Italy v Turkey
Turkey are the second youngest side in the tournament, they can give you great results such as beating the Netherlands and drawing Germany or they can stink it up like losing to Hungary and drawing with Latvia. I think knowing they will have their last 2 games in Baku (almost home) they will play not to lose in Rome. Turkeys last 4 opponents have been very poor sides Latvia #128 Azerbaijan #110 Guinea #72 & Moldova #177. Italy will be ready their past 8 results have been all wins & all clean sheets. In fact 14 of their past 17 games they kept a clean sheet. All one has to do is look at their 3 WC qualifiers for their MO, 2-0 results in all 3 games. There is no value on the ML but I do like;
1. Italy win to NIL @ 2.25/+125 (1U) Bet365
Switzerland v Wales
The Swiss are very strong at the back. Petkovic is a defensive minded manager. In the past 13 games the Swiss have only allowed 16 and half of those were to Germany, Spain & Belgium. Wales on the other hand in their past 13 games have only managed to score 10 goals. The Swiss know that if there is any attack its going to go through Gareth Bale and he is on the wrong side of 30. This game will be played in the afternoon heat of Baku. The conditions will not be beneficial to ether side and I see a cagey affair with a score line of 0-0 or 1-0 to the Swiss. I am leaning on HT/FT Draw Draw @ 4.75/+375 but for now two plays for me from this match;
2. Wales/Switzerland to DRAW @ 3.10/+210 (1U) Bet365
3. Wales/Switzerland UNDER 1.5 @ 2.75/+175 (1u) Bet365
Denmark v Finland
Of all the opening games in this tournament this one has the potential to get ugly. Denmark will be playing at home in Copenhagen coming into this game undefeated in the past 28 games aside from 2 loses to Belgium. Finland are winless in their past 6 including loses to Wales, Switzerland, Sweden and even Estonia. These sides have not met head to head in a while, but looking at their results versus teams they faced. Versus Bosnia, Denmark wins 2-0 Finland ties 2-2. Versus Sweden, Denmark wins 2-0 Finland loses 2-0. There is no value on the ML & I was leaning on anytime goalscorer Eriksen but for now since Denmark have 13 wins of 2 goals plus I'm taking;
4. Denmark -1 @ 1.91/-110 (1u) Bet365
5. Denmark HT/FT DEN/DEN @ 2.37/+137 Bet365
Belgium v Russia
The last game on Saturday will take place in St. Petersburg to a pro Russia crowd. The last 2 times these two sides met were both victories for Belgium 3-1 & 4-1. Russia is poor at the back having only one clean sheet in the past 7 games. Belgium since 2019 average 3.17 goals per game with a record of 19W 3D 1L in comparison to Russia who are 2W 4L 4D recently. Belgium have the oldest & most experienced squad at the Euros so it is basically now or never for the golden generation. Belgium in their past 30 games have scored at least once & in 23 of those games 2 or more. I am leaning on BTTS Yes, but I like this pair better;
6. Belgium Team Total Goals OVER 1.5 @ 1.91/-110 (2u) Bet365
7. Belgium -1 @ 2.30/+130 (1u) Bet365
Denmark Team Total OVER 1.5 seems like a logical additional wager. 2 goals seems reasonable and the line is -125. -1 wager needs 2 goals, 13 wins of 2 goals... just sayin'! 
England v Croatia
England has a chance here to avenge their World cup extra time loss to Croatia in the semis back in 2018. The game is in London and the last time these two sides met, England won 2-1 in the Nations league. Form wise England come into the game winners of 6 straight, while only giving up one goal in that stretch to Poland. England's last 16 home games, 15 wins and only one loss to Denmark. Croatia on the other hand away from home recently have a record of 2W 4D 9L. Croatia are in decline, the three lions have too much quality England wins this easy. Harry Kane has scored an England record 10 PK's in international play. He also scored in that 2-1 win vs Croatia their last meeting so lets try;
8. Harry Kane to score anytime @ 2.38/+138 (1u) Bet365
9. England ML @ 1.80/-125 (2u) Bet365
@DiamondJack
England took a decent 4th place at the 2018 world cup in Russia and is now more mature and with luxury reinforcements. He plays in his legendary Wembley and has players like Harry Kane, Marcus Rashford or Sterling in his ranks.
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