World Cup Preview and First Round Game picks thread.....

That Denmark game was SOOOO lucky....

I cannot believe their defense - the worst of the tournament by any team - and somehow they won.

I have them to advance in a future, but I honestly cant see them beating Japan if they play the way they did today (or against the Dutch for that matter) - and I dont see how they will plug those holes in 5 days especially without Kjaer.

And I thought the Australia game was a heart attack....

Great Day

3-0 today, 10 wins in last 12 

Current Record 14-7
Up 27.48 units, Down 11.5 units
TOTAL - Up +15.98 units

Previous games...

1.  SA / Mex over 2 -122 (1.5 units) -  PUSH
2.  Uruguay +.5 -109 (2 units) - WIN
3.  SK / Greec under 2 -103 (2 units) and 0-0 at +600 (.5 unit) - PUSH (lose .5 unit)
4.  Argentina -200 (2 units to win 1 unit) - WIN
5.  USA / Eng over 2.5 +105 (2.5 units) - LOSS
6.  SLV / ALG - no bet
7.  Serbia +116 (2 units) - LOSS
8.  Australia +1 +106 (1 unit) - LOSS
9.  Netherlands -180 (1 unit) - WIN
10.  Cameroon +112 (.5 unit) - LOSS
11.  Paraguay +.5 (2.5 units) - WIN
12.  Slovakia -.5 -200 (risked 1 unit) - LOSS
13.  Ivory Coast / PTGL - no bet
14.  Bzl / NK - no bet
15.  Chile (2 units) - WIN
16.  Switz +1.5 (.5 unit) - WIN
17.  Uruguay PK -140 (5 units) - WIN
18.  Arg / SK over +108 (1 unit) - WIN
19.  Greece +.5 (2 units) - WIN
20.  France +138 (3 units) - LOSS
21.  Serbia +.5 +140 (1 unit) - WIN
22.  Slovenia +.5 -116 (1unit) - WIN
23.  Eng / Alg over 2.5 +108 (1 unit) - LOSS
24.  Netherlands -200 (2 units) - WIN
25.  Australia +.5 -112 (3 units) - WIN
26.  Denmark PK -122 (3 units) - WIN

Futures...

1.  Uruguay to advance +110 (2 units)
2.  Uruguay to win group A +400 (.5 unit)
3.  Argentina to win group B -220 (2 units)
4.  Nigeria NOT to advance -118 (2 units)
5.  England to win group C -320 (2 units)
6.  USA NOT to advance +112 (3 units)
7.  Serbia to win group D +330 (.5 unit)
8.  Germany NOT to advance +387 (.5 unit)
9.  Netherlands to win group E -145 (4 units)
10.  Denmark to advance +105 (1 unit)
11.  Japan zero points +360 (1 unit) - LOSS
12.  Paraguay win group F +340 (1.5 units)
13.  NZ no poings +100 (1 unit) - SICK LOSS
14.  Portugal to advane -110 (1.5 units)
15.  NK zero points -140 (2 units)
16.  Switz to advance +160 (1 unit)
17.  Argentina to win tournament +725 (6 units risked)
18.  Argentina / Neth final +3300 (.5 unit)
19.  No african team to advance +1200 (1 unit)
20.  No african team qtr finals +165 (2 units)

Sunday June 20

27.  Paraguay / Slovakia - Paraguay +112 (3 units) - All things point to Paraguay here for me - the devastating way Slovakia dropped points to New Zealand at the death - along with a Paraguayan team that must be feeling very good about themselves after holding the world champs to a draw.  There is talk that Roque Santa Cruz might start, and Cordozo is ready too.  Marek Hamsik will see much of the same close marking and frustration he found against NZ in Paraguay - and Paraguay will wear down Slovakia - a team that is desperate for a win and will not settle for a draw here with Italy on deck - which will open them up at the back.  Only worry here is that Paraguay would probably be happy with a draw. Predicted Final score - Paraguay 2-0.

28.  Italy / New Zealand - No Bet - I dont see much to bet here - I thought about a small play on Italy -1.5 but I came to my senses.  Buffon is definitely out, and Italy love to play in 1 goal games - I just cant see them not winning here - but by how much?  Predicted final score - Italy 2-0.

29.  Brazil / Ivory Coast - Ivory Coast +.5 +130 (.5 unit) - This is a straight value play - just think this price is a little high.  Im not sure Brazil is clicking yet, and if the IC plays a full 90 they might just hold them here.  The scary part is that I think the IC would be happy with a 1 goal loss - as they really are battling it out with Portugal for the 2nd spot and might have to beat them on goal differential - so just a mini bet for me - and I wouldnt bet this any lower than about +120 or so.  Predicted final score - Brazil 1 IC 1.

GL all

Thx for sharing your picks VZ

GL the rest of the WC

awesome job Van!  fantastic picks and analysis

Good job Sir! 

Hey Van my book is offering me Paraguay +112 on the ML, but also +120 -.5. Am I missing something here? Should I not just take them -.5 and get the extra take back? Taking them ML is basically taking them -.5 anway, no? Great work so far

A Piatkowski sighting


Nice JB Van

FANTASTIC VAN!!!!!!!!

    CONGRATS AND GOOOOD LUCK SUNDAY!!!

Outstanding day of handicapping, vanzack! 

Awesome stuff. Well done.

Solid Day

3-0 today, 10 wins in last 12

...Should be a nice year on that Goliath you call a boat....

Great job, You are making the WC fun. Thanks!!

Nice job.  Looks like Netherlands ML was the play but I'll take the push although they had a couple of great chances in the 2nd half.  They look good to win their group though.

unbelievable, outstanding, ToyPro said it best, you are making this awful fun, thank you Van......

I have no problem slobberin all over your knob with the coin I am up.......

 

.....    knob slobbin.....

Slob kabob

Nice work

Hey van just wanted to say thanks for the winners, been following you the last couple of days and have gone for 4-0

Knock on wood you will be calling the scores next.

Keep it sharp.

You gotta love it...I just looked at Euro 2012...Poland and Ukraine.  Than Brasil.

new zealand that bad with no buffon and an older italy team?