Good morning gents, and happy new year's to all fellow Canadian sports lottery players.
My sole gambling resolution is to begin keeping accurate records of spending, and winning percentage. I'm doing this for two reasons: 1) personal interest, and 2) so I can hopefully justify to my wife why my spending a few bucks here and there on sports betting is worth while.
It starts small today...
$10 wager wins $100, PS CFB
Wisc +2.5
Msri -3.5
Florida -10.5
TxTc -6.5
$10 wager wins $115.50, Proline
Florida (CFB)
Buffalo
Ottawa
TB
Lecavalier (over Sundin)
As I get into it, i'll do write-ups if anyone wants to start chatting about pro line tickets daily.
Otherwise, best of luck!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Good morning gents, and happy new year's to all fellow Canadian sports lottery players.
My sole gambling resolution is to begin keeping accurate records of spending, and winning percentage. I'm doing this for two reasons: 1) personal interest, and 2) so I can hopefully justify to my wife why my spending a few bucks here and there on sports betting is worth while.
It starts small today...
$10 wager wins $100, PS CFB
Wisc +2.5
Msri -3.5
Florida -10.5
TxTc -6.5
$10 wager wins $115.50, Proline
Florida (CFB)
Buffalo
Ottawa
TB
Lecavalier (over Sundin)
As I get into it, i'll do write-ups if anyone wants to start chatting about pro line tickets daily.
Argh, didn't even GET to the action I really liked for tonight... not good money management but wanted to put alittle something on these bowl games as I watched them. Leafs starting Clemmensen tonight against Tampa. Although he's better than the edgeless "RAZOR", he'll have a tough time against Tampa's offensive juggernauts (LeCavalier, Richards, St.Louis).
$10 wager pays $46
-Tampa
-Lecavalier
-USC
$10 wager pays $48.90
-USC
-Georgia
-Chicago by 2
-Chicago/LA Over 5.5
0
0-2, -$20
Argh, didn't even GET to the action I really liked for tonight... not good money management but wanted to put alittle something on these bowl games as I watched them. Leafs starting Clemmensen tonight against Tampa. Although he's better than the edgeless "RAZOR", he'll have a tough time against Tampa's offensive juggernauts (LeCavalier, Richards, St.Louis).
In case anyone is wondering, i'm counting number of winning/losing tickets, not actual picks, because as we all know, parlays are the only option with the OLG
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The above should actually read 0-4, -$40...
In case anyone is wondering, i'm counting number of winning/losing tickets, not actual picks, because as we all know, parlays are the only option with the OLG
Not a good first week...Sundin burned me Thursday from a nice winner, which would have resulted in a profitable first week. On average, as hopefully time will tell, I hit 2-3 winners a week, so I guess we'll see what happens.
$20 wager - Early Afternoon Ticket
Rutgers - not a lot of value but no upset here, Ball State is just excited to be in Toronto
Montreal - Caps have a short bench with 3 regulars out of the line-up; Montreal playing well, and 4-1 L5 against Washington
Kovalev - playing VERY well, and contributing offensively on a game by game basis; Habs will attempt to take OVECH away
Kansas - while I wouldn't take the 11 points on the spread, KS is ranked #3, 13-0, 8-3 ATS, and has the edge in every statistical category
$10 CBB Point Spread
Kentucky +1.5 - have won L3 in this match-up, and is 10-1-1 ATS versus Big East opponents
UCLA -4.5
St.John's -2.5 - line slowly moving upwards, now at -3.5
Texas A&M -14.5 - not a huge fan of the big line but injuries have turned this one into a mismatch; A&M should dominate this one on the glass, and on the scoreboard - spread is currently -16/16.5 in most places
Good Luck
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Determined
1-7 (actual pro-line tickets), -$22.80
Not a good first week...Sundin burned me Thursday from a nice winner, which would have resulted in a profitable first week. On average, as hopefully time will tell, I hit 2-3 winners a week, so I guess we'll see what happens.
$20 wager - Early Afternoon Ticket
Rutgers - not a lot of value but no upset here, Ball State is just excited to be in Toronto
Montreal - Caps have a short bench with 3 regulars out of the line-up; Montreal playing well, and 4-1 L5 against Washington
Kovalev - playing VERY well, and contributing offensively on a game by game basis; Habs will attempt to take OVECH away
Kansas - while I wouldn't take the 11 points on the spread, KS is ranked #3, 13-0, 8-3 ATS, and has the edge in every statistical category
$10 CBB Point Spread
Kentucky +1.5 - have won L3 in this match-up, and is 10-1-1 ATS versus Big East opponents
UCLA -4.5
St.John's -2.5 - line slowly moving upwards, now at -3.5
Texas A&M -14.5 - not a huge fan of the big line but injuries have turned this one into a mismatch; A&M should dominate this one on the glass, and on the scoreboard - spread is currently -16/16.5 in most places
I miss the days when props were on the same payout table as pointspread tickets. wager between 2-12 outcomes with fixed payouts...now its 3-6 outcomes that are odds based
I used to kill it. but the value of ProLine odds wagering is garbage.
Keep doing what you're doing, but my advice would be get online, only play PointSpread not ProLine from OLG, and wait for another NFL season when u can rape their weak bnumped up spreads.
P.S. Nice call on the jags/steelers props card
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I miss the days when props were on the same payout table as pointspread tickets. wager between 2-12 outcomes with fixed payouts...now its 3-6 outcomes that are odds based
I used to kill it. but the value of ProLine odds wagering is garbage.
Keep doing what you're doing, but my advice would be get online, only play PointSpread not ProLine from OLG, and wait for another NFL season when u can rape their weak bnumped up spreads.
Thanks Disco...I detest proline, but for now, even though the odds are always stacked against me and everyone else, i'll stick with it. I agree, Props was AWESOME back then, hit a lot of winners too!
Determined
2-11 (18% entire tickets), -$17.80
On to this afternoon's props card, looking for another winner to get me out of the red:
$10 Props, TB/NYG
Longest Pass Completion OVER 42.5 - Eli seems to always connect with Burress for atleast one completion downtown, and against the height-challenged Bucs secondary, I like his chances; Galloway has also regularly broken free on slants/crossing routes for some long TD's
Punt Return OVER 14.5 - Not a big number, will cross my fingers and hope for the best
Brandon Jacobs OVER 85.5 yards - he has to be a workhorse to take some of the heat off Eli; he's a big man, and should be able to carry a few of the Bucs under-sized defensemen; look for him to get atleast 20 carries today
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Thanks Disco...I detest proline, but for now, even though the odds are always stacked against me and everyone else, i'll stick with it. I agree, Props was AWESOME back then, hit a lot of winners too!
Determined
2-11 (18% entire tickets), -$17.80
On to this afternoon's props card, looking for another winner to get me out of the red:
$10 Props, TB/NYG
Longest Pass Completion OVER 42.5 - Eli seems to always connect with Burress for atleast one completion downtown, and against the height-challenged Bucs secondary, I like his chances; Galloway has also regularly broken free on slants/crossing routes for some long TD's
Punt Return OVER 14.5 - Not a big number, will cross my fingers and hope for the best
Brandon Jacobs OVER 85.5 yards - he has to be a workhorse to take some of the heat off Eli; he's a big man, and should be able to carry a few of the Bucs under-sized defensemen; look for him to get atleast 20 carries today
Well, couldn't keep it rolling... lost 2, $10 wagers yesterday while checking out the Hamilton Bulldogs game... for the record, I think Carey Price will benefit from his time here, he looked "average" at best last night. No rationales tonight, let's get right to it...
Determined
3-16, 18% +$52.20
$10 Proline
Dallas
New Jersey
Montreal
Wisconsin (CBB)
$10 Point Spread
Boise St.
Stanford
Louisville
Good Luck All
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Well, couldn't keep it rolling... lost 2, $10 wagers yesterday while checking out the Hamilton Bulldogs game... for the record, I think Carey Price will benefit from his time here, he looked "average" at best last night. No rationales tonight, let's get right to it...
Both of the above screwed by one game... sigh... tis the life in betting the OLG parlays. That being said, I get it back TODAY and then some:
Determined
3-18, 16% +$32.30
$50 Points Spread
Seattle +7.5 - with all of their receiving weapons healthy, the Seahawks could be a force for Green Bay's secondary to contend with; it's going to be a shoot-out, and Seattle's D is under-rated!
Jags +13.5 - I've said it all year, the only team that can rattle NE is Jacksonville. They embarassed Pitts 2x in the cold weather, and once with the field in terrible condition. NE's run D is susceptible to the run, and the Jags can, and will take full advantage of that
$10 Prop - GB/SEA
Hass Over 21.5 Completions - without question, this is a pass FIRST offense; in a game, expected by many to go over the total, without any major weather considerations, both of these QB's will be chucking the rock; as stated earlier, all of his targets are healthy, he should have a big day
Driver Over 5.5 Receptions - in a play-off do or die atmosphere, expect Brett's favorite target to get his fair share today
Over 20.5 First Half - this WILL be an uptempo game, with loads of scoring; expect to only see the running game used heavily be the team leading late in the 4th to try and slow the game down
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Both of the above screwed by one game... sigh... tis the life in betting the OLG parlays. That being said, I get it back TODAY and then some:
Determined
3-18, 16% +$32.30
$50 Points Spread
Seattle +7.5 - with all of their receiving weapons healthy, the Seahawks could be a force for Green Bay's secondary to contend with; it's going to be a shoot-out, and Seattle's D is under-rated!
Jags +13.5 - I've said it all year, the only team that can rattle NE is Jacksonville. They embarassed Pitts 2x in the cold weather, and once with the field in terrible condition. NE's run D is susceptible to the run, and the Jags can, and will take full advantage of that
$10 Prop - GB/SEA
Hass Over 21.5 Completions - without question, this is a pass FIRST offense; in a game, expected by many to go over the total, without any major weather considerations, both of these QB's will be chucking the rock; as stated earlier, all of his targets are healthy, he should have a big day
Driver Over 5.5 Receptions - in a play-off do or die atmosphere, expect Brett's favorite target to get his fair share today
Over 20.5 First Half - this WILL be an uptempo game, with loads of scoring; expect to only see the running game used heavily be the team leading late in the 4th to try and slow the game down
Didn't make it to the store on time for the NC/NC State game... good thing too... inserted Miami-Florida for NC State... regardless, Vandy's getting eaten up so it probably won't matter!
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Didn't make it to the store on time for the NC/NC State game... good thing too... inserted Miami-Florida for NC State... regardless, Vandy's getting eaten up so it probably won't matter!
Changed my mind a bit when I got to the store about how this game is going to play out, as such, changed my ticket... hope I don't pay for it... early game play is as follows:
$40 Props
- Rivers OVER 18.5
- Tomlinson UNDER 86.5 yards
- Int's OVER 1.5
- Longest Pass UNDER 48.5
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Changed my mind a bit when I got to the store about how this game is going to play out, as such, changed my ticket... hope I don't pay for it... early game play is as follows:
Ha, got on a nasty losing streak there, and was -$235 at one point, but have rebounded nicely in the last couple of weeks and I think I'm marginally up now (maybe +$50). Got lucky a few times a long the way too. Hitting at about 20% of my tickets, or twice a week in the last 3 weeks, so i'm doing ok. I just don't get the opportunity to jump online and post whenever I make a ticket.
I have a $25, 3-game ticket still alive from last night:
-Islanders
-Cal/Dal UNDER 5.5
-Briere over Thornton This was actually mistake, scribbled the wrong number in, and now have to cheer for the Flyers?! SJ is struggling on the road right now (a rarity) so who knows!
I think i'll also be making a separate ticket with the following:
Ottawa - not great value, but I don't think Columbus can beat them at home
Ottawa/Columbus OVER 5.5 - a low total for two teams that can put the puck in the net
Montreal - Komisarek will be shadowing Malkin all over the place tonight; that line of Kovalev, Plekanec, and Kostitsyn is scary, and too much for the Pens to handle on this night at home
Xavier - a short price, but a ranked team at home, line sits at 10.5, i'll take my chance with them laying 6 on pro-line
0
Ha, got on a nasty losing streak there, and was -$235 at one point, but have rebounded nicely in the last couple of weeks and I think I'm marginally up now (maybe +$50). Got lucky a few times a long the way too. Hitting at about 20% of my tickets, or twice a week in the last 3 weeks, so i'm doing ok. I just don't get the opportunity to jump online and post whenever I make a ticket.
I have a $25, 3-game ticket still alive from last night:
-Islanders
-Cal/Dal UNDER 5.5
-Briere over Thornton This was actually mistake, scribbled the wrong number in, and now have to cheer for the Flyers?! SJ is struggling on the road right now (a rarity) so who knows!
I think i'll also be making a separate ticket with the following:
Ottawa - not great value, but I don't think Columbus can beat them at home
Ottawa/Columbus OVER 5.5 - a low total for two teams that can put the puck in the net
Montreal - Komisarek will be shadowing Malkin all over the place tonight; that line of Kovalev, Plekanec, and Kostitsyn is scary, and too much for the Pens to handle on this night at home
Xavier - a short price, but a ranked team at home, line sits at 10.5, i'll take my chance with them laying 6 on pro-line
(one was returned 20 yards!!)
This was actually mistake, scribbled the wrong number in, and now have to cheer for the Flyers?! SJ is struggling on the road right now (a rarity) so who knows!
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