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    All Forums | Soccer

    Soccer, Money & Wisdom

    «First Previous 123 ... 8910
    Mezzi
    jimc0911
    Twentysixblack
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 5408
    Posts: 239
    «First Previous 123 ... 8910
     
    Mezzi
    Mezzi
    Banned
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    Joined: Jul, 2020
    Posts: 150
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2020 - 8:25 AM ET #226

    Quote Originally Posted by Lyon_Juninho:

    I think many bettors are blinded by 'greed' Let me explain, do odds of 2.00 really hold value? It's the bookie playing mind games with you. They WANT you to take those 2.00 odds. They certainly don't want bettors taking low risk, low rewards odds. You see what i'm saying here?

    Hello!

    I do see what you are saying.  There IS value at + odds, of course.  Think futures.  + odds hit all the time, and, - 1000 lose quite frequently too.  But. Its about playing the -1000 odd at the right time, in the right circumstances. 

    "He belongs in the Vampire Hall of Fame, because he always draws blood."
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Lyon_Juninho:

    I think many bettors are blinded by 'greed' Let me explain, do odds of 2.00 really hold value? It's the bookie playing mind games with you. They WANT you to take those 2.00 odds. They certainly don't want bettors taking low risk, low rewards odds. You see what i'm saying here?

    Hello!

    I do see what you are saying.  There IS value at + odds, of course.  Think futures.  + odds hit all the time, and, - 1000 lose quite frequently too.  But. Its about playing the -1000 odd at the right time, in the right circumstances. 

     
    Mezzi
    Mezzi
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    Posts: 150
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2020 - 8:26 AM ET #227

    Quote Originally Posted by jimc0911:

    GOOD MORNING FRAUD! IT'S NICE TO SEE YOU HAD TO CREATE ANOTHER ACCOUNT TO TALK TO YOURSELF. THAT WILL GET YOU BANNED REALLY QUICK! ENJOY YOUR FAKE WINNING...YOU WILL BE GONE SOON.

    Hello Jim,

    I'm not sure what you are talking about, I only have this account!

    Cheers my friend.  

    "He belongs in the Vampire Hall of Fame, because he always draws blood."
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by jimc0911:

    GOOD MORNING FRAUD! IT'S NICE TO SEE YOU HAD TO CREATE ANOTHER ACCOUNT TO TALK TO YOURSELF. THAT WILL GET YOU BANNED REALLY QUICK! ENJOY YOUR FAKE WINNING...YOU WILL BE GONE SOON.

    Hello Jim,

    I'm not sure what you are talking about, I only have this account!

    Cheers my friend.  

     
    jimc0911
    jimc0911
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2009
    Posts: 79694
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2020 - 8:41 AM ET #228

    YOUR BUDDY GOT BANNED....YOU WILL JOIN HIM SOON.

    peace_5

    "Bet the farm!" "GO WHERE THE MONEY IS!"
    Reply

    YOUR BUDDY GOT BANNED....YOU WILL JOIN HIM SOON.

    peace_5

     
    Twentysixblack
    Twentysixblack
    All-Star
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2014
    Posts: 10389
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2020 - 10:28 AM ET #229

    Quote Originally Posted by Mezzi:

    PART I:  Understanding "Juiced Odds" - Paying a Premium For Time ~ CONTINUED DUE TO CHARACTER LIMIT OF 4,000     An experienced bettor, with a large bankroll - can win a substantial amount of money (accumulated through 95%+ winning percentages) by picking these spots and paying for "less to go wrong" in the remaining time on the clock.  This - is the general premise - and one that I hope to illustrate to you all in documenting plays.

     

    When will you be posting part 2 of this?

     

    The soccer forums voice of reason. Obsessed.
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Mezzi:

    PART I:  Understanding "Juiced Odds" - Paying a Premium For Time ~ CONTINUED DUE TO CHARACTER LIMIT OF 4,000     An experienced bettor, with a large bankroll - can win a substantial amount of money (accumulated through 95%+ winning percentages) by picking these spots and paying for "less to go wrong" in the remaining time on the clock.  This - is the general premise - and one that I hope to illustrate to you all in documenting plays.

     

    When will you be posting part 2 of this?

     

     
    Mezzi
    Mezzi
    Banned
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    Joined: Jul, 2020
    Posts: 150
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2020 - 11:16 AM ET #230

    Quote Originally Posted by Twentysixblack:

    Quote Originally Posted by Mezzi: PART I:  Understanding "Juiced Odds" - Paying a Premium For Time ~ CONTINUED DUE TO CHARACTER LIMIT OF 4,000     An experienced bettor, with a large bankroll - can win a substantial amount of money (accumulated through 95%+ winning percentages) by picking these spots and paying for "less to go wrong" in the remaining time on the clock.  This - is the general premise - and one that I hope to illustrate to you all in documenting plays.   When will you be posting part 2 of this?

    Good morning!

    I likely will have more time to write during work week days at some point.  I'm a bit less active on weekends!  

    There's obviously a lot more to say on this topic and discuss some of the finer points.

    That said, hopefully my plays over this week have illustrated this theory.  Absent that 1 PSG loss (which was me pushing and extending myself unnecessarily, and was a mistake on my part, I would have been up 30.  

    "He belongs in the Vampire Hall of Fame, because he always draws blood."
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Twentysixblack:

    Quote Originally Posted by Mezzi: PART I:  Understanding "Juiced Odds" - Paying a Premium For Time ~ CONTINUED DUE TO CHARACTER LIMIT OF 4,000     An experienced bettor, with a large bankroll - can win a substantial amount of money (accumulated through 95%+ winning percentages) by picking these spots and paying for "less to go wrong" in the remaining time on the clock.  This - is the general premise - and one that I hope to illustrate to you all in documenting plays.   When will you be posting part 2 of this?

    Good morning!

    I likely will have more time to write during work week days at some point.  I'm a bit less active on weekends!  

    There's obviously a lot more to say on this topic and discuss some of the finer points.

    That said, hopefully my plays over this week have illustrated this theory.  Absent that 1 PSG loss (which was me pushing and extending myself unnecessarily, and was a mistake on my part, I would have been up 30.  

     
    Mezzi
    Mezzi
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    Posts: 150
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2020 - 1:39 PM ET #231

    Keeping an eye on the 0-0 mexico match right now.

    "He belongs in the Vampire Hall of Fame, because he always draws blood."
    Reply

    Keeping an eye on the 0-0 mexico match right now.

     
    Mezzi
    Mezzi
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    Posts: 150
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2020 - 2:37 PM ET #232

    Mexico Match, its 2-2 get ready for a play on Under in next 3- 5 min.  Either Under 5.5 or Under 5

    "He belongs in the Vampire Hall of Fame, because he always draws blood."
    Reply

    Mexico Match, its 2-2 get ready for a play on Under in next 3- 5 min.  Either Under 5.5 or Under 5

     
    Mezzi
    Mezzi
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    Posted: Aug. 16, 2020 - 2:43 PM ET #233

    Toluca v. Tigres, scored 2-2 now.  

    Locked in Under 5.5 @ - 1458 

     

    29,160 to win 2000

     

     

    "He belongs in the Vampire Hall of Fame, because he always draws blood."
    Reply

    Toluca v. Tigres, scored 2-2 now.  

    Locked in Under 5.5 @ - 1458 

     

    29,160 to win 2000

     

     

     
    Mezzi
    Mezzi
    Banned
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    Posts: 150
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2020 - 2:59 PM ET #234

    Quote Originally Posted by Mezzi:

    Toluca v. Tigres, scored 2-2 now.   Locked in Under 5.5 @ - 1458    29,160 to win 2000

    Red card, which was overturned on VAR in 85th certainly could have put this wager at risk, but, you cannot plan or predict for Red Cards, Penalties and fluke mistake goals wheb making these wagers.  This match, which ended 3-2, also shows to demonstrate why the Under 5 or Under 5.5 provided me with either a cushion push if I took U5, and obviously a win, with Under 5.5.  I prefer these Buffer cushions because instead of living on the edge where 1 goal would have lost the match, i am making the teams score 2 goals on me to lose it.  

    Again, paying a premium for time and probably of 2 goals being scored, in a match that I've eyed and keyed in on as likely not getting any more goals, especially 2 goals from ooen play, to beat me.

    Solid win, of $2,000 heading into Europa League Semi.

    Also, I think from now on wheb I place wager, so I can place it more in real time and communicate it, i will do following. 

    Match, locked @ odds, and Win Amount.  Its less to type out and you can extrapolate my risk amount yourselves by calculating odds, which would be easy because I usually risk to win even amounts like 500, 1000, 2000.  

    moneybag

    27 - 1 - 3 [] + $17,000.00

    "He belongs in the Vampire Hall of Fame, because he always draws blood."
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Mezzi:

    Toluca v. Tigres, scored 2-2 now.   Locked in Under 5.5 @ - 1458    29,160 to win 2000

    Red card, which was overturned on VAR in 85th certainly could have put this wager at risk, but, you cannot plan or predict for Red Cards, Penalties and fluke mistake goals wheb making these wagers.  This match, which ended 3-2, also shows to demonstrate why the Under 5 or Under 5.5 provided me with either a cushion push if I took U5, and obviously a win, with Under 5.5.  I prefer these Buffer cushions because instead of living on the edge where 1 goal would have lost the match, i am making the teams score 2 goals on me to lose it.  

    Again, paying a premium for time and probably of 2 goals being scored, in a match that I've eyed and keyed in on as likely not getting any more goals, especially 2 goals from ooen play, to beat me.

    Solid win, of $2,000 heading into Europa League Semi.

    Also, I think from now on wheb I place wager, so I can place it more in real time and communicate it, i will do following. 

    Match, locked @ odds, and Win Amount.  Its less to type out and you can extrapolate my risk amount yourselves by calculating odds, which would be easy because I usually risk to win even amounts like 500, 1000, 2000.  

    moneybag

    27 - 1 - 3 [] + $17,000.00

     
    Mezzi
    Mezzi
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    Posts: 150
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2020 - 3:09 PM ET #235

    Felix Brych is a well known ref for awarding many penalties.  

    I've been burned on him over the years, for me as an Under guy, it always gives me pause for concern when I see him officiating a match.

    Early MU goal here.... let's see how this transpires.

    "He belongs in the Vampire Hall of Fame, because he always draws blood."
    Reply

    Felix Brych is a well known ref for awarding many penalties.  

    I've been burned on him over the years, for me as an Under guy, it always gives me pause for concern when I see him officiating a match.

    Early MU goal here.... let's see how this transpires.

     
    Mezzi
    Mezzi
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    Posts: 150
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2020 - 3:22 PM ET #236

    Man U match

    Locked 1st Half  Under 3 @ -3333 in 22nd min.

    33,333 to win 1,000 

    "He belongs in the Vampire Hall of Fame, because he always draws blood."
    Reply

    Man U match

    Locked 1st Half  Under 3 @ -3333 in 22nd min.

    33,333 to win 1,000 

     
    Mezzi
    Mezzi
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    Posts: 150
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2020 - 3:29 PM ET #237

    an_eek2 1-1 30th minute.  2 goals to beat me in next 15 minutes.

    Won't lie, this will be tough to stomach a 33K loss.

    "He belongs in the Vampire Hall of Fame, because he always draws blood."
    Reply

    an_eek2 1-1 30th minute.  2 goals to beat me in next 15 minutes.

    Won't lie, this will be tough to stomach a 33K loss.

     
    jimc0911
    jimc0911
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2009
    Posts: 79694
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2020 - 3:44 PM ET #238

    THE FRAUD MIGHT LOSE $33K IN FAKE MONEY!

    HE WILL PROBABLY "WIN" AND COLLECT $1K IN FAKE MONEY, THOUGH.

    HAVE YOU CHANGED ANY PLAYS TODAY?

    HAVE YOU COME UP WITH ANY NEW ACCOUNTS TO TALK TO?

    paint_help

    "Bet the farm!" "GO WHERE THE MONEY IS!"
    Reply

    THE FRAUD MIGHT LOSE $33K IN FAKE MONEY!

    HE WILL PROBABLY "WIN" AND COLLECT $1K IN FAKE MONEY, THOUGH.

    HAVE YOU CHANGED ANY PLAYS TODAY?

    HAVE YOU COME UP WITH ANY NEW ACCOUNTS TO TALK TO?

    paint_help

     
     
    Mezzi
    Mezzi
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    Posts: 150
    Posted: Aug. 16, 2020 - 3:53 PM ET #239

    Quote Originally Posted by Mezzi:

    Man U match Locked 1st Half  Under 3 @ -3333 in 22nd min. 33,333 to win 1,000

    moneybag

    28 - 1 - 3 [] + $18,000.00

    "He belongs in the Vampire Hall of Fame, because he always draws blood."
    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Mezzi:

    Man U match Locked 1st Half  Under 3 @ -3333 in 22nd min. 33,333 to win 1,000

    moneybag

    28 - 1 - 3 [] + $18,000.00

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