Been working at this for about 2-3 months now, and i feel confident with posting POTD plays. *Note, these will be parlays AND will be for the next day*
3 leg parlay, -133 odds (My parlays usually range from +120 to -115, but because the slate for tomorrow is small, these were the only games I liked)
1. AL Ahly VS National bank of Egypt Sc O 1.5 FT
2. Reynir Sandgerdi VS KF Austfjardja O 0.5 HT
3. UMF Selfoss VS Vikingur Olafsvik O 0.5 HT
Lets get into the stats!!
Game 1
AL Ahly current sits top in the Egyptian Premier league table with an 82% win rate, amazing 65 Goals scored, 24 goals against, and an overall Goal differential of +41. They have played 28 matches so far this season and have an overall 96% success rate to hit over 0.5FT, 82% success rate to hit over 1.5 FT, and 71% success rate to hit over 2.5%FT. Additionally, they are currently on an impressive 17 run win streak. For tomorrows game Al Ahly plays home, when looking at their games at home, they have even a more impressive success rate of hitting over 1.5 FT at 92%, in their past 6 home games they have hit the over every time. Now for Bank of Egypt, they currently sit in 12th out of 18th place, have a 29% win rate and goal differential of +2. When looking further, they have an overall 94% success rate to hit over 0.5FT, 71% success rate to hit over 1.5 FT, and 52% success rate to hit over 2.5%FT. Additionally, when we looking deeper into their stats, when Bank of Egypt plays away, they have a 73% success rate of hitting over 1.5 FT. In their previous 6 away games they have hit the over 1.5FT only 50% of the time, HOWEVER, these 3 games where the over did not hit, all 3 of these teams have an average goal per game unit this season that is below 3, while AL Ahly sits impressively with an average goal per game unit this season at 3.18. Looking for AL Ahly to get this done for us.
Game 2
Reynir S will be hosting KF tomorrow and this game has the potential to be a high scoring game, so that is why I like the O0.5 HT. When looking at stats, Reynir S at home has a successful rate of 71% to hit O 0.5HT, and could see these goals possibly being scored either early in the half or late in the half, which is where most of these goals have come. When looking at their past 10 games they have hit the O 0.5HT in 9 games, out of these 10 games, 5 of them have been home games for Reynir S, and the O 0.5HT has hit during 4 of these home games. Now for KF, they currently sit in 3 place in the 2. Delid table. They have played 14 games so far this season and have hit the over 0.5HT in ALL of their games. I believe this is enough to back up the O0.5HT play, but to add more safety, Reynir currently has the most goals scored against them out of all the teams with 39 goals scored against them, meaning their defense is susceptible to being scored on, lets back up KF to get the job done.
Game 3
Selfoss hosts UMF vikingur tomorrow and this is another scenario where i like the O0.5HT. Selfoss has an 86% success rate of hitting the O0.5HT at home, and in their previous 5 home games, selfoss has hit the O0.5HT in all 5 games. Now for UMF, when looking at their stats, they have an average success rate of hitting the O0.5HT 89% of the time, but when looking at their away game stats, they have a 100% success rate of hitting the O0.5HT. I like the stats for this play and how both teams have been playing recently.
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