Super Rugby - one for Friday night

Only one for me tonight.

Small sample size, but these teams have played twice for a combined margin of four points. Both have what I'd consider very ordinary backlines and you can bet the Force will be doing all they can to neutralise James O'Connor (remember, still no Kurtley Beale). Rebels will be desperate for a win after what happened last week but I have no confidence in taking them - just as I have no confidence in backing the Force to win B2B on the road. I'd rather bet on the game to be decided by less than a converted try at even better odds than a pick for either side. Finally, it's bloody windy and freezing here in Melbourne today with the temperature expected to 10-12 degrees by kick-off. Not ideal for scoring.