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Week 8 lines

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Posts: 19

Luckylunchbox

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2012

Posts: 5945

Posted: Apr. 29, 2013 - 11:17 PM ET #1

From centrebet

Brisbane

Souths -4

Dogs -12

Tigers

Storm -14

Canberra

Eels

Cowboys -7.5

Warriors -6

Titans

Knights -8.5

Sharks

Roosters -14.5

Penrith

Saints

Manly -6

Already took souths -4 for 1.5 Units, other lines i like are Manly, Canberra and warriors

MacDrews

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 368

Posted: Apr. 30, 2013 - 12:46 AM ET #2

I like the Souths (But dont think Broncs will play as bad as they did against Tigers). Also like Manly and Dogs line also.

HeadOverHeart

Hall of Fame

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 22502

Posted: Apr. 30, 2013 - 2:09 AM ET #3

Cowboys should win that. Eels are awful. Gotta check the record h2h and venue stats though....

snake2710

MVP

Joined: Oct, 2010

Posts: 15753

Posted: Apr. 30, 2013 - 5:23 PM ET #4

Souths were -2.5 opening at BET365 and already at -3.5, i see that line reaching 6 by game time friday night.

Public will hammer souths and i think even this early out Broncos have the value at home.

Radiers line should move some more and will be liking that line a lot as well. Yes they got pumpd by cowboys but just like the warriors the Storm always battle with the raiders style of footy

MacDrews

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 368

Posted: Apr. 30, 2013 - 7:49 PM ET #5

Agree with what you've said here snake..

Luckylunchbox

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2012

Posts: 5945

Posted: Apr. 30, 2013 - 10:31 PM ET #6

Quote Originally Posted by snake2710:

Souths were -2.5 opening at BET365 and already at -3.5, i see that line reaching 6 by game time friday night.

Public will hammer souths and i think even this early out Broncos have the value at home.

Radiers line should move some more and will be liking that line a lot as well. Yes they got pumpd by cowboys but just like the warriors the Storm always battle with the raiders style of footy

I think souths are the bet of the year, They are so far superior..Brisbane attack is one dimensional i just can't see them troubling souths. I know brisbane will win the penalty count but can't see that being enough. The only thing that stopped me going really large is the chance souths might have a let down after such a physical encounter last week

snake2710

MVP

Joined: Oct, 2010

Posts: 15753

Posted: May. 1, 2013 - 12:23 AM ET #7

Yea that is a possible ocurance in this clash and the Broncos did have a poor game last week, now back at home on there normal friday night i expect big things from them.

Also keep in mind that the Broncos played a lot better against the storm than the bunnies did and both of those games were played in recent time

Rostos

Hall of Fame

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 27785

Posted: May. 1, 2013 - 2:03 AM ET #8

I am not sure about Souths. They have had 2 weeks in a row of high intensity / emotional games......Melbourne and Manly. Last week was a real bruiser. There ball control in these last games, especially in the first half has been nothing short of superb. They had only 1 dropped ball in the first half against the Storm and last week was similar.

Will they be up for it again? Broncs are good on Friday night at home and they are at full strength .

Apart from that, nothing else really stands out this weekend. The lines look about right.

Luckylunchbox

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2012

Posts: 5945

Posted: May. 1, 2013 - 2:16 AM ET #9

The score line in the brisbane/storm match is a myth, refs did everything they could to get brisbane back in that game. Fatigue is my only concern.

Souths spine: Inglis, Sutton, Reynolds, Luke

Brisbane: Norman, Prince, Wallace, McCullough

line is just wrong

Rostos

Hall of Fame

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 27785

Posted: May. 1, 2013 - 5:03 AM ET #10

Yes, but you are making the assumption that Souths are going to play with the same enthusiasm, motivation and discipline for 3 weeks in a row...

They have had 2 GF type games in 2 weeks.....

Let down is coming...

Luckylunchbox

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2012

Posts: 5945

Posted: May. 1, 2013 - 7:40 AM ET #11

Rostos this is true but thats not an unfair assumption. Maguire is melbourne created and souths have played every game this year with a melbourne like intensity. Sure they may have a let down but im more than happy to bet they wont

snake2710

MVP

Joined: Oct, 2010

Posts: 15753

Posted: May. 1, 2013 - 4:35 PM ET #12

Well that is a lie, what about that 2nd half with the panthers?? that was just horrible and weak.

Also remember they played the Chooks when they had not had the time together to gel.

I am of the thinking of Rostos on this one, Broncos coming off an easy game that they were not really there for, perhaps looking ahead to this week.

Bunnies off back to back rippers in which they threw it all out there, remember these people are only human and not the gods some make them out to be.

Im not saying Broncos win but for me they have the higher percentage even getting the points and thats were the logical play lies.

Luckylunchbox

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2012

Posts: 5945

Posted: May. 1, 2013 - 7:22 PM ET #13

What does them playing the chooks at not full strength have to do with playing at a high intensity?

The other thing to remember is it went Storm Bye Manly

But will see what happens on friday night

MacDrews

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2013

Posts: 368

Posted: May. 1, 2013 - 7:38 PM ET #14

Interesting debate..Broncos will show up for their supporters and will be a very different side to last week. Can the red hot bunnies go all out for 3 weeks? If they do, they win. If they drop in intensity at all, they're stew. The whole thing screams "Keep away". Fence sitting in anticipation.

Luckylunchbox

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2012

Posts: 5945

Posted: May. 1, 2013 - 8:29 PM ET #15

line out to -6

Luckylunchbox

Captain

Joined: Feb, 2012

Posts: 5945

Posted: May. 1, 2013 - 8:38 PM ET #16

Hodges and McGuire out

snake2710

MVP

Joined: Oct, 2010

Posts: 15753

Posted: May. 1, 2013 - 9:14 PM ET #17

Ok well that changes things a lot, when was the last time Hodges played like 3 games in a row

Now the Bunnies are well in the drivers seat as the line would suggest, i would guess that tomorrow could get it at 8s

Rostos

Hall of Fame

Joined: Feb, 2009

Posts: 27785

Posted: May. 2, 2013 - 12:45 AM ET #18

If Hodges is out then forget it...He is there best player, then some

HeadOverHeart

Hall of Fame

Joined: Nov, 2007

Posts: 22502

Posted: May. 2, 2013 - 11:11 PM ET #19

Quote Originally Posted by snake2710:

Souths were -2.5 opening at BET365 and already at -3.5, i see that line reaching 6 by game time friday night.

Public will hammer souths and i think even this early out Broncos have the value at home.

Radiers line should move some more and will be liking that line a lot as well. Yes they got pumpd by cowboys but just like the warriors the Storm always battle with the raiders style of footy

At 6 Snake! You called it bro!

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