Ecuador vs Germany Match Day 3 - Group E

Germany has won the group, not much to play for. Ecuador, finishing ahead of Colombia and Brazil in the CONMEBOL qualifiers has an outside longshot of getting a 3rd place bid in this group.

I really wanted this match to be meaningful for Germany, difference between 1st or 2nd place vs Ecuador and thought that Valencia and Ecuador's attack could cover a +1½.

Also thought that in a more meaningful match - Ecuador would be EV or +/-120  getting +1½ goals, due to Germany being such a Wold Cup luminary there would be great value on the other side.

But the circumstances are such and this once circled match a few months ago is now off my radar. 

How does Germany approach this match? Thoughts from anyone who follows Germany? 

Germany will win moneyline but won't cover the spread imo 

There was some talk before the match vs Ivory coast that Germany does not want to win the group because the winner of group E will play vs the winner of group I

in the round of 16 which should be France. Really tough draw for R16. Now they can not avoid spot E1, France could lose to Norway maybe. About the Ecuador match i expect Germany to play with a mixed squad and rest some players. I think it is still early to make a bet and the odds on Ecuador are too short imo, they need the 3pts while Germany does not but they failed to score a single goal til now..  

Ecuador's Valencia created a lot of space and had quality shots on goal (4?) vs Curacao despite the final score. 

I guess I'm trying to find an angle to take the +1½ and there really isn't one