Denmark V England
All of England is on their side and there is zero value backing them here. The last time these sides met last year at Wembley Denmark won 1-0, the reverse fixture was a 0-0 draw in Denmark. England come into the match having kept 7 straight clean sheets. I see a 0-0 or 1-1 scoreline heading into extra time. Since there is no value on the under the 2.5 total, I'll play
93. Denmark +0.5 @ 2.24/+124 (2u) Pinnacle
Italy v England
I will be backing Italy Big, but I think the prices/odds will get better close to kick off. I will be hunting for some props as well, after all the passionate English backers skew the odds. I'm holding off to get good value and watching the opening lines now, you can tell the books will be hurting for some Italy action come game time.
@DiamondJack
I have been tailing you for major tournaments for several years now, and have never commented, so here i go… i want to thank you for taking time out of your day and posting your picks for all matches. You have helped me greatly, and i appreciate you.
I tailed your future pick on Italy for large, you grabbed em at such a great price at 11/1, you are not thinking of hedging out and protecting some of those profits? I on the other hand have no clue what to to, let it be or hedge.. thanks for your insight again.
@Mac005
Thanks for the kind words.
I have never been a big fan of hedging your bets. It is like betting against yourself. If it makes you happy to lock in a certain amount go ahead. If you placed a really big bet that is going to cause you to lose sleep definitely hedge out or at least lock in what you put down.Just remember its not the bets you hedged that you will remember its the ones that won outright
@DiamondJack
What makes you so confident in Italy? They could barely keep possession vs Spain and were lucky to advance.
England’s looked like the best team the whole tournament and the game’s in Wembly.
I wonder if Southgate starts Grealish instead of Mason Mount but we”ll see.
I’m curious to hear your tactical thoughts on why you favor Italy over this suffocating English defense.
Italy v England
The most telling stat that everyone should know is that in the past 15 games for both sides Italy & England have kept 11 clean sheets. Yep there is a 73% chance of 0-0 in regulation as both sides will play not to lose first. The last 2 head to head meetings have both ended in 1-1 ties. The Spinazzola injury is going to hurt Italy but the tie breaker for me here is that Mancini is a better manager then Southgate. I really wanted the odds to get to ITA +250 on the ML but it seems that in unlikely. There is no value on the under. I'm thinking 0-0, Italy wins in ET or Pk's and since I already have a future on Italy to win it all;
94. Italy/England to DRAW @ 3.10/+210 (1u) Marathon
95. CS 0-0 @ 6.50/+550 (1/2 u) Bet365
96. 1st Half result DRAW @ 1.90/-111 (1u) Bet365
barney---
paletta---
ayo---Mancini is a better manager/tactician then Southgate, also there will be no pressure on Italy. All the pressure will be on England in front of their fans not to screw it up. England just like their manager lose in ET or kicks with Kane or Stirling missing a PK.
Established in 1995,
BOL DJ and great job!
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