Last week was the Reds big chance and they blew it with a ridiculous shot by Horwill.
A tricky round but I'll be hugely surprised if Reds can stay near the Bulls. No Quade, no O'Connor, no Horwill. Of course I'd prefer Pollard at 10 but Reds will have to get off to a flyer to stay in it and who's going to score for them? Bulls can't afford complacency because the bonus point is all important.
It's hard to see the Reds maintaining enough continuous ball control to trouble the home side. The Bulls are likely to play a territorial game and just let the points accumulate. I see them taking an early lead, consolidating that lead to more than 2 converted tries, becoming a bit more adventurous to pick up the bonus point then keeping Reds camped in their own half. If somehow the Reds are still close in the last quarter, travel and altitude will kick in and Bulls will likely run over them. Although the number is high the fact is the Reds are likely to have to put up 20 points to cover and they haven't shown that they've got that in them.
For me it's Bulls -15.5 @ $1.90.
Good punting all.
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