likely to be touched as the Rams are giving up an astonishing 179.8 ypg on the ground. Can the Rams keep up to cover the spread? I don't see it... offensive line is giving up 4.8 sacks per game, GB's 3rd ranked run defense (3.8 ypc) will focus on keeping Jackson in check, and Sam Bradford, poor kid, has only 3 TD's and the 2nd worst QB rating in the league among active starters at 69.7. This is a shady line, thought it should be 19.5 or 20, but will take it, -14.5
All the best!
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