Posted:
#26
No Sergio Ramos, crazy....
CPL XIX Winner. Punter. Scotch lover. Big Man.
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Euro 2020 Preview/Futures/Picks
Posted:
#29
Sweden
They are without Ibrahimovic who is injured, which leaves 34 year old Berg as the main attacking man up front. Granqvist is in the squad despite being injured. They will battle it out with Poland for second but Lewandowski breaks that tie & Poland finishes ahead of Sweden. Form wise Sweden 11 wins 8 loses and 4 loses since 2019 including a 3-0 loss in Spain to Spain. Sweden should qualify but that is as far as they will go in the tournament. I am trying to find a prop on them to finish 3rd but no book has that offered.
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Posted:
#30
Poland
Poland play Sweden in the last match of the group stage so that could be a case of get a point each to qualify with 4 if you can take care of business versus Slovakia. Poland had a decent run last Euros reaching the quarter finals before going out on PK's to eventual winner Portugal. With FIFA player of the year Lewandowski along with Milik, Linetty & Zielinski there is no shortage of firepower. There is the unknown factor in their manager Paulo Sousa who has only been at the helm for 3 games. The 2nd place team in this group plays the second place team in Englands weak group so I'm betting
11. Poland to reach the QF @ 3.25/+225 (1 Unit) WillHill
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Posted:
#31
Slovakia
The Slovaks come into the Euros after winning a playoff versus Northern Ireland. Marek Hamsik in not the same anymore at 33 and their star is a CB from Inter Milan Skriniar. I am not impressed by draws versus Cyprus & Malta in World cup qualification in March. There is no value backing them to finish bottom. I fully expect them to try to park the bus. A 9-7-4 record since 2019 also does not impress. If i was not worried about Sweden I would have bet exact team points Slovakia zero @ 3.50/+250.
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Posted:
#32
Group F
There have been so called groups of death before, but nothing comes close to this group that contain 3 contenders which include the past 3 major tournament winners. France last world cup 2018, Portugal last Euro 2016 & Germany the second last world cup 2014. One has to feel for the 4th team Hungary who will try to play the spoiler.
1. France 2-0-1 2-1 6
2. Portugal 1-2-0 3-2 5
3. Germany 1-1-1 3-3 4
4. Hungary 0-1-2 2-4 1
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Posted:
#33
Germany
Germany are slight favorites ahead of France to top the group. J Low is going to be gone after the Euros being replaced by Flick, and its hard to say whether the manager wants to leave on a high or he just could not care less. Germany will benefit from having three of their games at home. I am concerned with some recent suspect results such as a 6-0 loss to Spain and most recently a 2-1 defeat to North Macedonia. There is zero value odds wise backing Germany. I expect them to qualify but I do not see them winning the trophy.
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DJ-great writeup--taking Belgium in Group B--agree Spain should cruise initially until they get out of the group--hard to see Spain with no Real players!? staying away from the Group of Death lol...looking forward to it!
Posted:
#36
France
The second contender in this group and the reigning World Cup champions are my pick to top this group. They won versus Portugal 1-0 back in November & they also defeated Germany in 2018 2-1 both in the Nations league. You can get +170 for France to top the group. I will however wait after their opening fixture vs Germany in Munich in which they are underdogs to pull the trigger. Everyone knows they are solid up front with the likes of Mbappe, Griezmann, Benzema & Giroud but I think their captain goalkeeper Hugo Lloris is not as good as Mike Maignon from Lille but I guess he has the "experience".
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Posted:
#37
Portugal
The last of the trio of contenders are the defending champions who will try to do what only the Spanish were able to do and repeat as champions in 2008/2012. Christiano Ronaldo is 36 and there are of course questions of whether or not he still has the old magic. Form wise since 2019 Portugal have only lost twice, once to the Ukraine & to France. The last time they played Hungary it was a 3-3 result at the last Euros. I have them coming in 3rd largely do to the fact they will play in Budapest to a full pro Hungarian crowd & versus Germany in Munich. The odds backing Portugal have shortened from 16-1 to 8-1, no play from me as of yet.
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Posted:
#40
Hungary
Finishing off the group are the unfortunate Hungarians that have been basically written off by the books. If Hungary are to do anything their Leipzig trio of Orban, Gulasci & Szoboselai will have to be in form as they are the spine of this side. Form wise Hungary come into the tournament unbeaten in their past 9 games, including wins versus the likes of Croatia & Turkey. Their first 2 games will be at home in Budapest to the only full house stadium at the Euros. The 2 games are versus Portugal & France and I do fancy them to get a result in one of them so;
12. Hungary total points 1 @ 3.25/+225 (1 Unit) Bet365
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Posted:
#49
Summing up my dozen futures, all for 1 unit
1. Italy to win Euro 2020 @ 12.00/+1100
2. Group forecast 1. ITA 2. TUR @ 3.60/+260
3. Wales to finish bottom @ 2.25/+125
4. Immobile Top Scorer @ 21.00/+2000
5. Belgium to win Group B @ 1.72/-139
6. Group forecast 1. BEL 2. DEN @ 2.87/+187
7. Highest scoring team Belgium @ 2.87/+187
8. Finland exact points 0 @ 3.00/+200
9. North Macedonia exact points 1 @ 3.40/+240
10. Scotland to qualify @ 2.50/+150
11. Poland to reach QF @ 3.25/+225
12. Hungary exact points 1 @ 3.25/+225
2
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